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Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Shantou Wanshun Package Material ¥1.29, price ¥6.31, upside -79.6%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · CN · ISIN CNE100000LT2

SW Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Shantou Wanshun Package Material

300057 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥1.29 · Strongly overvalued (−80%)
!Quality 35/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +2.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.6% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.16% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/11)
!Narrow moat 19/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 3 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥14.04 ¥3.65 Fair Value ¥1.29 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.65 – ¥14.04 · fair‑value band ¥0.7000 – ¥1.73 · the ¥6.31 price screens above the ¥1.29 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Shantou Wanshun New Material Group Co., Ltd. engages in the paper packaging material, aluminum processing, and functional film businesses in China.

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Shantou Wanshun New Material Group Co., Ltd. engages in the paper packaging material, aluminum processing, and functional film businesses in China. The company products include transfer and composite papers used in cigarette labels, wine labels, daily chemicals, gifts, and other packaging fields; aluminum foil, aluminum strip, and carbon-coated foil are used in the fields of electronic components, such as batteries, capacitors, and printed circuit boards; packaging fields, including food, beverages, cigarettes, and medicine; daily use fields; and conductive films used in touch screen, dimming film/glass, and other fields. It also provides energy-saving membranes used in energy-saving fields comprising buildings and car films; high barrier films used in photovoltaic packaging, food and drug packaging, electronic device packaging, display packaging, and other fields; car coat films used in automobiles to protect the car paint; energy-saving films that are mainly used in energy-saving fields, such as construction and automotive glass; and nano glare films. Shantou Wanshun New Material Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Shantou, China.

Stock analysis

Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057) currently trades at ¥6.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.29, implying the stock looks roughly 389.2% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥3.38 per share, and 0 of the 8 models we run sit above the ¥6.31 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.18, and 8 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥0.7000 (bear) to ¥1.73 (bull), the price of ¥6.31 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Shantou Wanshun Package Material reported revenue of 5.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 5.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was −184M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 9.3B CNY (≈ $1.4B) · P/S ratio 1.55 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1800 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin −3.2% · Return on equity −3.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% · Operating margin 3.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −80%, 300057 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.7000 Fair Value ¥1.29 Bull ¥1.73
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV ¥1.73 ¥1.73 ¥1.74 74
ROIC Compounder ¥1.73 ¥1.73 ¥1.74 72
Gordon GGM ¥0.7200 ¥1.29 ¥1.77 68
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥1.73 ¥1.73 ¥1.74 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.7200 ¥1.29 ¥1.77 68
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.7200 ¥1.18 ¥1.38 67
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥1.78 ¥1.80 ¥1.83 66
EV/EBITDA ¥3.54 ¥4.15 ¥4.77 67
EV/Revenue ¥1.77 ¥1.80 ¥1.83 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.52 ¥3.38 ¥5.05 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥1.73 ¥1.73 ¥1.74 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 47
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 11/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.2% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.6% (2020) → 0.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

300057 screens 389% overvalued. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 16% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.05× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.27× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.23× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)81 · sector 3
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)3 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $46.45 $29.84 −36%
Packaging Corporation PKG $240.98 $129.76 −46%
International Paper Company IP $35.70 $21.44 −40%
Ball Corporation BALL $59.97 $47.41 −21%
Crown Holdings CCK $109.64 $118.59 +8%
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $169.01 $123.89 −27%
Stora Enso Oyj STEAV €10.95 €9.69 −12%
SIG Group SIGN CHF 13.47 CHF 9.54 −29%
Sonoco Products Company SON $49.96 $61.99 +24%
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc REYN $22.17 $20.00 −10%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shantou Wanshun Package Material Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300057

Frequently asked questions

Is Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.29 versus a price of ¥6.31, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300057?
Our model-based fair value for Shantou Wanshun Package Material is ¥1.29 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.31.
What is the quality score of 300057?
Shantou Wanshun Package Material has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.29 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.7000, optimistic scenario ¥1.73. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shantou Wanshun Package Material stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.29, about −80% upside versus a price of ¥6.31 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.7000, optimistic scenario ¥1.73. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
Shantou Wanshun Package Material reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Shantou Wanshun Package Material pay a dividend?
Shantou Wanshun Package Material currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.16% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shantou Wanshun Package Material it is ¥1.29 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥6.31. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shantou Wanshun Package Material stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300057 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥6.31, fair value ¥1.29, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300057?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥6.31); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.29). For Shantou Wanshun Package Material the two are ¥5.02 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shantou Wanshun Package Material worth?
The market values Shantou Wanshun Package Material at about 9.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥6.31; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.29 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300057?
Our models span a range for Shantou Wanshun Package Material: cautious scenario ¥0.7000, base ¥1.29, optimistic ¥1.73 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥6.31). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shantou Wanshun Package Material (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −3.0%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300057 from its 52-week high?
Shantou Wanshun Package Material trades at ¥6.31, about 37% below its 52-week high of ¥10.08 and 17% above the low of ¥5.37 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.29 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shantou Wanshun Package Material?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shantou Wanshun Package Material stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥6.31, calculated fair value ¥1.29 (−80%), Quality Score 35/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300057 calculated?
We run Shantou Wanshun Package Material through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.29, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Shantou Wanshun Package Material itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥6.31. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.29, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shantou Wanshun Package Material right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥0.7000 to ¥1.73) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Shantou Wanshun Package Material

How large is the market capitalisation of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
The market capitalisation of Shantou Wanshun Package Material is 9.3B CNY (≈ $1.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shantou Wanshun Package Material is 1.55 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
Earnings per share at Shantou Wanshun Package Material are ¥−0.1800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
The dividend yield of Shantou Wanshun Package Material is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
The net margin of Shantou Wanshun Package Material is −3.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shantou Wanshun Package Material is −3.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shantou Wanshun Package Material is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
The operating margin of Shantou Wanshun Package Material is 3.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
Revenue at Shantou Wanshun Package Material is growing +16.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057)?
Earnings per share at Shantou Wanshun Package Material are growing −77.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057) generate?
The free cash flow of Shantou Wanshun Package Material is −313M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shantou Wanshun Package Material (300057) carry?
The net debt of Shantou Wanshun Package Material is 1.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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