SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. TWD 33.72, price TWD 75.20, upside -55.2%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. engages in engineering and manufacturing lightweight forging solutions primarily for the automotive industry. The company offers forged aluminum wheels for luxury and sports vehicles; and lightweight suspension components.
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SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. engages in engineering and manufacturing lightweight forging solutions primarily for the automotive industry. The company offers forged aluminum wheels for luxury and sports vehicles; and lightweight suspension components. It is also involved in manufacturing, processing and trading of aerospace components, automotive and motorcycle components, aluminum, copper, steel and titanium alloys and hardware parts, mold steel rebar connectors. In addition, it operates in Taiwan, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, other parts of Europe, Australia, Japan, and internationally. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Douliu City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563) currently trades at 75.20 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 33.72 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 123.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 29.75 TWD per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the 75.20 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 12.18 TWD, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 25.81 TWD (bear) to 46.52 TWD (bull), the price of 75.20 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 7.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 7.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was 318M TWD in FY2025, compounding −1.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 16.9B TWD (≈ $530M) · P/E ratio 53.0 · P/S ratio 2.42 · EPS (TTM) 1.42 TWD · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin 4.6% · Return on equity 1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −55%, 1563 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 25.81 TWDFair Value 33.72 TWDBull 46.52 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.63/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+0.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 8%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.8% a year for the price.
Compare SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 692 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside−55% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.55× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)53.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.93× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)2.43× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF0.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA14.5× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)4· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)73· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)53· sector 38
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 33.72 TWD versus a price of 75.20 TWD, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1563?
Our model-based fair value for SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. is 33.72 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 75.20 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1563?
SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 33.72 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 25.81 TWD, optimistic scenario 46.52 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 33.72 TWD, about −55% upside versus a price of 75.20 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 25.81 TWD, optimistic scenario 46.52 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.9B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.66% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +18.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1563 use?
Our models discount SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.49, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. that is +18.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. grew +5.1 % a year. The price currently implies +18.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (+18.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.38 %: that much free cash flow SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. it is 33.72 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 75.20 TWD. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 1563 trades above its calculated fair value: price 75.20 TWD, fair value 33.72 TWD, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1563?
No. The price is what the market pays today (75.20 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (33.72 TWD). For SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. the two are 41.48 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. at about 16.9B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 75.20 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 33.72 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1563?
Our models span a range for SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd.: cautious scenario 25.81 TWD, base 33.72 TWD, optimistic 46.52 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 75.20 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1563?
SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 53.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 33.72 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.9, P/S 2.4, EV/EBITDA 14.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
Balance-sheet figures for SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.1%, debt of 0.55 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1563 from its 52-week high?
SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. trades at 75.20 TWD, about 16% below its 52-week high of 89.13 TWD and 50% above the low of 50.21 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 33.72 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 75.20 TWD, calculated fair value 33.72 TWD (−55%), Quality Score 48/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1563 calculated?
We run SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 33.72 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 75.20 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 33.72 TWD, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (46.52 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (25.81 TWD to 46.52 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
The market capitalisation of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. is 16.9B TWD (≈ $530M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. is 2.42 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
Earnings per share at SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. are 1.42 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 53.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
The dividend yield of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. is 2.7% (payout 141%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
The net margin of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. is 4.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. is 4.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
The operating margin of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. is 8.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
Revenue at SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. is growing −2.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563)?
Earnings per share at SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. are growing −60.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. (1563) carry?
The net debt of SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. is 5.2B TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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