Nissan Motor Co Ltd (NSANY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Nissan Motor Co Ltd stock $5.66, price $3.54, upside +60.0%, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.32 – $10.74 · fair‑value band $5.66 – $14.80 · the $3.54 price screens below the $5.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Nissan Motor Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells vehicles and automotive parts in Japan, the United States, rest of North America, Europe, rest of Asia, and internationally. It operates through Automobile and Sales Financing segments.
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The company offers vehicle and vehicle parts; drivetrains; electrified power trains and automobile transmissions; engines, axles, and engine parts for automobiles and forklifts; automotive lithium-ion batteries; and motorsports.
It also provides financial, auto credit and car leasing, card business, casualty insurance, and inventory finance services.
In addition, the company engages in exterior and interior design for automobiles; analyzing and teaching of metal, inorganic, and composite materials; training and teaching of material analyzing; research and development of material analysis; marketing and sales/travel; business information; after sales; proving ground and vehicle administration; production, equipment and environmental, measurement, and other engineering; and design, vehicle drawing and experiments, and electronic devices and equipment activities.
Further, it is involved in the export and import of vehicles, service parts, auto components, materials, and industrial facilities; real estate business management; import and wholesale of Renault cars and related parts; management of a professional soccer club; holding of football and other sports events; conversion; sale, purchase, leasing, and management of real estate; car rental; and vehicle research and development, evaluation, certification, and warranty management activities.
The company sells vehicles under the Nissan and Infiniti brands. Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1933 and is headquartered in Yokohama, Japan.
Stock analysis
Nissan Motor Co Ltd (NSANY) currently trades at $3.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.66, implying the stock looks roughly 38% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 93/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: $5.66 (bear) to $14.80 (bull), the price of $3.54 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Nissan Motor Co Ltd ADR reported revenue of ¥12.7T in FY2026 versus ¥8.4T in FY2022, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was −¥565B in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $6.2B Mid · EPS (TTM) $−1.53 · Net margin −4.4% · Return on equity −7.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin 2.6% · Revenue (TTM) $12.3T · Revenue growth (YoY) +9.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 13 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 60%, NSANY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$5.66Fair Value $5.66Bull$14.80
Price $3.54 · Upside +60.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDAn/a$4.89$12.7862
NCAV (Graham)$8.40$11.25$16.7954
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDAn/a$4.89$12.7862
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$8.40$11.25$16.7954
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.35/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.4% a year
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.9% (2021) → 0.5% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
AI conclusion: Nissan's US retail sales momentum and China-sourced exports provide a potential buffer, while sustained global volume weakness and poor cash generation remain the core limitations.
Main risk: Steep ongoing decline in China threatens vehicle demand and overall production volumes across Nissan's global operations.
Nissan posts 19 straight months of US retail sales growth even as global volumes slide toward the weakest year since 2003, dragged down by a steep China decline. Its Chinese joint venture now ships the first models developed and built there for export to markets like Mexico and the Middle East. Our models see it as undervalued. Will the US momentum plus these China-sourced exports outweigh the China losses and stabilize the business, or will the global weakness continue to dominate?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 106 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Below median
Fair Value upside+60.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−2.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−3.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)2.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)9.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.08× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nissan Motor Co Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NSANY
Frequently asked questions
Is Nissan Motor Co Ltd (NSANY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.66 versus a price of $3.54, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NSANY?
Our model-based fair value for Nissan Motor Co Ltd is $5.66 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.54.
What is the quality score of NSANY?
Nissan Motor Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nissan Motor Co Ltd (NSANY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.66 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.66, optimistic scenario $14.80. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nissan Motor Co Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.66, about +60% upside versus a price of $3.54 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $5.66, optimistic scenario $14.80. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nissan Motor Co Ltd (NSANY)?
Nissan Motor Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $12.3T (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nissan Motor Co Ltd (NSANY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nissan Motor Co Ltd it is $5.66 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $3.54. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Nissan Motor Co Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, NSANY trades below its calculated fair value: price $3.54, fair value $5.66, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NSANY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.54); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.66). For Nissan Motor Co Ltd the two are $2.12 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nissan Motor Co Ltd ADR worth?
The market values Nissan Motor Co Ltd at about $6.2B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $3.54; our models calculate a fair value of $5.66 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NSANY?
Our models span a range for Nissan Motor Co Ltd: cautious scenario $5.66, base $5.66, optimistic $14.80 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $3.54). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of NSANY?
The PEG ratio of Nissan Motor Co Ltd is 0.65 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nissan Motor Co Ltd (NSANY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nissan Motor Co Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −7.7%, debt of 1.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NSANY from its 52-week high?
Nissan Motor Co Ltd trades at $3.54, about 41% below its 52-week high of $6.05 and 7% above the low of $3.32 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.66 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nissan Motor Co Ltd ADR?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, Ferrari N.V, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nissan Motor Co Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $3.54, calculated fair value $5.66 (+60%), Quality Score 38/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NSANY calculated?
We run Nissan Motor Co Ltd through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $5.66 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Nissan Motor Co Ltd currently trades 38% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nissan Motor Co Ltd (NSANY)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $3.54. Our model-based fair value is $5.66, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nissan Motor Co Ltd ADR right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($5.66). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($5.66 to $14.80). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Nissan Motor Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Nissan Motor Co Ltd (NSANY)?
The market capitalisation of Nissan Motor Co Ltd is $6.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Nissan Motor Co Ltd (NSANY)?
Earnings per share at Nissan Motor Co Ltd are $−1.53. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nissan Motor Co Ltd (NSANY)?
The net margin of Nissan Motor Co Ltd is −4.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nissan Motor Co Ltd (NSANY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nissan Motor Co Ltd is −7.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nissan Motor Co Ltd (NSANY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nissan Motor Co Ltd is 1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nissan Motor Co Ltd (NSANY)?
The operating margin of Nissan Motor Co Ltd is 2.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nissan Motor Co Ltd (NSANY)?
Revenue at Nissan Motor Co Ltd is growing +9.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nissan Motor Co Ltd (NSANY)?
Earnings per share at Nissan Motor Co Ltd are growing −71.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Nissan Motor Co Ltd (NSANY) generate?
The free cash flow of Nissan Motor Co Ltd is −$890B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Nissan Motor Co Ltd (NSANY) carry?
The net debt of Nissan Motor Co Ltd is $7.4T (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026
