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YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED (Z25) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Real Estate · SG · ISIN SG1T57930854

YL YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED logo Thin data Sep 13, 2026

YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED

Z25 · SG

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value 0.5400 SGD · Fairly valued (+6%)
!Quality 54/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +14.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.9% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
·1.96% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/14)
!Narrow moat 16/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 4 out of 100
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Price vs Fair Value

1.19 SGD 0.3797 SGD Fair Value 0.5400 SGD Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.3797 SGD – 1.19 SGD · fair‑value band 0.5400 SGD – 0.6100 SGD · the 0.5100 SGD price screens below the 0.5400 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Yanlord Land Group Limited is a real estate developer. It is focusing on developing high-end fully-fitted residential, commercial and integrated property projects in strategically selected key and high-growth cities in the PRC and Singapore. Yanlord has been listed on the Mainboard of the Singapore Exchange since June 2006.

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Yanlord Land Group Limited is a real estate developer. It is focusing on developing high-end fully-fitted residential, commercial and integrated property projects in strategically selected key and high-growth cities in the PRC and Singapore. Yanlord has been listed on the Mainboard of the Singapore Exchange since June 2006. Since Yanlord's foray into the PRC property market in 1993, it has successfully developed a number of largescale residential property developments with international communities of residents. Building on its established track record for developing high-end residential property developments in prime locations within affluent cities of the PRC, the "Yanlord" name has been developed into a premium brand synonymous with quality within the property development industry of the PRC. Typically, Yanlord's residential property developments are characterised by large-scale, multi-phased projects designed and built by international architects, leading designers and reputable contractors. Currently, Yanlord has an established presence in over 20 key high-growth cities within the six major economic regions of the PRC. In Singapore, residential developments, namely, Leedon Green and Dairy Farm Residences were completed and delivered to the customers, while Hillock Green is underdevelopment. Since 2003, Yanlord has been developing high-quality commercial and integrated properties for long-term investment purpose, such as shopping malls, offices, serviced apartments and hotels. Currently, Yanlord holds a portfolio of core completed investment and hotel properties, including Yanlord Landmark and Hengye International Plaza in Chengdu; Yanlord Riverside Plaza in Tianjin; Yanlord Marina Centre in Zhuhai; Crowne Plaza Sanya Haitang Bay Resort in Sanya; Yanlord Landmark in Nanjing; Yanlord Reverie Plaza in Shenzhen; Cangjie Commercial Plaza in Suzhou; Orchard Summer Palace in Shenyang; and various Yanlord Lane community retail outlets across multiple cities, in the PRC. In Singapore, the Group holds a high-quality i

Stock analysis

YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED (Z25) currently trades at 0.5100 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.5400 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 5.6% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 2.67 SGD per share, and 16 of the 16 models we run sit above the 0.5100 SGD price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 0.6100 SGD, and 0 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.5400 SGD (bear) to 0.6100 SGD (bull), the price of 0.5100 SGD sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED reported revenue of 14.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 34.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −19.9%/yr. Reported net income was 268M CNY in FY2025, compounding −43.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 1.3B SGD (≈ $991M) · P/E ratio 17.0 · P/S ratio 0.32 · EPS (TTM) 0.0300 SGD · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 1.9% · Return on equity 1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at 6%, Z25 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.5400 SGD Fair Value 0.5400 SGD Bull 0.6100 SGD
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0141 SGD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF n/a 0.5600 SGD 2.07 SGD 77
Residual Income 10.98 SGD 10.13 SGD 6.63 SGD 76
Growth DCF n/a 0.6100 SGD 1.93 SGD 75
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF n/a 0.5600 SGD 2.07 SGD 77
5Y Revenue Exit 3.92 SGD 8.33 SGD 14.76 SGD 69
5Y EBITDA Exit 6.51 SGD 12.81 SGD 21.14 SGD 73
10Y Revenue Exit 1.75 SGD 4.63 SGD 7.81 SGD 64
10Y EBITDA Exit 3.44 SGD 7.16 SGD 11.23 SGD 66
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 2.48 SGD 2.67 SGD 2.96 SGD 69
DDM Multi-Stage 2.48 SGD 2.95 SGD 3.56 SGD 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple 1.77 SGD 2.36 SGD 2.95 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 1.77 SGD 2.36 SGD 2.95 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 17.55 SGD 24.50 SGD 31.45 SGD 66
EV/EBITDA 14.40 SGD 20.30 SGD 26.21 SGD 67
EV/Revenue 8.19 SGD 13.12 SGD 18.05 SGD 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.53 SGD 11.43 SGD 17.06 SGD 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF n/a 0.6100 SGD 1.93 SGD 75
Rev-Margin DCF 3.92 SGD 8.41 SGD 13.79 SGD 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income 10.98 SGD 10.13 SGD 6.63 SGD 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.3%
Revenue growth 11 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−34.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−36.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.38% → 17%

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 576 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −69% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.42× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.0× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.09× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 1.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 3.2× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 8.02× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)41 · sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)4 · sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)79 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)39 · sector 52

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 80016 HK$92.75 HK$98.84 +7%
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$29.16 HK$72.90 +150%
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM 72,000 VND 109,431 VND +52%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$47.88 HK$68.85 +44%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.48 $1.52 −82%
DLF Limited DLF ₹643.60 ₹170.24 −74%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.48 HK$22.14 +77%
Macrotech Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,113 ₹277.21 −75%
Sino Land Company 0083 HK$10.14 HK$8.51 −16%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 5,625 IDR 1,325 IDR −76%

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Frequently asked questions

Is YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED (Z25) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.5400 SGD versus a price of 0.5100 SGD, about +6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of Z25?
Our model-based fair value for YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED is 0.5400 SGD (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.5100 SGD.
What is the quality score of Z25?
YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED (Z25)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.5400 SGD (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.5400 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.6100 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.5400 SGD, about +6% upside versus a price of 0.5100 SGD (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 0.5400 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.6100 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED (Z25)?
YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 14.4B SGD (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED pay a dividend?
YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.96% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED (Z25)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED it is 0.5400 SGD per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 0.5100 SGD. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, Z25 trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.5100 SGD, fair value 0.5400 SGD, a gap of about +6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of Z25?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.5100 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.5400 SGD). For YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED the two are 0.0300 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED worth?
The market values YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED at about 1.3B SGD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 0.5100 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.5400 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about Z25?
Our models span a range for YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED: cautious scenario 0.5400 SGD, base 0.5400 SGD, optimistic 0.6100 SGD per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 0.5100 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of Z25?
YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.0 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.5400 SGD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 8.0, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 3.2.
What is the PEG ratio of Z25?
The PEG ratio of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED is 8.02 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 13, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED (Z25)?
Balance-sheet figures for YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 1.1%, debt of 0.42 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is Z25 from its 52-week high?
YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED trades at 0.5100 SGD, about 37% below its 52-week high of 0.8137 SGD (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.5400 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 0.5100 SGD, calculated fair value 0.5400 SGD (+6%), Quality Score 54/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of Z25 calculated?
We run YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.5400 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED currently trades 6 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.5400 SGD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The models converge in a tight band (0.5400 SGD to 0.6100 SGD), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED

How large is the market capitalisation of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED (Z25)?
The market capitalisation of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED is 1.3B SGD (≈ $991M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED (Z25)?
The price-to-sales ratio of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED is 0.32 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED (Z25)?
Earnings per share at YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED are 0.0300 SGD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED (Z25)?
The dividend yield of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED is 2.0% (payout 33.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED (Z25)?
The net margin of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED is 1.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED (Z25)?
The return on equity (ROE) of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED (Z25)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED is 3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED (Z25)?
The operating margin of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED is −1.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED (Z25)?
Revenue at YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED is growing −69.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −20.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED (Z25)?
Earnings per share at YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED are growing −20.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED (Z25) generate?
The free cash flow of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED is 707M SGD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED (Z25) carry?
The net debt of YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED is 14.3B SGD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 20.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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