Zicom Group (ZGL) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · AU · Market cap A$25.9M
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from A$0.1664 to A$0.0869 (−47.8%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +16.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 38% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.1086). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0350 – A$0.1700 · fair‑value band A$0.0652 – A$0.1086 · the A$0.1400 price screens above the A$0.0869 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Zicom Group (ZGL) currently trades at A$0.1400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0869, implying the stock looks roughly 37.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Zicom Group generated revenue of A$108M at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue declined 37.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.9%. Net debt stands at A$14.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0652 (bear case) to A$0.1086 (bull case); at A$0.1400, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -38%, ZGL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$1.08) versus Asset-Based (A$0.2400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zicom Group Limited manufactures and sells marine deck machinery, fluid regulating and metering stations, transit concrete mixers, foundation and geotechnical equipment, and precision engineered and automation equipment. It operates through Green Energy, Gas & Marine Equipment; Construction Equipment; and Precision Engineering & Technologies segments.
Full company description
Zicom Group Limited manufactures and sells marine deck machinery, fluid regulating and metering stations, transit concrete mixers, foundation and geotechnical equipment, and precision engineered and automation equipment. It operates through Green Energy, Gas & Marine Equipment; Construction Equipment; and Precision Engineering & Technologies segments. The Green Energy, Gas & Marine Equipment segment designs and supplies LNG propulsion systems, gas metering stations, compressor stations, and gas processing plants, and related equipment, parts, and services, as well as deck machinery, which include winches, windlasses, capstans, deck cranes, derricks, cable laying and lifeboat davits, shark jaws, and towing pins used in deep-sea vessels. The Construction Equipment segment provides concrete mixers; foundation equipment, including vibratory piling and impact piling hammers, boring machines, and vibroflots, as well as hydraulic drive systems, parts, and related services; and rents foundation equipment. The Precision Engineering & Technologies segment manufactures and supplies semi-conductor and electronic equipment, contract manufacturing of medical devices, bio-medical equipment, complete equipment and modular components, precision machining, production integration systems solutions, including production jigs, as well as turnkey factory automation solutions and related parts and services. It operates in Australia, the Philippines, Singapore, China, Bangladesh, and internationally. Zicom Group Limited is headquartered in Murarrie, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zicom Group reported revenue of A$161M in FY2025 versus A$89.1M in FY2021, a compound +16.0%/yr. Reported net income was A$9.3M in FY2025.
ZGL screens 38% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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