Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd stock KRW 7,905, price KRW 2,635, upside +200.0%, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 13 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2,630 KRW – 19,100 KRW · fair‑value band 5,217 KRW – 11,808 KRW · the 2,635 KRW price screens below the 7,905 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Yellow Balloon Tour Co., Ltd. provides travel services in South Korea and internationally. It offers domestic and overseas travel products and information services, corporate overseas training and development, and domestic and overseas airline tickets.
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The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.
Stock analysis
Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620) currently trades at 2,635 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7,905 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 67% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 10,352 KRW per share, and 10 of the 13 models we run sit above the 2,635 KRW price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 1,420 KRW, and 3 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 5,217 KRW (bear) to 11,808 KRW (bull), the price of 2,635 KRW sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd reported revenue of 120B KRW in FY2025 versus 2.9B KRW in FY2021, a compound +152.9%/yr. Reported net income was −2.8B KRW in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 44.3B KRW (≈ $32.7M) Micro · P/E ratio 36.6 · P/S ratio 0.39 · EPS (TTM) 73.71 KRW · Net margin 1.1% · Return on equity 3.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin 4.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 200%, 104620 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear5,217 KRWFair Value 7,905 KRWBull11,808 KRW
Price 2,635 KRW · Upside +200.0%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (63.21 KRW per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+75.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−32.9% (2020) → 1.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−21.6%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (South Korea: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −23.2% a year for the price.
Compare Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Travel Services · 87 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)3.9% · Below median
Return on assets−2.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)1.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)4.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−20.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.08× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/104620
Frequently asked questions
Is Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 7,905 KRW versus a price of 2,635 KRW, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 104620?
Our model-based fair value for Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd is 7,905 KRW (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2,635 KRW.
What is the quality score of 104620?
Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 7,905 KRW (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 5,217 KRW, optimistic scenario 11,808 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 7,905 KRW, about +200% upside versus a price of 2,635 KRW (undervalued). Cautious scenario 5,217 KRW, optimistic scenario 11,808 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620)?
Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 113B KRW (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -21.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +43.1 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 104620 use?
Our models discount Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd at 9.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.68, country premium for South Korea. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd that is -21.6 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd grew +43.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -21.6 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +14.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (-21.6 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.52 %: that much free cash flow Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd it is 7,905 KRW per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 2,635 KRW. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, 104620 trades below its calculated fair value: price 2,635 KRW, fair value 7,905 KRW, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 104620?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2,635 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (7,905 KRW). For Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd the two are 5,270 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd worth?
The market values Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd at about 44.3B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 2,635 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 7,905 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 104620?
Our models span a range for Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd: cautious scenario 5,217 KRW, base 7,905 KRW, optimistic 11,808 KRW per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 2,635 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 104620?
Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.6 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 7,905 KRW is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 1.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 3.9%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 104620 from its 52-week high?
Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd trades at 2,635 KRW, about 59% below its 52-week high of 6,370 KRW and at the low of 2,630 KRW (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 7,905 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Booking Holdings, Airbnb, Inc, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd, Viking Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 2,635 KRW, calculated fair value 7,905 KRW (+200%), Quality Score 48/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 104620 calculated?
We run Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd through 13 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 7,905 KRW builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd currently trades 67% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 2,635 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 7,905 KRW, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (48/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (5,217 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (5,217 KRW to 11,808 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620)?
The market capitalisation of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd is 44.3B KRW (≈ $32.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd is 0.39 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620)?
Earnings per share at Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd are 73.71 KRW (price ÷ EPS = P/E 36.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620)?
The net margin of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd is 1.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd is −7.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620)?
The operating margin of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd is 4.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620)?
Revenue at Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd is growing −20.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +75.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620)?
Earnings per share at Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd are growing +163% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd (104620) carry?
The net debt of Yellow Balloon Tour Co. Ltd is 4.2B KRW (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 4, 2026