Charter Hall Group (CHC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Charter Hall Group stock A$7.65, price A$22.07, that is 65.3% below the price, quality 52 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$7.94 – A$25.33 · fair‑value band A$4.17 – A$9.56 · the A$22.07 price screens above the A$7.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 11, 2026.
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Charter Hall Group is Australia's leading fully integrated diversified property investment and funds management group. We use our expertise to access, deploy, manage and invest equity to create value and generate superior returns for our investor customers.
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We've curated a diverse portfolio of high-quality properties across our core sectors " Office, Industrial & Logistics, Retail and Social Infrastructure.
With partnerships and financial discipline at the heart of our approach, we create and invest in places that support our customers, people and communities to grow. Charter Hall Group was incorporated in 1991 in Australia.
Stock analysis
Charter Hall Group (CHC) currently trades at A$22.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$7.65, 65% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of A$7.65 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the A$22.07 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at A$3.20, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: A$4.17 (bear) to A$9.56 (bull), the price of A$22.07 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2013: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2013.
Charter Hall Group reported revenue of A$557M in FY2026 versus A$1.1B in FY2022, a compound −15.6%/yr. Reported net income was A$242M in FY2026, compounding −28.6%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap A$10.6B (≈ $7.2B) Mid · P/E ratio 24.8 · P/S ratio 10.8 · EPS (TTM) A$0.8900 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 43.4% · Return on equity 15.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.8% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 73 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at −65%, CHC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$4.17Fair Value A$7.65BullA$9.56
Price A$22.07 · Downside -65.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.1428 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2013: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2013.
Revenue growth 1 year
−19.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.9% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−11.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Per share before 2009divided by the spin-off factor 1.0274
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−13.8% vs −0.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.35% → 47%
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (73 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: The scaled funds platform with record equity inflows forms the main strength, while variable performance fees that hinder steady recurring income represent the key weakness.
Main risk: Absence of performance fees from guidance may prevent higher recurring fees from materialising quickly, hitting steadier profitability.
Charter Hall has scaled its funds platform with record equity inflows and higher assets under management, yet second-half margins contracted despite the growth. Our models see the stock as overvalued because higher recurring fees may not materialise as quickly as hoped when performance fees are absent from guidance. Will the platform convert scale into steadier profitability or will variable fees keep earnings lumpy?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Diversified · 141 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside−65.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)15.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)29.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)59.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−8.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)2.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.22× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)24.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B12.43× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)8.91× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA14.4× · Cheaper than median
PEG3.77× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 18
PAST (return on equity)61· sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)39· sector 77
DIVIDEND (yield)46· sector 100
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Charter Hall Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHC
Frequently asked questions
Is Charter Hall Group (CHC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$7.65 versus a price of A$22.07, about 65% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CHC?
Our model-based fair value for Charter Hall Group is A$7.65 (as of Nov 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$22.07.
What is the quality score of CHC?
Charter Hall Group has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Charter Hall Group (CHC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$7.65 (as of Nov 11, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$4.17, optimistic scenario A$9.56. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Charter Hall Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$7.65, about 65% lower versus a price of A$22.07 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$4.17, optimistic scenario A$9.56. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Charter Hall Group (CHC)?
Charter Hall Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$811M (latest available figure, as of Nov 11, 2026).
Does Charter Hall Group pay a dividend?
Charter Hall Group currently shows a dividend yield of 2.30% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 11, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Charter Hall Group (CHC) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Charter Hall Group pays a dividend of A$0.507 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.3%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 29, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2005. The payout ratio is 56.9% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Charter Hall Group (CHC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Charter Hall Group it is A$7.65 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026), against a price of A$22.07. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Charter Hall Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 11, 2026, CHC trades above its calculated fair value: price A$22.07, fair value A$7.65, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CHC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$22.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$7.65). For Charter Hall Group the two are A$14.42 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Charter Hall Group worth?
The market values Charter Hall Group at about A$10.6B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 11, 2026). Per share that is A$22.07; our models calculate a fair value of A$7.65 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CHC?
Our models span a range for Charter Hall Group: cautious scenario A$4.17, base A$7.65, optimistic A$9.56 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026, price A$22.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CHC?
Charter Hall Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.8 (as of Nov 11, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$7.65 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 14.7. Other multiples: PEG 3.8, P/B 12.4, P/S 8.9, EV/EBITDA 14.4.
What is the PEG ratio of CHC?
The PEG ratio of Charter Hall Group is 3.77 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 11, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Charter Hall Group (CHC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Charter Hall Group (as of Nov 11, 2026): return on equity 15.3%, debt of 1.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CHC from its 52-week high?
Charter Hall Group trades at A$22.07, about 13% below its 52-week high of A$25.33 and 25% above the low of A$17.63 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$7.65 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Charter Hall Group?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Goodman Group, VICI Properties Inc, W. P. Carey Inc, Stockland, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Charter Hall Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 11, 2026: price A$22.07, calculated fair value A$7.65 (−65%), Quality Score 52/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CHC calculated?
We run Charter Hall Group through 9 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$7.65 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.3% above its aggregate fair value. Charter Hall Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Charter Hall Group (CHC)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was A$22.07. Our model-based fair value is A$7.65, about 65% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Charter Hall Group right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$9.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (A$4.17 to A$9.56) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Charter Hall Group (CHC) come from?
Earnings per share at Charter Hall Group grew +2.1 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.9 %, EBIT margin −1.5 %, tax rate −1.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Charter Hall Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Charter Hall Group (CHC)?
The market capitalisation of Charter Hall Group is A$10.6B (≈ $7.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Charter Hall Group (CHC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Charter Hall Group is 10.8 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Charter Hall Group (CHC)?
Earnings per share at Charter Hall Group are A$0.8900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Charter Hall Group (CHC)?
The dividend yield of Charter Hall Group is 2.3% (payout 56.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Charter Hall Group (CHC)?
The net margin of Charter Hall Group is 43.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Charter Hall Group (CHC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Charter Hall Group is 15.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Charter Hall Group (CHC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Charter Hall Group is 9.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Charter Hall Group (CHC)?
The operating margin of Charter Hall Group is 59.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Charter Hall Group (CHC)?
Revenue at Charter Hall Group is growing −8.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Charter Hall Group (CHC)?
Earnings per share at Charter Hall Group are growing −32.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Charter Hall Group (CHC) generate?
The free cash flow of Charter Hall Group is −A$22.6M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Charter Hall Group (CHC) carry?
The net debt of Charter Hall Group is A$512M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 11, 2026