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Smec Co.Ltd (099440) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Smec Co.Ltd KRW 811, price KRW 4,175, upside -80.6%, quality 11 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · KR · ISIN KR7099440000

SC Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Smec Co.Ltd

099440 · KQ

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 810.80 KRW · Strongly overvalued (−81%)
!Quality 11/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +6.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -21.7% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/8)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

7,860 KRW 1,206 KRW Fair Value 810.80 KRW May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1,206 KRW – 7,860 KRW · fair‑value band 605.07 KRW – 1,210 KRW · the 4,175 KRW price screens above the 810.80 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Smec Co.,Ltd produces and sells machine tools, semiconductor equipment, robots, and laser equipment in South Korea and internationally.

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Smec Co.,Ltd produces and sells machine tools, semiconductor equipment, robots, and laser equipment in South Korea and internationally. The company offers industrial IoT solutions, metal 3D printers, robot bed, laser heat treatment system, and laser cladding system, as well as LCD glass panel transfer, solarcell panel handling, multi joint, and SCRARA robot. It also provides digital radio communication system solutions, such as switching & management infrastructure, base station equipment, radio terminals, and gateway terminals; broadband Voice over IP Packet media gateway, is a key element of a packet-based next generation network; and IPsec security gateway, a compact solution that provides encryption for untrusted portions of communications networks, as well as machining tools. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Gimhae-si, South Korea.

Stock analysis

Smec Co.Ltd (099440) currently trades at 4,175 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 810.80 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 414.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 605.07 KRW (bear) to 1,210 KRW (bull), the price of 4,175 KRW sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 11/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Smec Co.Ltd reported revenue of 154B KRW in FY2025 versus 128B KRW in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was −21.5B KRW in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 273B KRW (≈ $191M) · P/S ratio 1.48 · Net margin −14.0% · Return on equity −26.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2% · Operating margin −16.6% · Revenue (TTM) 140B KRW · Revenue growth (YoY) −31.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 109% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −81%, 099440 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 605.07 KRW Fair Value 810.80 KRW Bull 1,210 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 717.73 KRW 961.76 KRW 1,435 KRW 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 717.73 KRW 961.76 KRW 1,435 KRW 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 11/100

Of which business quality 14 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 20
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 12/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−23.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.3% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−21.2% (2020) → −10.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

099440 screens 415% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 833 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 14 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −81% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −22% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −17% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −31% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.66× · Highest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)67 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.28 $194.25 −80%
SIE SIE €273.85 €150.21 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $442.49 $172.75 −61%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $964.85 $418.76 −57%
Cummins Inc CMI $526.13 $359.38 −32%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $270.47 $151.39 −44%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $154.19 $62.15 −60%
AMETEK, Inc AME $245.41 $125.80 −49%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $427.19 $138.24 −68%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 385.10 kr 199.07 −48%

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Smec Co.Ltd · Fair Value
810.80 KRW −415%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Smec Co.Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/099440

Frequently asked questions

Is Smec Co.Ltd (099440) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 810.80 KRW versus a price of 4,175 KRW, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 099440?
Our model-based fair value for Smec Co.Ltd is 810.80 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4,175 KRW.
What is the quality score of 099440?
Smec Co.Ltd has a Quality Score of 11/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 810.80 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 605.07 KRW, optimistic scenario 1,210 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Smec Co.Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 810.80 KRW, about −81% upside versus a price of 4,175 KRW (overvalued). Cautious scenario 605.07 KRW, optimistic scenario 1,210 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
Smec Co.Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 140B KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Smec Co.Ltd it is 810.80 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 4,175 KRW. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Smec Co.Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 099440 trades above its calculated fair value: price 4,175 KRW, fair value 810.80 KRW, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 099440?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4,175 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (810.80 KRW). For Smec Co.Ltd the two are 3,364 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Smec Co.Ltd worth?
The market values Smec Co.Ltd at about 273B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 4,175 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 810.80 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 099440?
Our models span a range for Smec Co.Ltd: cautious scenario 605.07 KRW, base 810.80 KRW, optimistic 1,210 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 4,175 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
Balance-sheet figures for Smec Co.Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −26.8%, debt of 0.66 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 11/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 099440 from its 52-week high?
Smec Co.Ltd trades at 4,175 KRW, about 50% below its 52-week high of 8,340 KRW and 109% above the low of 1,993 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 810.80 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Smec Co.Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Smec Co.Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 4,175 KRW, calculated fair value 810.80 KRW (−81%), Quality Score 11/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 099440 calculated?
We run Smec Co.Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 810.80 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Smec Co.Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 4,175 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 810.80 KRW, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Smec Co.Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1,210 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (11/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (605.07 KRW to 1,210 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Smec Co.Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
The market capitalisation of Smec Co.Ltd is 273B KRW (≈ $191M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Smec Co.Ltd is 1.48 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
The net margin of Smec Co.Ltd is −14.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Smec Co.Ltd is −26.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Smec Co.Ltd is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
The operating margin of Smec Co.Ltd is −16.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
Revenue at Smec Co.Ltd is growing −31.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Smec Co.Ltd (099440)?
Earnings per share at Smec Co.Ltd are growing −87.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Smec Co.Ltd (099440) generate?
The free cash flow of Smec Co.Ltd is −2.7B KRW (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Smec Co.Ltd (099440) carry?
The net debt of Smec Co.Ltd is 150B KRW (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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