Greif Bros Corporation (GEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Greif Bros Corporation stock $37.59, price $72.51, that is 48.2% below the price, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free
Greif Bros Corporation
GEF · USOur calculation puts a fair price 48% below what the stock costs today.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $46.48 – $89.45 · fair‑value band $20.71 – $55.24 · the $72.51 price screens above the $37.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
Every Wednesday you see whether Greif Bros is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Company profile
Greif, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells industrial packaging products and services worldwide. It operates in four segments: Customized Polymer Solutions; Durable Metal Solutions; Sustainable Fiber Solutions; and Integrated Solutions.
Show moreShow less
The Customized Polymer Solutions segment produces and sells polymer-based packaging products, such as plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers, and small plastics for chemicals, food and beverage, agricultural, pharmaceutical, and mineral products industries.
The Durable Metal Solutions segment offers metal-based packaging products, including various steel drums for the chemicals, petroleum, agriculture, and paints and coatings industries.
The Sustainable Fiber Solutions segment provides fiber-based packaging products comprising fibre drums, uncoated recycled board, coated recycled board, tubes and cores, and specialty partitions made from uncoated recycled board and coated recycled board to packaging, automotive, construction, food and beverage, and building products industries.
The Integrated Solutions segment offers complimentary packaging products, such as paints, linings, and closure systems for industrial packaging products and related services.
The company manufactures and sells rigid industrial packaging products, such as steel, fibre and plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers, jerrycans and other small plastics, closure systems for industrial packaging products, water bottles, and remanufactured and reconditioned industrial containers, as well as offers container life cycle management, logistics, warehousing, and other packaging services.
It also purchases and sells recycled fiber; and produces and sells adhesives. The company was formerly known as Greif Bros. Corporation and changed its name to Greif, Inc. in 2001. Greif, Inc. was founded in 1877 and is headquartered in Delaware, Ohio.
Stock analysis
Greif Bros Corporation (GEF) currently trades at $72.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $37.59, 48% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $62.65 per share, and 1 of the 25 models we run sit above the $72.51 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $25.21, and 24 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $20.71 (bear) to $55.24 (bull), the price of $72.51 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Greif Bros Corporation reported revenue of $4.4B in FY2026 versus $6.3B in FY2022, a compound −8.9%/yr. Reported net income was $262M in FY2026, compounding −8.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $4.2B Mid · P/E ratio 32.8 · P/S ratio 1.96 · EPS (TTM) $2.21 · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 6.0% · Return on equity 9.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −48%, GEF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 25 models by family
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, 7 officers or directors sold shares worth $9.4M and none bought.
- SaleTimothy BergwallSVP, Chief Commercial Officer13× since Nov 12, 2025: 30,000 shares, avg. $74.83$2.2MOct 12, 2026
- SaleBala SathyanarayananEVP, Chief Human Resources Off6× since Dec 10, 2025: 36,821 shares, avg. $73.80$2.7MAug 24, 2026
- SaleLawrence A. HilsheimerEVP and CFO4× since Nov 11, 2025: 102,883 shares, avg. $74.11$7.6MAug 7, 2026
- SaleMark A EmkesDirector3,000 shares at $87.04$261,120Aug 3, 2026
- SaleGaylord BennerSVP SBGM Sust. Fiber Solutions2× since Feb 4, 2026: 5,453 shares, avg. $80.95$441,400Aug 3, 2026
- SaleMatthew B. LeahySVP SBU GM Innovative Closure2× since Feb 5, 2026: 2,283 shares, avg. $79.25$180,908Aug 3, 2026
- SaleOle G RosgaardPresident and CEO, Director2× since Dec 15, 2025: 49,820 shares, avg. $83.47$4.2MAug 3, 2026
- BuyBala SathyanarayananEVP, Chief Human Resources Off3× since Feb 3, 2026: 3,930 shares, avg. $87.74$344,801Feb 9, 2026
- BuyLawrence A. HilsheimerEVP and CFO5× since Nov 12, 2025: 52,540 shares, avg. $74.22$3.9MFeb 4, 2026
- SaleKimberly Anne KellermannSVP, Chief Operations Officer5,265 shares at $71.99$379,027Feb 3, 2026
Plus 3 more entries from the last 12 months.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
GEF screens overvalued: fair value 48% below the price. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →
Recent news
- Is Cost Savings Expansion Altering The Investment Case For Greif (GEF)?
- Greif Named Top 100 Most Loved Workplace® for Sixth Consecutive Year
- Greif Inc (GEF) (Q4 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Adjusted EPS Surges 75% as Cost Savings and ...
- Greif Q4 Earnings Miss Estimates on Higher Costs, Sales Beat
Compare Greif Bros Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 259 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- EV/EBITDA by industry
- Dividend yield by industry
- PEG screener for stocks with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crown Holdings CCK | $121.30 | $121.85 | +0% | vs GEF |
| Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW | $44.09 | $44.16 | +0% | vs GEF |
| Stora Enso Oyj STEAV | €9.68 | €9.67 | +0% | vs GEF |
| Reynolds Consumer Products Inc REYN | $24.11 | $19.83 | −18% | vs GEF |
| Amcor plc AMC | A$65.01 | A$49.16 | −24% | vs GEF |
| Ball Corporation BALL | $65.92 | $48.92 | −26% | vs GEF |
| Avery Dennison Corporation AVY | $186.78 | $125.58 | −33% | vs GEF |
| SIG Group SIGN | CHF 15.10 | CHF 9.03 | −40% | vs GEF |
| Packaging Corporation PKG | $249.70 | $130.52 | −48% | vs GEF |
| International Paper Company IP | $34.53 | $6.91 | −80% | vs GEF |
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Greif Bros Corporation (GEF) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of GEF?
What is the quality score of GEF?
What is the price target for Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
What is the Greif Bros Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
What is the revenue of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
Does Greif Bros Corporation pay a dividend?
How much is the dividend of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF) and when is the ex-dividend date?
What growth is priced into Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GEF use?
What is a reverse DCF?
How much growth has Greif Bros Corporation (GEF) delivered so far?
How fast is the sector of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF) growing?
What is the free cash flow yield of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
What is the intrinsic value of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
Is Greif Bros Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
Is fair value the same as the market price of GEF?
How much is Greif Bros Corporation worth?
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GEF?
What is the P/E ratio of GEF?
What is the PEG ratio of GEF?
How solid is the balance sheet of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
How far is GEF from its 52-week high?
Which stocks are comparable to Greif Bros Corporation?
Is Greif Bros Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
How is the fair value of GEF calculated?
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
What is the share price of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
What should I pay attention to with Greif Bros Corporation right now?
Where does the earnings growth of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF) come from?
Key figures of Greif Bros Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
What is the P/S ratio of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
What are the earnings per share of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
What is the dividend yield of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
What is the net margin of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
What is the return on equity of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
What is the EBIT return on assets of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
What is the operating margin of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
How fast is revenue growing at Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
How fast are earnings growing at Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
How much net debt does Greif Bros Corporation (GEF) carry?
Watch Greif Bros Corporation in the live analysis
One click puts Greif Bros Corporation on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.