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UNION STEEL HOLDINGS LIMITED (ZB9) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SG · Market cap 57.9M SGD

US UNION STEEL HOLDINGS LIMITED ZB9 · SG
Price0.4750 SGD
Fair Value1.26 SGD
Upside+165.3%
Quality38/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 7.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.84% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: High Range 0.6700 SGD – 1.58 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price −2.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 165% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.6700 SGD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range (0.6700 SGD to 1.58 SGD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

0.7050 SGD 0.1244 SGD Fair Value 1.26 SGD Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.1244 SGD – 0.7050 SGD · fair‑value band 0.6700 SGD – 1.58 SGD · the 0.4750 SGD price screens below the 1.26 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

UNION STEEL HOLDINGS LIMITED (ZB9) currently trades at 0.4750 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.26 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 165.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, UNION STEEL HOLDINGS LIMITED generated revenue of 104M SGD at a net margin of 7.8%. Revenue declined 4.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.4%. Net debt stands at 24.6M SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.6700 SGD (bear case) to 1.58 SGD (bull case); at 0.4750 SGD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 165%, ZB9 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.1800 SGD 0.2700 SGD 0.4200 SGD 80
Residual Income 0.6400 SGD 0.6800 SGD 0.7500 SGD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 0.3400 SGD 0.6200 SGD 1.22 SGD 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.1900 SGD 0.2500 SGD 0.4500 SGD 38
5Y Revenue Exit 0.3100 SGD 0.5500 SGD 1.06 SGD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.7300 SGD 1.40 SGD 2.72 SGD 41
5Y P/E Exit 0.9000 SGD 2.21 SGD 4.02 SGD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 0.2500 SGD 0.5800 SGD 0.8100 SGD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.5200 SGD 1.36 SGD 2.87 SGD 37
10Y P/E Exit 0.6300 SGD 1.67 SGD 3.45 SGD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.5500 SGD 3.83 SGD 5.37 SGD 54
Lynch FV 1.98 SGD 2.83 SGD 3.67 SGD 50
PEG = 1.0 1.98 SGD 2.83 SGD 3.67 SGD 46
EPV 0.1800 SGD 0.2000 SGD 0.2200 SGD 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1.27 SGD 1.70 SGD 2.12 SGD 63
P/S Multiple 1.03 SGD 1.37 SGD 1.72 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 1.03 SGD 1.37 SGD 1.72 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 0.4800 SGD 0.6300 SGD 0.7900 SGD 53
EV/EBITDA 1.03 SGD 1.36 SGD 1.70 SGD 54
EV/Revenue 0.3500 SGD 0.4900 SGD 0.6300 SGD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.4100 SGD 0.5500 SGD 0.8200 SGD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.1800 SGD 0.2700 SGD 0.4200 SGD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.3400 SGD 0.6200 SGD 1.22 SGD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.6400 SGD 0.6800 SGD 0.7500 SGD 76
ROIC Compounder 0.1800 SGD 0.2000 SGD 0.2200 SGD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 2.59 SGD 3.70 SGD 4.81 SGD 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (3.70 SGD) versus Economic Profit (0.2000 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 104M SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.1%
Net margin 7.8%
Return on equity 8.4%
Free cash flow 1.6M SGD FY2024
P/E ratio 6.8
More key figures
Operating margin 4.4%
EPS (TTM) 0.0700 SGD
Dividend yield 1.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -24.3%
Net debt 24.6M SGD FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 31
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Union Steel Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides metals, scaffolding, and engineering services in Singapore, Indonesia, France, the United States, India, the Middle East, Brazil, Malaysia, the Netherlands, China, and internationally. The company operates through Metals, Scaffolding, Engineering, and Others segments.

Full company description

Union Steel Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides metals, scaffolding, and engineering services in Singapore, Indonesia, France, the United States, India, the Middle East, Brazil, Malaysia, the Netherlands, China, and internationally. The company operates through Metals, Scaffolding, Engineering, and Others segments. It engages in the recycling and trading of ferrous and non-ferrous scrap metals; and steel leasing solutions of steel sheet piles, mild plates, test piles, and beams to construction industry. The company also supplies reinforcement steel bars, H-beams, I-beams, pipes, steel plates, and sheet piles, as well as provides steel storage and handling services. In addition, it is involved in the consultancy, sale, and rental of scaffolding materials; and the supply of skilled workers for erection and dismantling of scaffolds. Further, the company supplies hydraulic winches and power packs; manufactures motor vehicle bodies; and offers mechanical construction and fabrication, and waste collection and management services, as well as repair, commissioning, sale, and rental of marine deck equipment, accessories, and parts. Additionally, it rents materials; trades in steel products; rents properties; holds investment properties; operates an online portal for sales of industrial equipment; contractors electronic and electrical engineering works; processes industrial plant engineering design and consultancy services; and installs and constructs gas piping systems, aluminum, stainless fabrication and related structures. Union Steel Holdings Limited was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

UNION STEEL HOLDINGS LIMITED reported revenue of 106M SGD in FY2024 versus 9.6M SGD in FY2020, a compound +82.1%/yr. Reported net income was 9.5M SGD in FY2024.

Growth Quality 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
106M SGD
Latest YoY
−7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+57.3%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.8%
Revenue +82.1%/yr
FY20 9.6M SGD
FY21 80.1M SGD
FY22 107M SGD
FY23 115M SGD
FY24 106M SGD
Net income
FY20 −4.0M SGD
FY21 7.1M SGD
FY22 11.0M SGD
FY23 12.7M SGD
FY24 9.5M SGD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "UNION STEEL HOLDINGS LIMITED Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ZB9

Peer Group

Waste Management · 168 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +165% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.18× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.47× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.44× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 27.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 7
FUTURE 0 · sector 21
PAST 33 · sector 26
HEALTH 91 · sector 82
DIVIDEND 37 · sector 45

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $226.32 $128.02 -43%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $216.97 $120.63 -44%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN C$230.52 C$78.67 -66%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €34.47 €23.26 -33%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $316.65 $154.01 -51%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL C$57.62 C$44.27 -23%
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.75 ¥5.27 -22%
Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 ¥15.68 ¥20.95 +34%
China Everbright Environment Group 0257 HK$5.00 HK$8.96 +79%
Beijing GeoEnviron Engineering & Technology, Inc 603588 ¥14.10 ¥9.35 -34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is UNION STEEL HOLDINGS LIMITED (ZB9) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.26 SGD versus a price of 0.4750 SGD, about +165% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ZB9?
Our model-based fair value for UNION STEEL HOLDINGS LIMITED is 1.26 SGD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.4750 SGD.
What is the quality score of ZB9?
UNION STEEL HOLDINGS LIMITED has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of UNION STEEL HOLDINGS LIMITED (ZB9)?
UNION STEEL HOLDINGS LIMITED reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 104M SGD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ZB9?
The net profit margin of UNION STEEL HOLDINGS LIMITED is about 7.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does UNION STEEL HOLDINGS LIMITED pay a dividend?
UNION STEEL HOLDINGS LIMITED currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.84% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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