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Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shantou Wanshun Package Material stock ¥1.73, price ¥5.37, that is 67.8% below the price, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 4 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical CN · ISIN CNE100000LT2

SW Shantou Wanshun Package Material logo Thin data Nov 5, 2026

Shantou Wanshun Package Material

300057 · SHE
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 68% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Revenue last quarter +66% vs. a year ago.
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +2.7 %/yr in CNY)
0.2% dividend yield · Token dividend
Changed on Oct 27: ¥1.29 → ¥1.73
Fair value ¥1.73 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 35/100
Loss-making · -1.1% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 19/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥14.04 ¥3.65 Fair Value ¥1.73 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.65 – ¥14.04 · the ¥5.37 price screens above the ¥1.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Shantou Wanshun New Material Group Co., Ltd. engages in the paper packaging material, aluminum processing, and functional film businesses in China.

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The company products include transfer and composite papers used in cigarette labels, wine labels, daily chemicals, gifts, and other packaging fields; aluminum foil, aluminum strip, and carbon-coated foil are used in the fields of electronic components, such as batteries, capacitors, and printed circuit boards; packaging fields, including food, beverages, cigarettes, and medicine; daily use fields; and conductive films used in touch screen, dimming film/glass, and other fields.

It also provides energy-saving membranes used in energy-saving fields comprising buildings and car films; high barrier films used in photovoltaic packaging, food and drug packaging, electronic device packaging, display packaging, and other fields; car coat films used in automobiles to protect the car paint; energy-saving films that are mainly used in energy-saving fields, such as construction and automotive glass; and nano glare films.

Shantou Wanshun New Material Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Shantou, China.

Stock analysis

Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057) currently trades at ¥5.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.73, 68% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of ¥1.73 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the ¥5.37 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.2500, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2019: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2019.

Shantou Wanshun Package Material reported revenue of 5.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 5.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was −184M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 4.8B CNY (≈ $724M) Small · P/S ratio 0.76 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0800 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin −1.1% · Return on equity −1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin 2.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 19 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −68%, 300057 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥1.73 Fair Value ¥1.73 Bull ¥1.73
Price ¥5.37 · Downside -67.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV ¥1.73 ¥1.73 ¥1.73 74
ROIC Compounder ¥1.73 ¥1.73 ¥1.73 72
EV/EBITDA ¥0.6700 ¥1.29 ¥1.90 64
All 4 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥1.73 ¥1.73 ¥1.73 74
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥0.6700 ¥1.29 ¥1.90 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.1700 ¥0.2500 ¥0.3100 55
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥1.73 ¥1.73 ¥1.73 72

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 12
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 5
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 42
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 91
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 35
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 24
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 14
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 47
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2019: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2019.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.6% (2020) → 0.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

300057 screens overvalued: fair value 68% below the price. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −67.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −1.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 2.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 65.9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.05× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.95× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.70× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 9.8× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 42
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)4 · sector 45

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Sonoco Products Company SON $50.24 $56.94 +13% vs 300057
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $44.19 $44.16 +0% vs 300057
Crown Holdings CCK $123.40 $121.85 −1% vs 300057
International Paper Company IP $35.53 $33.06 −7% vs 300057
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc REYN $24.76 $19.83 −20% vs 300057
Ball Corporation BALL $66.81 $48.92 −27% vs 300057
Amcor plc AMCR $45.14 $31.20 −31% vs 300057
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $188.05 $125.58 −33% vs 300057
SIG Group SIGN CHF 15.27 CHF 9.03 −41% vs 300057
Packaging Corporation PKG $254.41 $130.52 −49% vs 300057

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Shantou Wanshun Package Material: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shantou Wanshun Package Material Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300057

Frequently asked questions

Is Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.73 versus a price of ¥5.37, about 68% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300057?
Our model-based fair value for Shantou Wanshun Package Material is ¥1.73 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥5.37.
What is the quality score of 300057?
Shantou Wanshun Package Material has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.73 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 4 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shantou Wanshun Package Material stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.73, about 68% lower versus a price of ¥5.37 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
Shantou Wanshun Package Material reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Shantou Wanshun Package Material pay a dividend?
Shantou Wanshun Package Material currently shows a dividend yield of 0.19% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Shantou Wanshun Package Material pays a dividend of ¥0.01 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.2%. The last ex-dividend date was May 26, 2026. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.2% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.2% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shantou Wanshun Package Material it is ¥1.73 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ¥5.37. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models in 4 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Shantou Wanshun Package Material stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 300057 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥5.37, fair value ¥1.73, a gap of about −68% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300057?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥5.37); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.73). For Shantou Wanshun Package Material the two are ¥3.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shantou Wanshun Package Material worth?
The market values Shantou Wanshun Package Material at about 4.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥5.37; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.73 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shantou Wanshun Package Material (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −1.3%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300057 from its 52-week high?
Shantou Wanshun Package Material trades at ¥5.37, about 47% below its 52-week high of ¥10.08 and 6% above the low of ¥5.06 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.73 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shantou Wanshun Package Material?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shantou Wanshun Package Material stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ¥5.37, calculated fair value ¥1.73 (−68%), Quality Score 35/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300057 calculated?
We run Shantou Wanshun Package Material through 4 models from 4 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥1.73 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.7% above its aggregate fair value. Shantou Wanshun Package Material itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was ¥5.37. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.73, about 68% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shantou Wanshun Package Material right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Shantou Wanshun Package Material

How large is the market capitalisation of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
The market capitalisation of Shantou Wanshun Package Material is 4.8B CNY (≈ $724M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shantou Wanshun Package Material is 0.76 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
Earnings per share at Shantou Wanshun Package Material are ¥−0.0800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
The dividend yield of Shantou Wanshun Package Material is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
The net margin of Shantou Wanshun Package Material is −1.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shantou Wanshun Package Material is −1.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shantou Wanshun Package Material is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
The operating margin of Shantou Wanshun Package Material is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
Revenue at Shantou Wanshun Package Material is growing +65.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
Earnings per share at Shantou Wanshun Package Material are growing −77.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057) generate?
The free cash flow of Shantou Wanshun Package Material is −313M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057) carry?
The net debt of Shantou Wanshun Package Material is 1.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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