SuperAlloy Industrial Co (1563) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 12.8B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from 24.92 TWD to 33.72 TWD (+35.3%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price −13.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 40% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (46.52 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (25.29 TWD to 46.52 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 37.32 TWD – 90.75 TWD · fair‑value band 25.29 TWD – 46.52 TWD · the 56.50 TWD price screens above the 33.72 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
SuperAlloy Industrial Co (1563) currently trades at 56.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 33.72 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 40.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, SuperAlloy Industrial Co generated revenue of 6.9B TWD at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.1%. Net debt stands at 5.2B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 25.29 TWD (bear case) to 46.52 TWD (bull case); at 56.50 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -40%, 1563 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (30.23 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (12.18 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. engages in engineering and manufacturing lightweight forging solutions primarily for the automotive industry. The company offers forged aluminum wheels for luxury and sports vehicles; and lightweight suspension components.
Full company description
SuperAlloy Industrial Co., Ltd. engages in engineering and manufacturing lightweight forging solutions primarily for the automotive industry. The company offers forged aluminum wheels for luxury and sports vehicles; and lightweight suspension components. It is also involved in manufacturing, processing and trading of aerospace components, automotive and motorcycle components, aluminum, copper, steel and titanium alloys and hardware parts, mold steel rebar connectors. In addition, it operates in Taiwan, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, other parts of Europe, Australia, Japan, and internationally. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Douliu City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
SuperAlloy Industrial Co reported revenue of 7.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 7.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was 318M TWD in FY2025, compounding −1.7%/yr from FY2021.
1563 screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 642 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,172 MXN | +4% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹144.17 | ₹80.63 | -44% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹792.00 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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