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Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $14.3B

CP Check Point Software Technologies Ltd logo Check Point Software Technologies Ltd CHKP · US
Price$125.28
Fair Value$113.86
Upside-9.1%
Quality64/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 38.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 86/100
Evidence: High Range $84.98 – $142.74 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −9.7% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $84.98 (bear) to $142.74 (bull), base $113.86. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 64/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$233.47 $109.26 Fair Value $113.86 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $109.26 – $233.47 · fair‑value band $84.98 – $142.74 · the $125.28 price screens above the $113.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP) currently trades at $125.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $113.86, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Check Point Software Technologies Ltd generated revenue of $2.8B at a net margin of 38.4%. Revenue grew 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 38.0%. Net debt stands at $172M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $84.98 (bear case) to $142.74 (bull case); at $125.28, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -9%, CHKP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $136.10 $209.19 $316.65 80
Residual Income $86.15 $148.13 $2,532 76
Rev-Margin DCF $73.88 $108.42 $150.06 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $134.62 $219.13 $352.72 38
Owner Earnings $125.14 $203.77 $328.07 31
5Y Revenue Exit $73.88 $106.99 $147.91 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $96.09 $149.64 $212.07 41
5Y P/E Exit $135.02 $224.39 $320.13 38
10Y Revenue Exit $92.78 $128.97 $176.06 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $108.52 $159.00 $226.25 37
10Y P/E Exit $133.60 $211.65 $310.77 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $69.09 $242.79 $326.58 54
Lynch FV $56.68 $80.97 $105.27 50
PEG = 1.0 $56.68 $80.97 $105.27 46
EPV $66.82 $78.24 $88.22 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.1300 $0.2700 $0.4300 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1300 $0.2300 $0.2800 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $152.40 $203.20 $253.99 63
P/S Multiple $49.12 $65.50 $81.87 58
P/B Multiple $62.34 $83.12 $103.89 55
EV/EBIT $106.20 $142.15 $178.10 53
EV/EBITDA $84.98 $113.86 $142.74 54
EV/Revenue $44.19 $63.84 $83.49 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $13.85 $18.56 $27.71 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $136.10 $209.19 $316.65 80
Rev-Margin DCF $73.88 $108.42 $150.06 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $86.15 $148.13 $2,532 76
ROIC Compounder $72.67 $93.04 $116.87 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $132.44 $189.20 $245.96 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($189.20) versus Dividend Discount ($0.2300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.8%
Net margin 38.4%
Return on equity 38.0%
Free cash flow $1.2B FY2025
P/E ratio 14.0
More key figures
Operating margin 27.7%
EPS (TTM) $9.78
EPS growth (YoY) +5.8%
Net debt $172M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 71
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 86
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. develops, markets, and supports a range of products and services for IT security worldwide. It provides a multilevel security architecture that defends enterprises' cloud, network, mobile devices, endpoints information, and IOT solutions.

Full company description

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. develops, markets, and supports a range of products and services for IT security worldwide. It provides a multilevel security architecture that defends enterprises' cloud, network, mobile devices, endpoints information, and IOT solutions. The company offers Mesh Network Security, which comprises Firewall, Maestro Hyperscale Firewall, Firewall Software R82.10, Spark Firewall, and AI Powered Security Management for hybrid cloud, internet and perimeter gateways, and branch locations. It also provides Workspace Security Platform, including email, endpoint, mobile, browser, and XDR security solutions across devices, browsers, SaaS apps, and remote access. In addition, the company offers Threat Exposure Management platforms comprising threat intelligence, vulnerability detection and prioritization, and safe remediation. Further, it offers AI Security platforms comprising workforce and agent security, and red teaming solutions. Additionally, the company offers cyber security services, including managed detection and response, incident response, security consulting and managed, security consulting, professional, and training services. The company also provides technical customer support programs and plans; professional services in implementing, upgrading, and optimizing its products comprising design planning and security implementation; and certification and educational training services on its products. Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd reported revenue of $2.7B in FY2025 versus $2.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1B in FY2025, compounding +6.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.7B
Latest YoY
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y)
+16.6%
Revenue +5.9%/yr
FY21 $2.2B
FY22 $2.3B
FY23 $2.4B
FY24 $2.6B
FY25 $2.7B
Net income +6.7%/yr
FY21 $816M
FY22 $797M
FY23 $840M
FY24 $846M
FY25 $1.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Check Point Software Technologies Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHKP

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 367 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −9% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.68× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 4.95× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.18× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 11.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 16.5× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.31× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 21 · sector 0
FUTURE 24 · sector 46
PAST 100 · sector 15
HEALTH 66 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 29

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $384.00 $274.17 -29%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$9.08 C$2.94 -68%
Palantir Technologies Inc 1PLTR €112.86 €12.03 -89%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.78 $44.96 -72%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €381.50 €118.28 -69%
Block, Inc XYZ A$114.53 A$70.69 -38%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $79.94 $44.89 -44%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥71.60 ¥34.00 -53%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,651 ₹5,821 -50%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,342 ₹181.50 -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $113.86 versus a price of $125.28, about −9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CHKP?
Our model-based fair value for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd is $113.86 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $125.28.
What is the quality score of CHKP?
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd has a Quality Score of 64/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP)?
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CHKP?
The net profit margin of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd is about 38.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 38.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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