SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. stock TWD 64.16, price TWD 71.00, that is 9.6% below the price, quality 51 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 48.29 TWD – 116.86 TWD · fair‑value band 46.09 TWD – 93.30 TWD · the 71.00 TWD price screens above the 64.16 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. engages in engineering and manufacturing lightweight forging solutions primarily for the automotive industry. The company offers forged aluminum wheels for luxury and sports vehicles; and lightweight suspension components.
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It is also involved in manufacturing, processing and trading of aerospace components, automotive and motorcycle components, aluminum, copper, steel and titanium alloys and hardware parts, mold steel rebar connectors.
In addition, it operates in Taiwan, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, other parts of Europe, Australia, Japan, and internationally. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Douliu City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563) currently trades at 71.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 64.16 TWD, 10% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 51.18 TWD per share, and 3 of the 24 models we run sit above the 71.00 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 7.47 TWD, and 21 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 46.09 TWD (bear) to 93.30 TWD (bull), the price of 71.00 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 7.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 7.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was 318M TWD in FY2025, compounding −1.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 15.3B TWD (≈ $466M) Small · P/E ratio 49.7 · P/S ratio 2.26 · EPS (TTM) 1.43 TWD · Dividend yield 3.8% · Net margin 4.6% · Return on equity 5.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −10%, 1563 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear46.09 TWDFair Value 64.16 TWDBull93.30 TWD
Price 71.00 TWD · Downside -9.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF38.86 TWD52.93 TWD75.90 TWD78
Growth DCF40.28 TWD53.53 TWD73.53 TWD77
Owner Earnings35.33 TWD48.44 TWD69.82 TWD74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF38.86 TWD52.93 TWD75.90 TWD78
Owner Earnings35.33 TWD48.44 TWD69.82 TWD74
5Y Revenue Exit31.29 TWD47.41 TWD70.77 TWD70
5Y EBITDA Exit57.55 TWD92.80 TWD139.46 TWD72
5Y P/E Exit30.41 TWD45.90 TWD64.52 TWD68
10Y Revenue Exit33.71 TWD44.85 TWD56.43 TWD66
10Y EBITDA Exit48.52 TWD69.45 TWD91.73 TWD67
10Y P/E Exit34.06 TWD44.03 TWD53.21 TWD63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd17.05 TWD20.84 TWD23.44 TWD65
EPV16.28 TWD19.88 TWD22.82 TWD74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM28.85 TWD30.93 TWD34.00 TWD67
DDM Multi-Stage28.85 TWD33.73 TWD39.88 TWD65
Multiples
P/E Multiple41.37 TWD55.16 TWD68.95 TWD63
P/S Multiple31.97 TWD42.63 TWD53.28 TWD58
P/B Multiple205.82 TWD274.43 TWD343.03 TWD55
EV/EBIT18.87 TWD38.84 TWD58.81 TWD62
EV/EBITDA59.09 TWD92.47 TWD125.84 TWD66
EV/Revenuen/a16.65 TWD33.96 TWD50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)4.93 TWD7.47 TWD9.34 TWD54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF40.28 TWD53.53 TWD73.53 TWD77
Rev-Margin DCF31.29 TWD48.82 TWD70.68 TWD70
Economic Profit
Residual Income46.80 TWD46.48 TWD47.33 TWD74
ROIC Compounder16.28 TWD19.88 TWD22.82 TWD70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E29.16 TWD41.66 TWD54.16 TWD65
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.63/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
’19
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+1.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 8%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+16.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +19.4% a year for the price and +14.9% for the forecasts.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 655 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−9.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)5.2% · Below median
Return on assets1.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)5.8% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)10.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)18.5% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)3.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.55× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)49.7× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.75× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)2.04× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)20.8× · Pricier than median
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Is SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 64.16 TWD versus a price of 71.00 TWD, about 10% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1563?
Our model-based fair value for SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. is 64.16 TWD (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 71.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1563?
SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 64.16 TWD (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 46.09 TWD, optimistic scenario 93.30 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 64.16 TWD, about 10% lower versus a price of 71.00 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 46.09 TWD, optimistic scenario 93.30 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.5B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of 3.76% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563) and when is the ex-dividend date?
SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. pays a dividend of 2.67 TWD per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 27, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2011. The payout ratio is 187% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 2.18 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +21.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.1 % per year. Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1563 use?
Our models discount SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.59, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. that is +21.3 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. grew +5.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +21.3 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (+21.3 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.82 % in the last fiscal year (free cash flow was negative over the last twelve months): that much free cash flow SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. it is 64.16 TWD per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 71.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 1563 trades above its calculated fair value: price 71.00 TWD, fair value 64.16 TWD, a gap of about −10% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1563?
No. The price is what the market pays today (71.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (64.16 TWD). For SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. the two are 6.84 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. at about 15.3B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 71.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 64.16 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1563?
Our models span a range for SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd.: cautious scenario 46.09 TWD, base 64.16 TWD, optimistic 93.30 TWD per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 71.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1563?
SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 49.7 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 64.16 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 2.0, EV/EBITDA 11.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
Balance-sheet figures for SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 5.2%, debt of 0.55 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1563 from its 52-week high?
SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. trades at 71.00 TWD, about 20% below its 52-week high of 89.13 TWD and 41% above the low of 50.21 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 64.16 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 71.00 TWD, calculated fair value 64.16 TWD (−10%), Quality Score 51/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1563 calculated?
We run SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. through 24 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 64.16 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 71.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 64.16 TWD, about 10% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. right now?
A fairly wide model range (46.09 TWD to 93.30 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
The market capitalisation of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. is 15.3B TWD (≈ $466M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. is 2.26 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
Earnings per share at SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. are 1.43 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 49.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
The dividend yield of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. is 3.8% (payout 187%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
The net margin of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. is 4.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. is 4.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
The operating margin of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. is 10.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
Revenue at SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. is growing +18.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
Earnings per share at SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. are growing +484% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563) carry?
The net debt of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. is 5.2B TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 7, 2026