Poly Property Group Co Ltd (0119) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Poly Property Group Co Ltd stock HK$2.86, price HK$1.07, upside +168.5%, quality 56 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.07 – HK$2.42 · fair‑value band HK$1.51 – HK$5.59 · the HK$1.07 price screens below the HK$2.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Poly Property Group Co., Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property investment, development, and management business in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, and internationally.
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The company operates through Property Development, Property Investment and Management, Hotel Operations, and Other Operations segments.
It involved in the development of residential and commercial properties; investment and management of properties; and investment, management, and operation of hotels, as well as restaurant business and provision of related services.
The company also offers management, financial, asset management, and construction services. In addition, it manufactures and sells digital discs and other products; and engages in the manufacture and wholesale of compact discs, video compact discs, and digital video discs.
The company was formerly known as Poly (Hong Kong) Investments Limited. Poly Property Group Co., Limited was incorporated in 1973 and is based in Hong Kong, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Poly Property Group Co Ltd (0119) currently trades at HK$1.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.86, implying the stock looks roughly 63% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$8.83 per share, and 14 of the 16 models we run sit above the HK$1.07 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$2.27, and 2 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$1.51 (bear) to HK$5.59 (bull), the price of HK$1.07 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Poly Property Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 52.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 36.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was 244M CNY in FY2025, compounding −44.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$4.1B (≈ $519M) Small · P/S ratio 0.09 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin −1.6% · Return on equity −0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −3.2% · Revenue (TTM) 45.0B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 14 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 33% fair-value upside, at 169%, 0119 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$1.51Fair Value HK$2.86BullHK$5.59
Price HK$1.07 · Upside +168.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.83/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.7% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−13.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−37.6% vs −7.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 8%
Compare Poly Property Group Co Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 488 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside+168.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−4.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−3.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−18.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.42× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Poly Property Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0119
Frequently asked questions
Is Poly Property Group Co Ltd (0119) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.86 versus a price of HK$1.07, about +169% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0119?
Our model-based fair value for Poly Property Group Co Ltd is HK$2.86 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.07.
What is the quality score of 0119?
Poly Property Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Poly Property Group Co Ltd (0119)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$2.86 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.51, optimistic scenario HK$5.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Poly Property Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$2.86, about +169% upside versus a price of HK$1.07 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.51, optimistic scenario HK$5.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Poly Property Group Co Ltd (0119)?
Poly Property Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 45.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Poly Property Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Poly Property Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 2.44% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Poly Property Group Co Ltd (0119) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Poly Property Group Co Ltd pays a dividend of HK$0.026 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.4%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 22, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2018. The payout ratio is 34.6% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 56.33 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Poly Property Group Co Ltd (0119)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Poly Property Group Co Ltd it is HK$2.86 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of HK$1.07. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Poly Property Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 0119 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$1.07, fair value HK$2.86, a gap of about +169% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0119?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$2.86). For Poly Property Group Co Ltd the two are HK$1.80 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Poly Property Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values Poly Property Group Co Ltd at about HK$4.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.07; our models calculate a fair value of HK$2.86 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0119?
Our models span a range for Poly Property Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.51, base HK$2.86, optimistic HK$5.59 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price HK$1.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Poly Property Group Co Ltd (0119)?
Balance-sheet figures for Poly Property Group Co Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −0.7%, debt of 1.42 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0119 from its 52-week high?
Poly Property Group Co Ltd trades at HK$1.07, about 56% below its 52-week high of HK$2.42 and at the low of HK$1.07 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$2.86 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Poly Property Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Poly Property Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price HK$1.07, calculated fair value HK$2.86 (+169%), Quality Score 56/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0119 calculated?
We run Poly Property Group Co Ltd through 16 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$2.86 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Poly Property Group Co Ltd currently trades 63% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Poly Property Group Co Ltd (0119)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was HK$1.07. Our model-based fair value is HK$2.86, about +169% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Poly Property Group Co Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.51). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (HK$1.51 to HK$5.59). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Poly Property Group Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Poly Property Group Co Ltd (0119)?
The market capitalisation of Poly Property Group Co Ltd is HK$4.1B (≈ $519M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Poly Property Group Co Ltd (0119)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Poly Property Group Co Ltd is 0.09 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Poly Property Group Co Ltd (0119)?
The dividend yield of Poly Property Group Co Ltd is 2.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Poly Property Group Co Ltd (0119)?
The net margin of Poly Property Group Co Ltd is −1.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Poly Property Group Co Ltd (0119)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Poly Property Group Co Ltd is −0.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Poly Property Group Co Ltd (0119)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Poly Property Group Co Ltd is 2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Poly Property Group Co Ltd (0119)?
The operating margin of Poly Property Group Co Ltd is −3.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Poly Property Group Co Ltd (0119)?
Revenue at Poly Property Group Co Ltd is growing −18.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Poly Property Group Co Ltd (0119)?
Earnings per share at Poly Property Group Co Ltd are growing −44.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Poly Property Group Co Ltd (0119) generate?
The free cash flow of Poly Property Group Co Ltd is 4.8B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Poly Property Group Co Ltd (0119) carry?
The net debt of Poly Property Group Co Ltd is 37.8B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 5, 2026