Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (300442) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd stock ¥28.66, price ¥59.78, that is 52.1% below the price, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥17.49 – ¥103.08 · fair‑value band ¥17.98 – ¥71.21 · the ¥59.78 price screens above the ¥28.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 2, 2026.
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Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group Company Limited provides internet data center (IDC) and automatic identification and data capture (AIDC) services to telecom operators, internet companies, and cloud vendors in China.
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The company provides data processing and storage support services; technical services, technology development, technology consulting, technology exchanges, technology transfer, and technology promotion services.
It also offers information system integration and information technology consulting services. The company was formerly known as Range Technology Development Co., Ltd and changed its name to Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group Company Limited in September 2022.
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group Company Limited was founded in 2007 and is based in Langfang, China. Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group Company Limited is a subsidiary of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Runze (Langfang) Digital Information Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (300442) currently trades at ¥59.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥28.66, 52% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥108.61 per share, and 5 of the 15 models we run sit above the ¥59.78 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥4.86, and 10 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥17.98 (bear) to ¥71.21 (bull), the price of ¥59.78 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd reported revenue of 5.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +29.0%/yr. Reported net income was 5.0B CNY in FY2025, compounding +62.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 97.7B CNY (≈ $14.7B) Large · P/E ratio 44.0 · P/S ratio 13.3 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.36 · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin 29.2% · Return on equity 13.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 74 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −52%, 300442 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥17.98Fair Value ¥28.66Bull¥71.21
Price ¥59.78 · Downside -52.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.5818 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+30.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +26.5% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +24.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+23.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.63.9% vs 26.0%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24% → 40%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.0%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 200% above its own trend.
AI conclusion: Strong revenue growth from AI data center demand in China supports the business, yet declining earnings forecasts and negative free cash flow despite revenue gains undermine profitability.
Main risk: ByteDance as the largest customer contributing nearly half of revenue might shift to its own large-scale data centers in places like Inner Mongolia, reducing demand for the company's wholesale AIDC and IDC capacity and pressuring utilization and pricing.
Bull case: By leveraging its self-built large-scale clusters, liquid-cooling expertise and REIT financing the company could secure long-term contracts with diversified AI and cloud customers and maintain high utilization even as some clients expand their own capacity.
Bear case: If major customers accelerate self-build programs and rivals capture power resources or contracts the company could face prolonged low occupancy on its heavy investments leading to sustained high interest costs and pressure on margins.
The company operates data centers serving internet and cloud providers across China, with AI infrastructure needs supporting strong revenue expansion. Yet consensus forecasts point to earnings declining over the next few years even as revenue grows rapidly. Our models see the stock as overvalued. Will heavy ongoing investments in capacity ultimately lift profits or mainly add to costs and leverage?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 342 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside−52.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)13.4% · Above median
Return on assets11.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)29.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)41.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)29.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.96× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)44.0× · Pricier than median
P/B7.15× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)13.27× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA22.3× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 60
PAST (return on equity)54· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)52· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)23· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300442
Frequently asked questions
Is Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (300442) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥28.66 versus a price of ¥59.78, about 52% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300442?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd is ¥28.66 (as of Nov 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥59.78.
What is the quality score of 300442?
Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (300442)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥28.66 (as of Nov 2, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥17.98, optimistic scenario ¥71.21. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥28.66, about 52% lower versus a price of ¥59.78 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥17.98, optimistic scenario ¥71.21. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (300442)?
Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 2, 2026).
Does Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.13% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (300442)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd it is ¥28.66 per share (as of Nov 2, 2026), against a price of ¥59.78. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 2, 2026, 300442 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥59.78, fair value ¥28.66, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300442?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥59.78); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥28.66). For Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd the two are ¥31.12 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd worth?
The market values Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd at about 97.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 2, 2026). Per share that is ¥59.78; our models calculate a fair value of ¥28.66 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300442?
Our models span a range for Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥17.98, base ¥28.66, optimistic ¥71.21 per share (as of Nov 2, 2026, price ¥59.78). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300442?
Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 44.0 (as of Nov 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥28.66 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 52.9 (reported for FY2025: 20.0). Other multiples: P/B 7.2, P/S 13.3, EV/EBITDA 22.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (300442)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (as of Nov 2, 2026): return on equity 13.4%, debt of 0.96 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300442 from its 52-week high?
Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd trades at ¥59.78, about 42% below its 52-week high of ¥103.08 and 31% above the low of ¥45.50 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥28.66 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 2, 2026: price ¥59.78, calculated fair value ¥28.66 (−52%), Quality Score 48/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300442 calculated?
We run Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥28.66, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (300442)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was ¥59.78. Our model-based fair value is ¥28.66, about 52% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd right now?
Weak quality (48/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (¥17.98 to ¥71.21). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (300442) come from?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd grew +7.2 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −4.7 %, EBIT margin +10.9 %, tax rate +1.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (300442)?
The market capitalisation of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd is 97.7B CNY (≈ $14.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (300442)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd is 13.3 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (300442)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd are ¥1.36 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 44.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (300442)?
The dividend yield of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd is 1.1% (payout 131%, on adjusted earnings, reported 49.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (300442)?
The net margin of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd is 29.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (300442)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd is 13.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (300442)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd is 6.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (300442)?
The operating margin of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd is 41.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (300442)?
Revenue at Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd is growing +29.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (300442)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd are growing −84.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (300442) generate?
The free cash flow of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd is −8.9B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd (300442) carry?
The net debt of Shanghai Precise Packaging Co Ltd is 11.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 2, 2026