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Greif Bros Corporation (GEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Greif Bros Corporation stock $37.59, price $72.51, that is 48.2% below the price, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical US

GB Greif Bros Corporation logo Broad data Nov 7, 2026

Greif Bros Corporation

GEF · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 48% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Generates free cash flow
2.6% dividend yield · Sustainable
Positive coverage
Broad data
Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +63%, profit +43%.
Thin margins · 5.9% net margin (TTM)
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Insiders sold $9.4M (6M)
Fair value $37.59 · Strongly overvalued (−48.2%)
Quality 39/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −4.7 %/yr in USD)
Narrow moat 42/100
⚠ Dilution
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Price vs Fair Value

$89.45 $46.48 Fair Value $37.59 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $46.48 – $89.45 · fair‑value band $20.71 – $55.24 · the $72.51 price screens above the $37.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Greif, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells industrial packaging products and services worldwide. It operates in four segments: Customized Polymer Solutions; Durable Metal Solutions; Sustainable Fiber Solutions; and Integrated Solutions.

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The Customized Polymer Solutions segment produces and sells polymer-based packaging products, such as plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers, and small plastics for chemicals, food and beverage, agricultural, pharmaceutical, and mineral products industries.

The Durable Metal Solutions segment offers metal-based packaging products, including various steel drums for the chemicals, petroleum, agriculture, and paints and coatings industries.

The Sustainable Fiber Solutions segment provides fiber-based packaging products comprising fibre drums, uncoated recycled board, coated recycled board, tubes and cores, and specialty partitions made from uncoated recycled board and coated recycled board to packaging, automotive, construction, food and beverage, and building products industries.

The Integrated Solutions segment offers complimentary packaging products, such as paints, linings, and closure systems for industrial packaging products and related services.

The company manufactures and sells rigid industrial packaging products, such as steel, fibre and plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers, jerrycans and other small plastics, closure systems for industrial packaging products, water bottles, and remanufactured and reconditioned industrial containers, as well as offers container life cycle management, logistics, warehousing, and other packaging services.

It also purchases and sells recycled fiber; and produces and sells adhesives. The company was formerly known as Greif Bros. Corporation and changed its name to Greif, Inc. in 2001. Greif, Inc. was founded in 1877 and is headquartered in Delaware, Ohio.

Stock analysis

Greif Bros Corporation (GEF) currently trades at $72.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $37.59, 48% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $62.65 per share, and 1 of the 25 models we run sit above the $72.51 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $25.21, and 24 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $20.71 (bear) to $55.24 (bull), the price of $72.51 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Greif Bros Corporation reported revenue of $4.4B in FY2026 versus $6.3B in FY2022, a compound −8.9%/yr. Reported net income was $262M in FY2026, compounding −8.7%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $4.2B Mid · P/E ratio 32.8 · P/S ratio 1.96 · EPS (TTM) $2.21 · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 6.0% · Return on equity 9.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −48%, GEF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $20.71 Fair Value $37.59 Bull $55.24
Price $72.51 · Downside -48.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 0 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0064 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF $12.30 $20.90 $32.73 78
Growth DCF $12.92 $20.97 $31.62 76
Owner Earnings $25.18 $39.05 $58.13 75
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $12.30 $20.90 $32.73 78
Owner Earnings $25.18 $39.05 $58.13 75
5Y Revenue Exit $24.37 $44.22 $68.73 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $33.50 $60.29 $90.15 73
5Y P/E Exit $24.83 $45.02 $64.99 69
10Y Revenue Exit $18.35 $35.02 $55.69 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $25.16 $45.70 $70.98 66
10Y P/E Exit $19.82 $35.56 $53.01 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $25.07 $55.09 $70.22 63
PEG = 1.0 $8.75 $12.50 $16.25 55
EPV $21.23 $26.09 $30.31 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $16.79 $26.29 $36.58 66
DDM Multi-Stage $16.79 $24.13 $32.23 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple $47.01 $62.68 $78.35 61
P/S Multiple $47.01 $62.68 $78.35 56
P/B Multiple $12.08 $16.10 $20.13 53
EV/EBIT $46.04 $62.62 $79.19 64
EV/EBITDA $59.16 $80.11 $101.06 66
EV/Revenue $39.41 $57.88 $76.35 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.68 $3.60 $5.37 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $12.92 $20.97 $31.62 76
Rev-Margin DCF $24.37 $44.30 $65.14 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income $34.80 $37.86 $44.28 75
ROIC Compounder $21.23 $26.09 $30.31 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $35.42 $50.60 $65.78 66

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 40
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 28
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 60
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 73
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 77
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 53
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 59
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 6
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 7 officers or directors sold shares worth $9.4M and none bought.

  • SaleTimothy BergwallSVP, Chief Commercial Officer13× since Nov 12, 2025: 30,000 shares, avg. $74.83$2.2MOct 12, 2026
  • SaleBala SathyanarayananEVP, Chief Human Resources Off6× since Dec 10, 2025: 36,821 shares, avg. $73.80$2.7MAug 24, 2026
  • SaleLawrence A. HilsheimerEVP and CFO4× since Nov 11, 2025: 102,883 shares, avg. $74.11$7.6MAug 7, 2026
  • SaleMark A EmkesDirector3,000 shares at $87.04$261,120Aug 3, 2026
  • SaleGaylord BennerSVP SBGM Sust. Fiber Solutions2× since Feb 4, 2026: 5,453 shares, avg. $80.95$441,400Aug 3, 2026
  • SaleMatthew B. LeahySVP SBU GM Innovative Closure2× since Feb 5, 2026: 2,283 shares, avg. $79.25$180,908Aug 3, 2026
  • SaleOle G RosgaardPresident and CEO, Director2× since Dec 15, 2025: 49,820 shares, avg. $83.47$4.2MAug 3, 2026
  • BuyBala SathyanarayananEVP, Chief Human Resources Off3× since Feb 3, 2026: 3,930 shares, avg. $87.74$344,801Feb 9, 2026
  • BuyLawrence A. HilsheimerEVP and CFO5× since Nov 12, 2025: 52,540 shares, avg. $74.22$3.9MFeb 4, 2026
  • SaleKimberly Anne KellermannSVP, Chief Operations Officer5,265 shares at $71.99$379,027Feb 3, 2026

Plus 3 more entries from the last 12 months.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.8% a year
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−10.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−10.1% vs 11.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 8%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.7% a year for the price and −0.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+2.1%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+2.1%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.1%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.1%
Projected 2031 (sales)+2.1%

GEF screens overvalued: fair value 48% below the price. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (86 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Note from the team Oct 11, 2026
AI conclusion: Modest scale in industrial packaging provides a base, yet weak cash conversion and limited differentiation undermine earnings sustainability.
Main risk: Greater exposure to volume weakness in metals, polymers and fibers after portfolio simplification would hit demand in the core businesses.
Greif is closing its Sweetwater mill by year end to exit coated recycled paperboard entirely, removing 120,000 tons of capacity due to limited integration and weak competitiveness. The move aligns with a push to concentrate on stronger segments while industrial demand remains soft and cost cuts continue. Will the simpler portfolio improve returns on the core businesses, or will it leave the company more exposed to volume weakness in metals, polymers and fibers?
Join the discussion →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 259 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −48.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 9.2% · Above median
Return on assets 4.6% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 5.9% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 8.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 63.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.32× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 32.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.46× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 0.95× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 34.7× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.77× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)37 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)84 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)53 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Crown Holdings CCK $121.30 $121.85 +0% vs GEF
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $44.09 $44.16 +0% vs GEF
Stora Enso Oyj STEAV €9.68 €9.67 +0% vs GEF
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc REYN $24.11 $19.83 −18% vs GEF
Amcor plc AMC A$65.01 A$49.16 −24% vs GEF
Ball Corporation BALL $65.92 $48.92 −26% vs GEF
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $186.78 $125.58 −33% vs GEF
SIG Group SIGN CHF 15.10 CHF 9.03 −40% vs GEF
Packaging Corporation PKG $249.70 $130.52 −48% vs GEF
International Paper Company IP $34.53 $6.91 −80% vs GEF

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Greif Bros Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GEF

Frequently asked questions

Is Greif Bros Corporation (GEF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $37.59 versus a price of $72.51, about 48% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GEF?
Our model-based fair value for Greif Bros Corporation is $37.59 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $72.51.
What is the quality score of GEF?
Greif Bros Corporation has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $37.59 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $20.71, optimistic scenario $55.24. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Greif Bros Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $37.59, about 48% lower versus a price of $72.51 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $20.71, optimistic scenario $55.24. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
Greif Bros Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.4B (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Greif Bros Corporation pay a dividend?
Greif Bros Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of 2.64% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Greif Bros Corporation pays a dividend of $1.92 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.6%. The next ex-dividend date is Dec 17, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1989. The payout ratio is 86.7% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 2.53 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Greif Bros Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +21.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -4.7 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GEF use?
Our models discount Greif Bros Corporation at 9.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.80, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Greif Bros Corporation that is +21.6 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Greif Bros Corporation (GEF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Greif Bros Corporation grew -4.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +21.6 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Greif Bros Corporation (+21.6 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.88 %: that much free cash flow Greif Bros Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Greif Bros Corporation it is $37.59 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $72.51. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Greif Bros Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, GEF trades above its calculated fair value: price $72.51, fair value $37.59, a gap of about −48% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GEF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($72.51); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($37.59). For Greif Bros Corporation the two are $34.92 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Greif Bros Corporation worth?
The market values Greif Bros Corporation at about $4.2B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $72.51; our models calculate a fair value of $37.59 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GEF?
Our models span a range for Greif Bros Corporation: cautious scenario $20.71, base $37.59, optimistic $55.24 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $72.51). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GEF?
Greif Bros Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.8 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $37.59 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 10.9. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 1.5, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 8.4.
What is the PEG ratio of GEF?
The PEG ratio of Greif Bros Corporation is 0.77 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Greif Bros Corporation (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 9.2%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GEF from its 52-week high?
Greif Bros Corporation trades at $72.51, about 19% below its 52-week high of $89.45 and 30% above the low of $55.67 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $37.59 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Greif Bros Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Greif Bros Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $72.51, calculated fair value $37.59 (−48%), Quality Score 39/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GEF calculated?
We run Greif Bros Corporation through 25 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $37.59 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Greif Bros Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $72.51. Our model-based fair value is $37.59, about 48% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Greif Bros Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($55.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($20.71 to $55.24). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF) come from?
Earnings per share at Greif Bros Corporation grew +19.2 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.6 %, EBIT margin +1.5 %, tax rate +4.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +10.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Greif Bros Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
The market capitalisation of Greif Bros Corporation is $4.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Greif Bros Corporation is 1.96 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
Earnings per share at Greif Bros Corporation are $2.21 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 32.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
The dividend yield of Greif Bros Corporation is 2.6% (payout 86.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
The net margin of Greif Bros Corporation is 6.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Greif Bros Corporation is 9.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Greif Bros Corporation is 7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
The operating margin of Greif Bros Corporation is 8.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
Revenue at Greif Bros Corporation is growing +63.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)?
Earnings per share at Greif Bros Corporation are growing +43.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Greif Bros Corporation (GEF) carry?
The net debt of Greif Bros Corporation is $262M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 2.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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