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Data-driven stock valuation

Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd stock ¥10.55, price ¥16.11, that is 34.5% below the price, quality 29 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical CN

WS Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd logo Broad data Nov 7, 2026

Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd

001282 · SHE
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 35% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Broad data
Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +16.1 %/yr in CNY)
Thin margins · 4.8% net margin (TTM)
0.5% dividend yield · Token dividend
Profit last quarter 70% below a year ago.
Fair value ¥10.55 · Overvalued (−34.5%)
Quality 29/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 30/100 · thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥26.45 ¥10.62 Fair Value ¥10.55 May 2023 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

41‑month range ¥10.62 – ¥26.45 · fair‑value band ¥7.35 – ¥13.59 · the ¥16.11 price screens above the ¥10.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, production, and sale of automotive forging parts in China and internationally.

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The company offers steering systems comprising ball heads, pull rods, steering knuckles, and forks; powertrain products consisting of crankshafts, links, balance shafts, high-pressure common rails, pump bodies, bushing, and hollow shafts; transmission systems, which include gears, axle wheels, foreign ships, claws, and internal gear sleeves; suspension support systems, such as control arms; and other systems, including door hinges, valve islands, IGBT copper pin heat sinks, and agent side flow channel plates.

Its products are used in automotive power systems, transmission systems, steering systems, suspension support systems, and other systems. The company exports its products. Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co., Ltd. was founded in 2004 and is based in Wuhu, China.

Stock analysis

Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282) currently trades at ¥16.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.55, 35% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥10.58 per share, and 2 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥16.11 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.96, and 14 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ¥7.35 (bear) to ¥13.59 (bull), the price of ¥16.11 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 929M CNY in FY2021, a compound +15.3%/yr. Reported net income was 110M CNY in FY2025, compounding +9.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 3.6B CNY (≈ $537M) Small · P/E ratio 47.4 · P/S ratio 2.19 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.3400 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 4.8% · Return on equity 4.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 22.4% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 30 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −35%, 001282 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥7.35 Fair Value ¥10.55 Bull ¥13.59
Price ¥16.11 · Downside -34.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2180 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ¥5.50 ¥5.61 ¥6.04 73
EPV ¥3.80 ¥4.27 ¥4.67 71
ROIC Compounder ¥3.80 ¥4.27 ¥4.67 69
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.36 ¥17.71 ¥24.51 61
Lynch FV ¥4.87 ¥6.96 ¥9.04 58
PEG = 1.0 ¥4.87 ¥6.96 ¥9.04 55
EPV ¥3.80 ¥4.27 ¥4.67 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.14 ¥2.04 ¥2.78 65
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.14 ¥1.87 ¥2.18 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥8.15 ¥10.87 ¥13.59 63
P/S Multiple ¥6.30 ¥8.40 ¥10.50 58
P/B Multiple ¥20.75 ¥27.66 ¥34.58 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.44 ¥8.00 ¥10.56 65
EV/EBITDA ¥7.35 ¥10.55 ¥13.75 67
EV/Revenue ¥2.94 ¥5.15 ¥7.37 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.4600 ¥0.6900 ¥0.8600 55
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.50 ¥5.61 ¥6.04 73
ROIC Compounder ¥3.80 ¥4.27 ¥4.67 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥7.41 ¥10.58 ¥13.75 65

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 34
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 6
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 77
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 4
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 56
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 21
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 9
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 40
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+1.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.100% → 8%

001282 screens overvalued: fair value 35% below the price. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 656 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −34.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 4.8% · Below median
Return on assets 4.1% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 4.8% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 0.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −2.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 47.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.20× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 2.19× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 16.6× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 34
PAST (return on equity)19 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)11 · sector 39

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Magna International Inc MGA $61.86 $98.98 +60% vs 001282
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 349,000 KRW 534,994 KRW +53% vs 001282
Genuine Parts Company GPC $122.80 $115.96 −6% vs 001282
Knorr-Bremse AG KBX €94.45 €72.88 −23% vs 001282
AutoZone, Inc AZO $3,216 $2,468 −23% vs 001282
Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥55.92 ¥40.74 −27% vs 001282
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥44.71 ¥32.24 −28% vs 001282
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹158.55 ₹96.06 −39% vs 001282
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY $89.89 $48.66 −46% vs 001282
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹50,700 ₹25,168 −50% vs 001282

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Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/001282

Frequently asked questions

Is Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥10.55 versus a price of ¥16.11, about 35% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 001282?
Our model-based fair value for Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is ¥10.55 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥16.11.
What is the quality score of 001282?
Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥10.55 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥7.35, optimistic scenario ¥13.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥10.55, about 35% lower versus a price of ¥16.11 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥7.35, optimistic scenario ¥13.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.53% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.085 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.5%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 26, 2026. The payout ratio is 25.0% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.5% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.5% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd it is ¥10.55 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of ¥16.11. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 001282 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥16.11, fair value ¥10.55, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 001282?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥16.11); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥10.55). For Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd the two are ¥5.56 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd worth?
The market values Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd at about 3.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is ¥16.11; our models calculate a fair value of ¥10.55 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 001282?
Our models span a range for Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥7.35, base ¥10.55, optimistic ¥13.59 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price ¥16.11). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 001282?
Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 47.4 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥10.55 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.2, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 16.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 4.8%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 001282 from its 52-week high?
Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd trades at ¥16.11, about 37% below its 52-week high of ¥25.38 and 14% above the low of ¥14.17 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥10.55 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price ¥16.11, calculated fair value ¥10.55 (−35%), Quality Score 29/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 001282 calculated?
We run Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥10.55 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥16.11. Our model-based fair value is ¥10.55, about 35% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥13.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (¥7.35 to ¥13.59) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
The market capitalisation of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is 3.6B CNY (≈ $537M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is 2.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
Earnings per share at Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd are ¥0.3400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 47.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
The dividend yield of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is 0.5% (payout 25.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
The net margin of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is 4.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is 22.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
The operating margin of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
Revenue at Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is growing −2.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
Earnings per share at Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd are growing −70.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282) generate?
The free cash flow of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is −250M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282) carry?
The net debt of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is 498M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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