Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd stock $202, price $147, upside +37.1%, quality 78 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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The stock costs 27% less than our calculation considers fair.
Fair value $202.15 · Undervalued (27%)
Quality 78/100
Healthy Growth(revenue 5y +5.7 %/yr in USD)
Highly profitable · 37.9% net margin (TTM)
Generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers(9/14)
Wide moat90/100
Positive coverage
38% return on equity.
Moderate debt
Insiders sold $12.7M (6M)
Some data
Risks from the AI analysis
🚩Price drop: Slower firewall appliance refreshes weighing on product and maintenance revenue🚩Slower firewall refreshes hitting hardware revenue🚩Rivals like Palo Alto and Fortinet could erode market share🚩Reliance on few large distributors could disrupt revenue
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $109.26 – $233.47 · fair‑value band $131.00 – $298.89 · the $147.41 price screens below the $202.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
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Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. develops, markets, and supports a range of products and services for IT security worldwide. It provides a multilevel security architecture that defends enterprises' cloud, network, mobile devices, endpoints information, and IOT solutions.
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The company offers Mesh Network Security, which comprises Firewall, Maestro Hyperscale Firewall, Firewall Software R82.10, Spark Firewall, and AI Powered Security Management for hybrid cloud, internet and perimeter gateways, and branch locations.
It also provides Workspace Security Platform, including email, endpoint, mobile, browser, and XDR security solutions across devices, browsers, SaaS apps, and remote access.
In addition, the company offers Threat Exposure Management platforms comprising threat intelligence, vulnerability detection and prioritization, and safe remediation. Further, it offers AI Security platforms comprising workforce and agent security, and red teaming solutions.
Additionally, the company offers cyber security services, including managed detection and response, incident response, security consulting and managed, security consulting, professional, and training services.
The company also provides technical customer support programs and plans; professional services in implementing, upgrading, and optimizing its products comprising design planning and security implementation; and certification and educational training services on its products.
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.
Stock analysis
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP) currently trades at $147.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $202.15, implying the stock looks roughly 27% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $259.98 per share, and 15 of the 24 models we run sit above the $147.41 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $82.25, and 9 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $131.00 (bear) to $298.89 (bull), the price of $147.41 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd reported revenue of $2.7B in FY2025 versus $2.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1B in FY2025, compounding +6.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $15.3B Large · P/E ratio 15.1 · P/S ratio 5.52 · EPS (TTM) $9.77 · Net margin 37.9% · Return on equity 37.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.5% · Operating margin 27.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 90 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 37%, CHKP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$131.00Fair Value $202.15Bull$298.89
Price $147.41 · Upside +37.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($8.27 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 6 officers or directors sold shares worth $12.7M and none bought.
SaleNataly KremerChief Product Officer2× since Aug 3, 2026: 3,850 shares, avg. $145.51$560,226Oct 22, 2026
SaleSherif SeddikChief Revenue Officer10,272 shares at $123.59$1.3MAug 4, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleRoei GolanChief Financial Officer9,860 shares at $123.75$1.2MAug 3, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleJerry T UngermanDirector25,000 shares at $122.55$3.1MJun 11, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleShenhav Tal ShavitDirector25,000 shares at $123.07$3.1MJun 11, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleYoav CheloucheDirector25,000 shares at $140.28$3.5MJun 2, 202610b5-1 plan
Plus 18 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.3% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+3.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10.0% vs 9.9%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.44% → 31%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−4.1%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −6.3% a year for the price and +1.7% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: High margins and a founder CEO lend some support to competitive advantage, while limited and mixed public evidence on most moat factors leaves the overall quality assessment constrained.
Main risk: Named competitors such as Palo Alto Networks, Fortinet and CrowdStrike offer similar cybersecurity solutions and might capture customers or force Check Point to lower prices on its network security products.
Bull case: Check Point could leverage its AI security innovations and partnerships to differentiate its offerings and retain or gain customers against rivals.
Bear case: If rivals gain ground with more advanced or cost-effective solutions, Check Point might lose significant market share in network and cloud security.
Check Point faces slower firewall appliance refreshes that weighed on product and maintenance revenue this quarter while subscriptions rose 11 percent to over half of total sales. Management sees the period as a trough and expects gradual improvement ahead. Our models see the stock as undervalued, but will the subscription transition offset the hardware drag before growth reaccelerates?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 342 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score78 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+37.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)37.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets13.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)37.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)27.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)1.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.68× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Check Point Software Technologies Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHKP
Frequently asked questions
Is Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $202.15 versus a price of $147.41, about +37% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CHKP?
Our model-based fair value for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd is $202.15 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $147.41.
What is the quality score of CHKP?
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd has a Quality Score of 78/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $202.15 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $131.00, optimistic scenario $298.89. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Check Point Software Technologies Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $202.15, about +37% upside versus a price of $147.41 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $131.00, optimistic scenario $298.89. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP)?
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.8B (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Check Point Software Technologies Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -4.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.7 % per year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CHKP use?
Our models discount Check Point Software Technologies Ltd at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.42, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Check Point Software Technologies Ltd that is -4.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Check Point Software Technologies Ltd grew +5.7 % a year. The price currently implies -4.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (-4.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.92 %: that much free cash flow Check Point Software Technologies Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Check Point Software Technologies Ltd it is $202.15 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of $147.41. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Check Point Software Technologies Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, CHKP trades below its calculated fair value: price $147.41, fair value $202.15, a gap of about +37% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CHKP?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($147.41); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($202.15). For Check Point Software Technologies Ltd the two are $54.74 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Check Point Software Technologies Ltd worth?
The market values Check Point Software Technologies Ltd at about $15.3B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is $147.41; our models calculate a fair value of $202.15 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CHKP?
Our models span a range for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd: cautious scenario $131.00, base $202.15, optimistic $298.89 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price $147.41). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CHKP?
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.1 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $202.15 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 20.3. Other multiples: PEG 1.3, P/B 5.3, P/S 5.5, EV/EBITDA 18.2.
What is the PEG ratio of CHKP?
The PEG ratio of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd is 1.35 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 37.6%, debt of 0.68 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 78/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CHKP from its 52-week high?
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd trades at $147.41, about 28% below its 52-week high of $204.39 and 31% above the low of $112.47 (as of Nov 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $202.15 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Check Point Software Technologies Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Check Point Software Technologies Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price $147.41, calculated fair value $202.15 (+37%), Quality Score 78/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CHKP calculated?
We run Check Point Software Technologies Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $202.15, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Check Point Software Technologies Ltd currently trades 27% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP)?
The closing price on Nov 4, 2026 was $147.41. Our model-based fair value is $202.15, about +37% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Check Point Software Technologies Ltd right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (78/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. A fairly wide model range ($131.00 to $298.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP) come from?
Earnings per share at Check Point Software Technologies Ltd grew +8.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.9 %, EBIT margin −4.5 %, tax rate +2.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP)?
The market capitalisation of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd is $15.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd is 5.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP)?
Earnings per share at Check Point Software Technologies Ltd are $9.77 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP)?
The net margin of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd is 37.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd is 37.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd is 14.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP)?
The operating margin of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd is 27.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP)?
Revenue at Check Point Software Technologies Ltd is growing +1.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP)?
Earnings per share at Check Point Software Technologies Ltd are growing +1.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP) carry?
The net debt of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd is $172M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 3, 2026