COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd stock ¥18.42, price ¥17.69, upside +4.1%, quality 60 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.03 – ¥17.97 · fair‑value band ¥13.72 – ¥22.48 · the ¥17.69 price screens below the ¥18.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 4, 2026.
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COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the container shipping business in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Mainland China, and internationally. It operates through Container Shipping Business, Terminal Business, and Other Businesses segments.
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The company offers routes and maritime container transportation services, logistics and port service, and digital supply chain service for enterprises in cross-border e-commerce, home appliances, photovoltaic, automobile, and other industries.
It also provides management and financing services; freight forwarding and transportation; property lease; shipping agency; vessel chartering; marine; document services; vessel management and manning; cargo and liner agency; asset management; technical services, container maintenance, container yard warehousing services; multimodal transport; terminal operations; and supply chain management services.
In addition, the company engages in the operation of rail terminals.
As of December 31, 2025, it operated container fleet of 590 ships with a total capacity of approximately 3.60 million TEUs. The company was formerly known as China COSCO Holdings Company Limited and changed its name to COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd. in November 2016.
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Tianjin, China.
Stock analysis
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919) currently trades at ¥17.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥18.42, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 3.9%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥48.54 per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥17.69 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥9.43, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥13.72 (bear) to ¥22.48 (bull), the price of ¥17.69 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of 218B CNY in FY2025 versus 334B CNY in FY2021, a compound −10.0%/yr. Reported net income was 30.9B CNY in FY2025, compounding −23.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 274B CNY (≈ $41.2B) Large · P/E ratio 8.8 · P/S ratio 1.23 · EPS (TTM) ¥2.02 · Dividend yield 4.9% · Net margin 12.0% · Return on equity 10.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 18.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at 4%, 601919 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥13.72Fair Value ¥18.42Bull¥22.48
Price ¥17.69 · Upside +4.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.7304 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF¥30.24¥48.54¥80.8375
Growth DCF¥30.08¥46.93¥75.9473
Residual Income¥14.44¥17.23¥22.6273
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF¥30.24¥48.54¥80.8375
Owner Earnings¥23.88¥36.93¥59.9572
5Y Revenue Exit¥27.12¥41.23¥60.3669
5Y EBITDA Exit¥36.34¥60.28¥90.5471
5Y P/E Exit¥34.90¥57.31¥83.0767
10Y Revenue Exit¥27.37¥41.21¥62.3663
10Y EBITDA Exit¥34.14¥55.26¥87.8264
10Y P/E Exit¥33.18¥53.07¥81.5260
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥13.53¥63.20¥86.8559
Lynch FV¥16.70¥23.86¥31.0257
PEG = 1.0¥16.70¥23.86¥31.0253
EPV¥24.11¥26.82¥29.1972
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥14.74¥31.01¥49.8462
DDM Multi-Stage¥14.74¥25.97¥32.4962
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥31.34¥41.79¥52.2461
P/S Multiple¥21.13¥28.17¥35.2156
P/B Multiple¥11.39¥15.18¥18.9853
EV/EBIT¥31.46¥40.37¥49.2865
EV/EBITDA¥38.34¥49.55¥60.7566
EV/Revenue¥22.46¥30.07¥37.6753
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥7.04¥9.43¥14.0752
Growth DCF
Growth DCF¥30.08¥46.93¥75.9473
Rev-Margin DCF¥27.12¥40.91¥58.7669
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥14.44¥17.23¥22.6273
ROIC Compounder¥26.34¥32.58¥40.5769
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥26.53¥37.90¥49.2764
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.9% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+31.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+26.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.26.2% vs 50.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 15%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−12.3%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−1.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −13.7% a year for the price and −3.2% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (38 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Negative
Recent news coverage is more negative than average.
AI conclusion: Integrated rail-sea services offer a modest edge by linking ocean shipping to inland transport, yet the commoditized marine shipping model provides no durable advantages and leaves earnings exposed to rate swings.
Main risk: Ongoing US FMC complaints and potential penalties for demurrage and detention practices could raise compliance costs and squeeze margins in container shipping operations.
Bull case: By strengthening compliance systems and leveraging its AI tools for better customer service and route optimisation the company could reduce regulatory friction and gain an edge over less digitised rivals.
Bear case: Repeated penalties and stricter US oversight might force higher reserves, limit certain trade lanes and erode the modest margins that currently support the commoditised shipping model.
COSCO SHIPPING has added rail links in Malaysia and southern China plus a rail-sea service moving automotive parts from Chongqing to Brazil. These steps tie ocean shipping to inland transport and warehousing. Will the integrated supply chain push create more stable earnings when shipping rates settle, or will ocean freight volatility still set the pace?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 222 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside+4.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)10.8% · Above median
Return on assets6.4% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)12.0% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)14.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)17.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)4.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601919
Frequently asked questions
Is COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥18.42 versus a price of ¥17.69, about +4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 601919?
Our model-based fair value for COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd is ¥18.42 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥17.69.
What is the quality score of 601919?
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥18.42 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥13.72, optimistic scenario ¥22.48. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥18.42, about +4% upside versus a price of ¥17.69 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥13.72, optimistic scenario ¥22.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919)?
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 222B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd pay a dividend?
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 4.92% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -12.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.0 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 601919 use?
Our models discount COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd at 8.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.58, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd that is -12.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd grew +5.0 % a year. The price currently implies -12.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (-12.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.64 %: that much free cash flow COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd it is ¥18.42 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of ¥17.69. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, 601919 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥17.69, fair value ¥18.42, a gap of about +4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 601919?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥17.69); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥18.42). For COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd the two are ¥0.7273 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd worth?
The market values COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd at about 274B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is ¥17.69; our models calculate a fair value of ¥18.42 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 601919?
Our models span a range for COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥13.72, base ¥18.42, optimistic ¥22.48 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price ¥17.69). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 601919?
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.8 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥18.42 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 5 fiscal years (2021 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 5.0. Other multiples: PEG 0.3, P/B 1.2, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 3.7.
What is the PEG ratio of 601919?
The PEG ratio of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd is 0.26 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 4, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919)?
Balance-sheet figures for COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 10.8%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 601919 from its 52-week high?
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd trades at ¥17.69, about 2% below its 52-week high of ¥17.97 and 34% above the low of ¥13.16 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥18.42 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, Evergreen Marine Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price ¥17.69, calculated fair value ¥18.42 (+4%), Quality Score 60/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 601919 calculated?
We run COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥18.42, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd currently trades 4% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was ¥17.69. Our model-based fair value is ¥18.42, about +4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919)?
The market capitalisation of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd is 274B CNY (≈ $41.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919)?
The price-to-sales ratio of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd is 1.23 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919)?
Earnings per share at COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd are ¥2.02 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919)?
The dividend yield of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd is 4.9% (payout 43.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919)?
The net margin of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd is 12.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919)?
The return on equity (ROE) of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd is 10.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd is 18.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919)?
The operating margin of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd is 14.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919)?
Revenue at COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd is growing +17.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −17.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919)?
Earnings per share at COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd are growing +33.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919) hold?
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 73.2B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Nov 4, 2026