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Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd ¥8.40, price ¥16.46, upside -49.0%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · CN

WS Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd

001282 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥8.40 · Strongly overvalued (−49%)
!Quality 30/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +16.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.94% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Weak on future: 8 out of 100
!Weak on past: 27 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 19 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥26.45 ¥10.62 Fair Value ¥8.40 May 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

40‑month range ¥10.62 – ¥26.45 · fair‑value band ¥6.30 – ¥10.56 · the ¥16.46 price screens above the ¥8.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, production, and sale of automotive forging parts in China and internationally.

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Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, production, and sale of automotive forging parts in China and internationally. The company offers steering systems comprising ball heads, pull rods, steering knuckles, and forks; powertrain products consisting of crankshafts, links, balance shafts, high-pressure common rails, pump bodies, bushing, and hollow shafts; transmission systems, which include gears, axle wheels, foreign ships, claws, and internal gear sleeves; suspension support systems, such as control arms; and other systems, including door hinges, valve islands, IGBT copper pin heat sinks, and agent side flow channel plates. Its products are used in automotive power systems, transmission systems, steering systems, suspension support systems, and other systems. The company exports its products. Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co., Ltd. was founded in 2004 and is based in Wuhu, China.

Stock analysis

Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282) currently trades at ¥16.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.40, implying the stock looks roughly 96.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥10.58 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥16.46 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥2.25, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ¥6.30 (bear) to ¥10.56 (bull), the price of ¥16.46 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 929M CNY in FY2021, a compound +15.3%/yr. Reported net income was 110M CNY in FY2025, compounding +9.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 4.3B CNY (≈ $639M) · P/E ratio 34.3 · P/S ratio 2.29 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.4800 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 6.7% · Return on equity 6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 22.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −49%, 001282 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥6.30 Fair Value ¥8.40 Bull ¥10.56
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2377 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥5.79 ¥6.03 ¥6.25 73
EPV ¥4.34 ¥4.98 ¥5.54 71
ROIC Compounder ¥4.34 ¥4.98 ¥5.54 69
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.36 ¥17.71 ¥24.51 61
Lynch FV ¥4.87 ¥6.96 ¥9.04 58
PEG = 1.0 ¥4.87 ¥6.96 ¥9.04 55
EPV ¥4.34 ¥4.98 ¥5.54 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.31 ¥2.60 ¥3.94 64
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.31 ¥2.25 ¥2.75 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥8.15 ¥10.87 ¥13.59 63
P/S Multiple ¥6.30 ¥8.40 ¥10.50 58
P/B Multiple ¥6.30 ¥8.40 ¥10.50 55
EV/EBIT ¥7.93 ¥10.49 ¥13.05 66
EV/EBITDA ¥9.84 ¥13.04 ¥16.24 67
EV/Revenue ¥5.43 ¥7.64 ¥9.86 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.65 ¥4.90 ¥7.31 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.79 ¥6.03 ¥6.25 73
ROIC Compounder ¥4.34 ¥4.98 ¥5.54 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥7.41 ¥10.58 ¥13.75 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 4
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+2.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.100% → 8%

001282 screens 96% overvalued. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 663 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −49% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 34.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.63× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.60× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 18.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)8 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)27 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)19 · sector 35

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Magna International Inc MGA $63.79 $68.17 +7%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹161.77 ₹96.97 −40%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥45.71 ¥28.28 −38%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹48,290 ₹26,308 −46%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,009 ₹415.47 −79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,226 ₹426.57 −65%

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Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥8.40 −96%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/001282

Frequently asked questions

Is Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.40 versus a price of ¥16.46, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 001282?
Our model-based fair value for Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is ¥8.40 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥16.46.
What is the quality score of 001282?
Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥8.40 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥6.30, optimistic scenario ¥10.56. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥8.40, about −49% upside versus a price of ¥16.46 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥6.30, optimistic scenario ¥10.56. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.94% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd it is ¥8.40 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥16.46. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 001282 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥16.46, fair value ¥8.40, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 001282?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥16.46); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥8.40). For Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd the two are ¥8.06 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd worth?
The market values Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd at about 4.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥16.46; our models calculate a fair value of ¥8.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 001282?
Our models span a range for Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥6.30, base ¥8.40, optimistic ¥10.56 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥16.46). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 001282?
Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 34.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥8.40 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.6, P/S 2.6, EV/EBITDA 18.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 6.7%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 001282 from its 52-week high?
Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd trades at ¥16.46, about 38% below its 52-week high of ¥26.45 and 16% above the low of ¥14.17 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥8.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥16.46, calculated fair value ¥8.40 (−49%), Quality Score 30/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 001282 calculated?
We run Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥8.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥16.46. Our model-based fair value is ¥8.40, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥10.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Key figures of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
The market capitalisation of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is 4.3B CNY (≈ $639M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is 2.29 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
Earnings per share at Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd are ¥0.4800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 34.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
The dividend yield of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is 0.9% (payout 32.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
The net margin of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is 6.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is 6.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is 22.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
The operating margin of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is 11.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
Revenue at Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is growing +1.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282)?
Earnings per share at Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd are growing −7.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282) generate?
The free cash flow of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is −250M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd (001282) carry?
The net debt of Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co Ltd is 498M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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