Lisi Group (0526) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$1.1B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price −18.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 166% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2200). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0170 – HK$0.2550 · fair‑value band HK$0.2200 – HK$0.3700 · the HK$0.1090 price screens below the HK$0.2900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Lisi Group (0526) currently trades at HK$0.1090, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2900, implying the stock looks roughly 166.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Lisi Group generated revenue of HK$2.4B at a net margin of 4.5%. Revenue declined 20.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$647M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2200 (bear case) to HK$0.3700 (bull case); at HK$0.1090, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -23% fair-value upside, at 166%, 0526 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$0.6300) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.1200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lisi Group (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and trades in plastic and metallic household products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Manufacturing and Trading, Retail, Wholesale, and Investments Holding.
Full company description
Lisi Group (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and trades in plastic and metallic household products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Manufacturing and Trading, Retail, Wholesale, and Investments Holding. It engages in the property rental services; wholesale of wine; and wholesale and installation of household electrical appliances, and heating, ventilation, and air conditioning equipment, as well as operates department stores and supermarkets. It provides financing services and invests in debt and equity securities. The company was formerly known as China Automobile New Retail (Holdings) Limited and changed its name to Lisi Group (Holdings) Limited in October 2022. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Tsuen Wan, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Lisi Group reported revenue of HK$2.1B in FY2026 versus HK$2.1B in FY2022, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$118M in FY2026, compounding −16.0%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 273 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 106.80 | kr 125.82 | +18% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥27.73 | ¥20.16 | -27% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 31.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -48% |
| AblePrint Technology Co 7734 | 3,350 TWD | 675.50 TWD | -80% |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW | 5,312 IDR | 1,193 IDR | -78% |
| Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 | 134.00 TWD | 127.06 TWD | -5% |
| Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO | ₹208.56 | ₹161.42 | -23% |
| EPL Limited 500135 | ₹247.30 | ₹111.65 | -55% |
| Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 | 21,650 KRW | 31,473 KRW | +45% |
| PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk, PBID | 525.00 IDR | 774.13 IDR | +47% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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