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Smec Co.Ltd (099440) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Smec Co.Ltd stock KRW 811, price KRW 3,305, that is 75.5% below the price, quality 14 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials KR · ISIN KR7099440000

SC Smec Co.Ltd logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

Smec Co.Ltd

099440 · KQ
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 75% below what the stock costs today.

Generates free cash flow over the last twelve months
Revenue last quarter +37% vs. a year ago.
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +6.2 %/yr in KRW)
Moderate debt
Fair value 810.80 KRW · Strongly overvalued (−75.5%)
Quality 14/100
Loss-making · -15.6% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 15/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

7,860 KRW 1,206 KRW Fair Value 810.80 KRW Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1,206 KRW – 7,860 KRW · fair‑value band 605.07 KRW – 1,210 KRW · the 3,305 KRW price screens above the 810.80 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Smec Co.,Ltd produces and sells machine tools, semiconductor equipment, robots, and laser equipment in South Korea and internationally.

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The company offers industrial IoT solutions, metal 3D printers, robot bed, laser heat treatment system, and laser cladding system, as well as LCD glass panel transfer, solarcell panel handling, multi joint, and SCRARA robot.

It also provides digital radio communication system solutions, such as switching & management infrastructure, base station equipment, radio terminals, and gateway terminals; broadband Voice over IP Packet media gateway, is a key element of a packet-based next generation network; and IPsec security gateway, a compact solution that provides encryption for untrusted portions of communications networks, as well as machining tools.

The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Gimhae-si, South Korea.

Stock analysis

Smec Co.Ltd (099440) currently trades at 3,305 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 810.80 KRW, 75% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: 605.07 KRW (bear) to 1,210 KRW (bull), the price of 3,305 KRW sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 14/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Smec Co.Ltd reported revenue of 154B KRW in FY2025 versus 128B KRW in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was −21.5B KRW in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 225B KRW (≈ $165M) Micro · P/S ratio 1.59 · EPS (TTM) −351.54 KRW · Net margin −15.6% · Return on equity −17.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin 3.4% · Revenue (TTM) 153B KRW.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 15 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −75%, 099440 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 605.07 KRW Fair Value 810.80 KRW Bull 1,210 KRW
Price 3,305 KRW · Downside -75.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) 711.85 KRW 953.88 KRW 1,424 KRW 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 711.85 KRW 953.88 KRW 1,424 KRW 54

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 14/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 9
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 8
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 21
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 58
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 22
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 14
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 12/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−23.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.3% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−21.2% (2020) → −10.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

099440 screens overvalued: fair value 75% below the price. Compare with SIE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 814 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 14 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −75.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −7.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −15.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 3.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 37.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.66× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.31× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 1.47× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)67 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Cummins Inc CMI $450.07 $359.36 −20% vs 099440
SIE SIE €263.65 €149.56 −43% vs 099440
AMETEK, Inc AME $228.67 $125.74 −45% vs 099440
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $280.95 $154.30 −45% vs 099440
Sandvik AB SAND kr 357.40 kr 194.33 −46% vs 099440
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $917.79 $492.92 −46% vs 099440
Emerson Electric Co EMR $162.35 $79.99 −51% vs 099440
Eaton Corporation ETN $341.72 $156.90 −54% vs 099440
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $375.86 $139.31 −63% vs 099440
GE Vernova Inc GEV $774.11 $143.50 −81% vs 099440

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Smec Co.Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Smec Co.Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/099440

Frequently asked questions

Is Smec Co.Ltd (099440) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 810.80 KRW versus a price of 3,305 KRW, about 75% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 099440?
Our model-based fair value for Smec Co.Ltd is 810.80 KRW (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3,305 KRW.
What is the quality score of 099440?
Smec Co.Ltd has a Quality Score of 14/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 810.80 KRW (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 605.07 KRW, optimistic scenario 1,210 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Smec Co.Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 810.80 KRW, about 75% lower versus a price of 3,305 KRW (overvalued). Cautious scenario 605.07 KRW, optimistic scenario 1,210 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
Smec Co.Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 153B KRW (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Smec Co.Ltd it is 810.80 KRW per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of 3,305 KRW. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Smec Co.Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 099440 trades above its calculated fair value: price 3,305 KRW, fair value 810.80 KRW, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 099440?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3,305 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (810.80 KRW). For Smec Co.Ltd the two are 2,494 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Smec Co.Ltd worth?
The market values Smec Co.Ltd at about 225B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is 3,305 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 810.80 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 099440?
Our models span a range for Smec Co.Ltd: cautious scenario 605.07 KRW, base 810.80 KRW, optimistic 1,210 KRW per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price 3,305 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
Balance-sheet figures for Smec Co.Ltd (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −17.6%, debt of 0.66 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 14/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 099440 from its 52-week high?
Smec Co.Ltd trades at 3,305 KRW, about 58% below its 52-week high of 7,860 KRW and 30% above the low of 2,535 KRW (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 810.80 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Smec Co.Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Smec Co.Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price 3,305 KRW, calculated fair value 810.80 KRW (−75%), Quality Score 14/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 099440 calculated?
We run Smec Co.Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 810.80 KRW builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Smec Co.Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 3,305 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 810.80 KRW, about 75% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Smec Co.Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1,210 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (14/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (605.07 KRW to 1,210 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Smec Co.Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
The market capitalisation of Smec Co.Ltd is 225B KRW (≈ $165M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Smec Co.Ltd is 1.59 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
Earnings per share at Smec Co.Ltd are −351.54 KRW. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
The net margin of Smec Co.Ltd is −15.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Smec Co.Ltd is −17.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Smec Co.Ltd is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
The operating margin of Smec Co.Ltd is 3.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
Revenue at Smec Co.Ltd is growing +37.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
Earnings per share at Smec Co.Ltd are growing −87.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Smec Co.Ltd (099440) generate?
The free cash flow of Smec Co.Ltd is −2.7B KRW (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Smec Co.Ltd (099440) carry?
The net debt of Smec Co.Ltd is 150B KRW (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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