RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of RBC Bearings Incorporated stock $382, price $465, that is 17.9% below the price, quality 61 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $155.19 – $648.89 · fair‑value band $224.28 – $476.92 · the $464.79 price screens above the $381.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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RBC Bearings Incorporated manufactures and markets engineered precision bearings, components, and systems in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Aerospace/Defense and Industrial.
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The company produces plain bearings with self-lubricating or metal-to-metal designs, including rod end bearings, spherical plain bearings, and journal bearings; roller bearings, such as tapered roller bearings, needle roller bearings, and needle bearing track rollers and cam followers, which are anti-friction products that are used in industrial applications and military aircraft platforms; and ball bearings that include high precision aerospace, airframe control, thin section, and industrial ball bearings that utilize high precision ball elements to reduce friction in high-speed applications.
In addition, it offers mounted bearing products include mounted ball bearings, mounted roller bearings, and mounted plain bearings; and enclosed gearing product lines, including quantis gearmotor, torque arm, tigear, magnagear and maxum, and controlled start transmission.
Further, the company's power transmission components include mechanical drive components, couplings, and conveyor components; engineered hydraulics and valves for aircraft and submarine applications, and aerospace and defense aftermarket services; fasteners; precision mechanical components, for use in various general industrial applications; and machine tool collets that are used for holding circulars or rod-like pieces.
It serves commercial and defense aerospace,, construction, mining, forestry, energy, agricultural, food and beverage, metals and mining material handling, chemicals, oil and gas production, warehousing and logistics, semiconductor equipment, waste and water management, and rail and transportation applications through its direct sales force, and a network of industrial and aerospace distributors.
The company was founded in 1919 and is based in Oxford, Connecticut.
Stock analysis
RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) currently trades at $464.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $381.54, 18% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $190.77 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the $464.79 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $85.61, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $224.28 (bear) to $476.92 (bull), the price of $464.79 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
RBC Bearings Incorporated reported revenue of $1.9B in FY2026 versus $943M in FY2022, a compound +18.7%/yr. Reported net income was $288M in FY2026, compounding +51.4%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $14.7B Large · P/E ratio 45.9 · P/S ratio 7.52 · EPS (TTM) $10.12 · Net margin 16.4% · Return on equity 9.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4% · Operating margin 27.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 65 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −18%, RBC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$224.28Fair Value $381.54Bull$476.92
Price $464.79 · Downside -17.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then ($6.10 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 5 officers or directors sold shares worth $1.4M and none bought.
SaleJohn J. FeeneyVice President and Secretary225 shares at $657.94$148,037Jun 25, 2026
SaleDolores J EnnicoDirector600 shares at $636.11$381,666Jun 24, 2026
SaleSteven H. KaplanDirector2× since Nov 12, 2025: 1,050 shares, avg. $505.93$531,230Jun 17, 2026
SaleEdward StewartDirector600 shares at $592.83$355,698Jun 3, 2026
SaleBarry C. BoyanDirector2× since Nov 7, 2025: 1,755 shares, avg. $484.22$849,815Jun 3, 2026
SaleRichard J EdwardsV.P. and General Manager4,100 shares at $553.78$2.3MFeb 17, 2026
Plus 24 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.1% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+23.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+23.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.20.4% vs 12.8%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 23%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+26.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +23.3% a year for the price and +7.4% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Defense backlog from aerospace demand supports positioning, while average competitive standing and limited durable advantages form the main constraint.
Main risk: Easing expansion overall risks slowing demand momentum from the aerospace and defense backlog and hitting revenue growth.
RBC Bearings carries a large backlog driven by aerospace and defense demand. Its recent small industrial acquisition adds only limited breadth while sales growth is guided to moderate from the recent pace. Our models see it as overvalued. Will defense momentum outweigh the risk of easing expansion overall?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tools & Accessories · 128 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Above median
Fair Value upside−17.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)9.8% · Above median
Return on assets5.6% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)16.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)27.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)19.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.21× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)45.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.37× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $381.54 versus a price of $464.79, about 18% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RBC?
Our model-based fair value for RBC Bearings Incorporated is $381.54 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $464.79.
What is the quality score of RBC?
RBC Bearings Incorporated has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $381.54 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $224.28, optimistic scenario $476.92. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the RBC Bearings Incorporated stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $381.54, about 18% lower versus a price of $464.79 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $224.28, optimistic scenario $476.92. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)?
RBC Bearings Incorporated reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.0B (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, RBC Bearings Incorporated would have to grow free cash flow by +26.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +25.2 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of RBC use?
Our models discount RBC Bearings Incorporated at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.38, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For RBC Bearings Incorporated that is +26.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at RBC Bearings Incorporated grew +25.2 % a year. The price currently implies +26.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into RBC Bearings Incorporated (+26.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.33 %: that much free cash flow RBC Bearings Incorporated produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For RBC Bearings Incorporated it is $381.54 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of $464.79. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is RBC Bearings Incorporated stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, RBC trades above its calculated fair value: price $464.79, fair value $381.54, a gap of about −18% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RBC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($464.79); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($381.54). For RBC Bearings Incorporated the two are $83.25 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is RBC Bearings Incorporated worth?
The market values RBC Bearings Incorporated at about $14.7B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is $464.79; our models calculate a fair value of $381.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RBC?
Our models span a range for RBC Bearings Incorporated: cautious scenario $224.28, base $381.54, optimistic $476.92 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price $464.79). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of RBC?
RBC Bearings Incorporated trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 45.9 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $381.54 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings, 5 of the years ex one-offs: 38.4. Other multiples: PEG 1.5, P/B 4.4, P/S 7.5, EV/EBITDA 25.0.
What is the PEG ratio of RBC?
The PEG ratio of RBC Bearings Incorporated is 1.53 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 4, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)?
Balance-sheet figures for RBC Bearings Incorporated (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 9.8%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RBC from its 52-week high?
RBC Bearings Incorporated trades at $464.79, about 28% below its 52-week high of $648.89 and 10% above the low of $423.39 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $381.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to RBC Bearings Incorporated?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, Lincoln Electric Holdings, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is RBC Bearings Incorporated stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price $464.79, calculated fair value $381.54 (−18%), Quality Score 61/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RBC calculated?
We run RBC Bearings Incorporated through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $381.54, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. RBC Bearings Incorporated itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was $464.79. Our model-based fair value is $381.54, about 18% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with RBC Bearings Incorporated right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($224.28 to $476.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) come from?
Earnings per share at RBC Bearings Incorporated grew +12.9 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.1 %, EBIT margin +2.1 %, tax rate +1.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of RBC Bearings Incorporated
How large is the market capitalisation of RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)?
The market capitalisation of RBC Bearings Incorporated is $14.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of RBC Bearings Incorporated is 7.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)?
Earnings per share at RBC Bearings Incorporated are $10.12 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 45.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)?
The net margin of RBC Bearings Incorporated is 16.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of RBC Bearings Incorporated is 9.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of RBC Bearings Incorporated is 6.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)?
The operating margin of RBC Bearings Incorporated is 27.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)?
Revenue at RBC Bearings Incorporated is growing +19.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)?
Earnings per share at RBC Bearings Incorporated are growing +47.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) carry?
The net debt of RBC Bearings Incorporated is $934M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 2.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 4, 2026