China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited HK$0.38, price HK$0.09, upside +313.7%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited
0526 · HKCheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0170 – HK$0.2550 · fair‑value band HK$0.3468 – HK$0.4418 · the HK$0.0930 price screens below the HK$0.3848 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Company profile
Lisi Group (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and trades in plastic and metallic household products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Manufacturing and Trading, Retail, Wholesale, and Investments Holding.
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Lisi Group (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and trades in plastic and metallic household products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Manufacturing and Trading, Retail, Wholesale, and Investments Holding. It engages in the property rental services; wholesale of wine; and wholesale and installation of household electrical appliances, and heating, ventilation, and air conditioning equipment, as well as operates department stores and supermarkets. It provides financing services and invests in debt and equity securities. The company was formerly known as China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited and changed its name to Lisi Group (Holdings) Limited in October 2022. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Tsuen Wan, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited (0526) currently trades at HK$0.0930, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3848, implying the stock looks roughly 75.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.4800 per share, and 24 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$0.0930 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.1200, and 0 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.3468 (bear) to HK$0.4418 (bull), the price of HK$0.0930 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited reported revenue of HK$2.1B in FY2026 versus HK$2.1B in FY2022, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$118M in FY2026, compounding −16.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap HK$1.1B (≈ $145M) · P/E ratio 12.9 · P/S ratio 0.73 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0200 · Net margin 5.6% · Return on equity 4.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.6% · Operating margin 9.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 314%, 0526 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 262 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW | $46.41 | $29.85 | −36% |
| Packaging Corporation PKG | $234.52 | $130.10 | −45% |
| International Paper Company IP | $32.52 | $21.53 | −34% |
| Ball Corporation BALL | $56.83 | $47.81 | −16% |
| Avery Dennison Corporation AVY | $170.78 | $125.35 | −27% |
| Crown Holdings CCK | $108.06 | $121.85 | +13% |
| Stora Enso Oyj STEAV | €10.45 | €9.66 | −8% |
| SIG Group SIGN | CHF 13.37 | CHF 9.59 | −28% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥29.00 | ¥31.90 | +10% |
| Sonoco Products Company SON | $50.06 | $61.98 | +24% |
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Key figures of China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited
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