Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. stock $196, price $213, that is 7.9% below the price, quality 76 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 23 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $36.50 – $216.63 · fair‑value band $102.87 – $265.01 · the $212.50 price screens above the $195.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
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Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes nonalcoholic beverages in the United States. It operates through Nonalcoholic Beverages and All Other segments.
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The company offers sparkling beverages; still beverages, including energy products; noncarbonated beverages, such as bottled water, ready to drink coffee and tea, enhanced water, juices, and sports drinks.
It also sells its products to other Coca-Cola bottlers; and post-mix products that are dispensed through equipment, which mix the fountain syrups with carbonated or still water enabling fountain retailers to sell finished products to consumers in cups or glasses.
In addition, the company manufactures and distributes various other beverage brands comprising Dr Pepper and Monster Energy.
It sells and distributes its products directly to customers, including grocery stores, mass merchandise stores, club stores, convenience stores and drug stores, restaurants, schools, amusement parks, and recreational facilities, as well as vending machine outlets.
The company was formerly known as Coca-Cola Bottling Co. Consolidated and changed its name to Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. in January 2019. Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
Stock analysis
Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE) currently trades at $212.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $195.66, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 8.6%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $212.01 per share, and 5 of the 23 models we run sit above the $212.50 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $27.04, and 18 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $102.87 (bear) to $265.01 (bull), the price of $212.50 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. reported revenue of $7.2B in FY2025 versus $5.6B in FY2021, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was $571M in FY2025, compounding +31.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $14.2B Large · P/E ratio 27.8 · P/S ratio 1.84 · EPS (TTM) $7.53 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 7.2% · Return on equity 97.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at −8%, COKE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$102.87Fair Value $195.66Bull$265.01
Price $212.50 · Downside -7.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($5.55 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
SaleCOCA COLA CO10% owner18,835,460 shares at $127.00$2.4BNov 7, 2025
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.1% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+29.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+28.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.30.1% vs 28.9%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 13%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +7.9% a year for the price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (84 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: Strength in its role as the main bottler and regional distributor for a broad beverage lineup is offset by negative equity and exposure to labor friction.
Main risk: Government rules on obesity, sugary drinks or recycling could cut demand for core products or raise compliance costs.
Coca-Cola Consolidated keeps declaring its quarterly dividend while Teamsters picket lines expand to more facilities. Its role as the main bottler and regional distributor for a broad beverage lineup creates exposure to any sustained labor friction that might affect production or delivery. Will steady distributions signal strong underlying resilience or paper over growing operational risks?
Compare Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 79 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score76 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−7.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets12.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)7.2% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)13.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)10.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)27.8× · Priciest 25%
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)1.84× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow22.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA13.6× · Pricier than median
PEG3.04× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)23· sector 17
FUTURE (revenue growth)53· sector 30
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 52
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)9· sector 61
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/COKE
Frequently asked questions
Is Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $195.66 versus a price of $212.50, about 8% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of COKE?
Our model-based fair value for Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. is $195.66 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $212.50.
What is the quality score of COKE?
Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. has a Quality Score of 76/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $195.66 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $102.87, optimistic scenario $265.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $195.66, about 8% lower versus a price of $212.50 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $102.87, optimistic scenario $265.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE)?
Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.7B (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. pay a dividend?
Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of 0.47% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +10.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.6 % per year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of COKE use?
Our models discount Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. at 8.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.54, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. that is +10.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. grew +7.6 % a year. The price currently implies +10.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (+10.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.41 %: that much free cash flow Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. it is $195.66 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of $212.50. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, COKE trades above its calculated fair value: price $212.50, fair value $195.66, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of COKE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($212.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($195.66). For Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. the two are $16.84 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. worth?
The market values Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. at about $14.2B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is $212.50; our models calculate a fair value of $195.66 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about COKE?
Our models span a range for Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc.: cautious scenario $102.87, base $195.66, optimistic $265.01 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price $212.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of COKE?
Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.8 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $195.66 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 3.0, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 13.6.
What is the PEG ratio of COKE?
The PEG ratio of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. is 3.04 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (as of Nov 3, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 76/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is COKE from its 52-week high?
Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. trades at $212.50, about 2% below its 52-week high of $216.63 and 58% above the low of $134.34 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $195.66 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price $212.50, calculated fair value $195.66 (−8%), Quality Score 76/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of COKE calculated?
We run Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $195.66, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was $212.50. Our model-based fair value is $195.66, about 8% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($102.87 to $265.01) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE) come from?
Earnings per share at Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. grew +31.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +13.0 %, EBIT margin +12.9 %, tax rate +2.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE)?
The market capitalisation of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. is $14.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. is 1.84 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE)?
Earnings per share at Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. are $7.53 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE)?
The dividend yield of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. is 0.5% (payout 13.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE)?
The net margin of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. is 7.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. is 97.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. is 17.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE)?
The operating margin of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. is 13.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE)?
Revenue at Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. is growing +10.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE)?
Earnings per share at Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. are growing +10.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE) carry?
The net debt of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. is $2.7B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 3, 2026