China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited stock HK$0.21, price HK$0.07, upside +200.0%, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0170 – HK$0.2550 · fair‑value band HK$0.1905 – HK$0.2393 · the HK$0.0700 price screens below the HK$0.2100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 14, 2026.
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Lisi Group (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and trades in plastic and metallic household products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, the United States, Europe, and internationally.
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The company operates through four segments: Manufacturing and Trading, Retail, Wholesale, and Investments Holding.
It engages in the property rental services; wholesale of wine; and wholesale and installation of household electrical appliances, and heating, ventilation, and air conditioning equipment, as well as operates department stores and supermarkets.
It provides financing services and invests in debt and equity securities. The company was formerly known as China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited and changed its name to Lisi Group (Holdings) Limited in October 2022.
The company was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Tsuen Wan, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526) currently trades at HK$0.0700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2100, implying the stock looks roughly 67% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$0.5250 per share, and 24 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$0.0700 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.1400, and 0 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.1905 (bear) to HK$0.2393 (bull), the price of HK$0.0700 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited reported revenue of HK$2.1B in FY2026 versus HK$2.1B in FY2022, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$118M in FY2026, compounding −16.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap HK$597M (≈ $76.1M) Micro · P/E ratio 7.0 · P/S ratio 0.27 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100 · Net margin 5.6% · Return on equity 4.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 14.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at 200%, 0526 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$0.1905Fair Value HK$0.2100BullHK$0.2393
Price HK$0.0700 · Upside +200.0%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0063 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−21.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.8% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−14.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−14.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−14.6% vs 1.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−80% → 12%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
Compare China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)4.8% · Below median
Return on assets2.9% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)5.6% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)14.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−17.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0526
Frequently asked questions
Is China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2100 versus a price of HK$0.0700, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0526?
Our model-based fair value for China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited is HK$0.2100 (as of Nov 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0700.
What is the quality score of 0526?
China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2100 (as of Nov 14, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1905, optimistic scenario HK$0.2393. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2100, about +200% upside versus a price of HK$0.0700 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1905, optimistic scenario HK$0.2393. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526)?
China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.2B (latest available figure, as of Nov 14, 2026).
What growth is priced into China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526)?
Today's price is already fair in a discounted-cash-flow model if free cash flow at China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited shrinks by more than 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew 2.6 % per year. As of Nov 14, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0526 use?
Our models discount China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.31, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited that is less than minus 40 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited grew 2.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of less than minus 40 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (less than minus 40 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 36.97 %: that much free cash flow China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited it is HK$0.2100 per share (as of Nov 14, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0700. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 0526 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0700, fair value HK$0.2100, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0526?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2100). For China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited the two are HK$0.1400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited worth?
The market values China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited at about HK$597M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 14, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0700; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0526?
Our models span a range for China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited: cautious scenario HK$0.1905, base HK$0.2100, optimistic HK$0.2393 per share (as of Nov 14, 2026, price HK$0.0700). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0526?
China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.0 (as of Nov 14, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.2100 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 0.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (as of Nov 14, 2026): return on equity 4.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0526 from its 52-week high?
China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited trades at HK$0.0700, about 56% below its 52-week high of HK$0.1590 and at the low of HK$0.0700 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 14, 2026: price HK$0.0700, calculated fair value HK$0.2100 (+200%), Quality Score 50/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0526 calculated?
We run China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited through 24 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$0.2100 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1% above its aggregate fair value. China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited currently trades 67% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$0.0700. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2100, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.1905). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526)?
The market capitalisation of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited is HK$597M (≈ $76.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited is 0.27 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526)?
Earnings per share at China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited are HK$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526)?
The net margin of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited is 5.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited is 8.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526)?
The operating margin of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited is 14.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526)?
Revenue at China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited is down 17.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526)?
Earnings per share at China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited are growing 28.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526) hold?
China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited holds more cash than debt, HK$647M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Nov 14, 2026