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Yanlord Land Group (Z25) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · SG · Market cap 1.3B SGD

YL Yanlord Land Group Z25 · SG
Price0.6850 SGD
Fair Value0.5500 SGD
Upside-19.7%
Quality53/100
Weak Growth
Thin margins · 1.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
8.66% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 16/100
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Evidence: Medium Range 0.5500 SGD – 0.6100 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 4, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price +9.6% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.6100 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The models converge in a tight band (0.5500 SGD to 0.6100 SGD), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

0.8088 SGD 0.5573 SGD Fair Value 0.5500 SGD Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 0.5573 SGD – 0.8088 SGD · fair‑value band 0.5500 SGD – 0.6100 SGD · the 0.6850 SGD price screens above the 0.5500 SGD fair value. As of Jul 4, 2026.

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Analysis

Yanlord Land Group (Z25) currently trades at 0.6850 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.5500 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 19.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Yanlord Land Group generated revenue of 14.4B SGD at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue declined 69.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.1%. Net debt stands at 14.3B SGD. Fundamentals as of Jul 4, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.5500 SGD (bear case) to 0.6100 SGD (bull case); at 0.6850 SGD, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 21% fair-value upside, at -20%, Z25 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 14.4B SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) -69.1%
Net margin 1.9%
Return on equity 1.1%
Free cash flow 707M SGD FY2025
P/E ratio 21.7
More key figures
Operating margin -1.3%
EPS (TTM) 0.0300 SGD
Dividend yield 8.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -20.5%
Net debt 14.3B SGD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 4, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100
Profitability 13
Quality Growth 56
Cashflow 65
Fin. Strength 38
Investment 100
Low Volatility 69
Momentum 42
52W Momentum 57
Net Issuance 82

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yanlord Land Group Limited is a real estate developer. It is focusing on developing high-end fully-fitted residential, commercial and integrated property projects in strategically selected key and high-growth cities in the PRC and Singapore. Yanlord has been listed on the Mainboard of the Singapore Exchange since June 2006.

Full company description

Yanlord Land Group Limited is a real estate developer. It is focusing on developing high-end fully-fitted residential, commercial and integrated property projects in strategically selected key and high-growth cities in the PRC and Singapore. Yanlord has been listed on the Mainboard of the Singapore Exchange since June 2006. Since Yanlord's foray into the PRC property market in 1993, it has successfully developed a number of largescale residential property developments with international communities of residents. Building on its established track record for developing high-end residential property developments in prime locations within affluent cities of the PRC, the "Yanlord" name has been developed into a premium brand synonymous with quality within the property development industry of the PRC. Typically, Yanlord's residential property developments are characterised by large-scale, multi-phased projects designed and built by international architects, leading designers and reputable contractors. Currently, Yanlord has an established presence in over 20 key high-growth cities within the six major economic regions of the PRC. In Singapore, residential developments, namely, Leedon Green and Dairy Farm Residences were completed and delivered to the customers, while Hillock Green is underdevelopment. Since 2003, Yanlord has been developing high-quality commercial and integrated properties for long-term investment purpose, such as shopping malls, offices, serviced apartments and hotels. Currently, Yanlord holds a portfolio of core completed investment and hotel properties, including Yanlord Landmark and Hengye International Plaza in Chengdu; Yanlord Riverside Plaza in Tianjin; Yanlord Marina Centre in Zhuhai; Crowne Plaza Sanya Haitang Bay Resort in Sanya; Yanlord Landmark in Nanjing; Yanlord Reverie Plaza in Shenzhen; Cangjie Commercial Plaza in Suzhou; Orchard Summer Palace in Shenyang; and various Yanlord Lane community retail outlets across multiple cities, in the PRC. In Singapore, the Group holds a high-quality i

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yanlord Land Group reported revenue of 14.4B SGD in FY2025 versus 34.8B SGD in FY2021, a compound −19.9%/yr. Reported net income was 268M SGD in FY2025, compounding −43.6%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −19.9%/yr
FY21 34.8B SGD
FY22 28.7B SGD
FY23 43.4B SGD
FY24 36.4B SGD
FY25 14.4B SGD
Net income −43.6%/yr
FY21 2.7B SGD
FY22 1.5B SGD
FY23 −934M SGD
FY24 −3.4B SGD
FY25 268M SGD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yanlord Land Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/Z25

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 7 / 51
FUTURE 0 / 0
PAST 4 / 9
HEALTH 79 / 85
DIVIDEND 100 / 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 4, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM 146,800 VND 148,549 VND +1%
DLF Limited DLF ₹563.20 ₹215.17 -62%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹926.65 ₹774.29 -16%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,650 IDR 1,330 IDR -80%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,633 ₹1,368 -16%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹1,708 ₹2,070 +21%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 2,454 IDR +127%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 595.00 IDR 1,363 IDR +129%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 152.22 IDR +138%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 575.00 IDR 1,438 IDR +150%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yanlord Land Group (Z25) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.5500 SGD versus a price of 0.6850 SGD, about −20% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of Z25?
Our model-based fair value for Yanlord Land Group is 0.5500 SGD (as of Jul 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.6850 SGD.
What is the quality score of Z25?
Yanlord Land Group has a Quality Score of 53/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Yanlord Land Group (Z25)?
Yanlord Land Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 14.4B SGD (latest available figure, as of Jul 4, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of Z25?
The net profit margin of Yanlord Land Group is about 1.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Yanlord Land Group pay a dividend?
Yanlord Land Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.66% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 4, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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