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Yolo Group (YOLO) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IT · Market cap €11.8M

YG Yolo Group YOLO · MI
Price€0.6500
Fair Value€0.0900
Upside-86.2%
Quality44/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -26.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range €0.0600 – €0.1100 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +9.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.1100). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (€0.0600 to €0.1100) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

€4.00 €0.5250 Fair Value €0.0900 Aug 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

48‑month range €0.5250 – €4.00 · fair‑value band €0.0600 – €0.1100 · the €0.6500 price screens above the €0.0900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Yolo Group (YOLO) currently trades at €0.6500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.0900, implying the stock looks roughly 86.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Yolo Group generated revenue of €13.5M at a net margin of -26.8%. Revenue grew 29.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -22.3%. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.0600 (bear case) to €0.1100 (bull case); at €0.6500, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -38% fair-value upside, at -86%, YOLO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) €0.4400 €0.5900 €0.8800 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.4400 €0.5900 €0.8800 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €13.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) +29.2%
Net margin -26.8%
Return on equity -22.3%
Free cash flow −€2.7M FY2025
Operating margin -24.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.2900

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 73
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yolo Group S.p.A. provides digital insurance services to the individuals and small and medium-sized enterprises in Italy and internationally. It offers sport, pet, home and family, health, travel, mobility, and cars for private individuals; and multi-risk, legal protection, professional liability, photovoltaic and cyber insurance products for companies.

Full company description

Yolo Group S.p.A. provides digital insurance services to the individuals and small and medium-sized enterprises in Italy and internationally. It offers sport, pet, home and family, health, travel, mobility, and cars for private individuals; and multi-risk, legal protection, professional liability, photovoltaic and cyber insurance products for companies. The company also operates an Insurtech platform for companies to manage their insurance products. It also offers insurance solutions for partners and intermediates. Yolo Group S.p.A. was founded in 2017 and is based in Milan, Italy.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yolo Group reported revenue of €13.6M in FY2025 versus €1.8M in FY2021, a compound +66.0%/yr. Reported net income was −€3.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€13.6M
Latest YoY
+39.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+43.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+72.4%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+56.6%
Revenue +66.0%/yr
FY21 €1.8M
FY22 €4.6M
FY23 €9.5M
FY24 €9.7M
FY25 €13.6M
Net income
FY21 −€1.2M
FY22 −€1.6M
FY23 −€2.7M
FY24 −€3.4M
FY25 −€3.5M

YOLO screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yolo Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YOLO

Peer Group

Insurance Brokers · 35 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -10% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -27% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -24% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 29% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.32× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance Brokers median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.00× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 59
PAST 0 · sector 60
HEALTH 84 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 50

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance Brokers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc MRSH $182.18 $112.25 -38%
Aon plc AON $367.21 $224.91 -39%
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co AJG $253.09 $75.58 -70%
Willis Towers Watson Public Limited WTW $285.12 $220.92 -23%
Brown & Brown, Inc BRO $67.66 $40.43 -40%
Erie Indemnity Company ERIE $227.31 $157.43 -31%
PB Fintech Limited POLICYBZR ₹1,574 ₹188.49 -88%
Neptune Insurance Holdings NP $31.03 $3.52 -89%
CorVel Corporation CRVL $62.29 $47.59 -24%
Accelerant Holdings ARX $13.52 $18.06 +34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yolo Group (YOLO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.0900 versus a price of €0.6500, about −86% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of YOLO?
Our model-based fair value for Yolo Group is €0.0900 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €0.6500.
What is the quality score of YOLO?
Yolo Group has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yolo Group (YOLO)?
Yolo Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €13.5M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of YOLO?
The net profit margin of Yolo Group is about -26.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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