Shantou Wanshun New Material Group (300057) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 9.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥15.14 to ¥1.29 (−91.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −7.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 80% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥0.6700 to ¥1.90). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.65 – ¥14.04 · fair‑value band ¥0.6700 – ¥1.90 · the ¥6.50 price screens above the ¥1.29 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Shantou Wanshun New Material Group (300057) currently trades at ¥6.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.29, implying the stock looks roughly 80.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shantou Wanshun New Material Group generated revenue of 6.0B CNY at a net margin of -2.6%. Revenue grew 16.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.0%. Net debt stands at 1.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.6700 (bear case) to ¥1.90 (bull case); at ¥6.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -80%, 300057 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥3.38) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.39). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shantou Wanshun New Material Group Co., Ltd. engages in the paper packaging material, aluminum processing, and functional film businesses in China.
Full company description
Shantou Wanshun New Material Group Co., Ltd. engages in the paper packaging material, aluminum processing, and functional film businesses in China. The company products include transfer and composite papers used in cigarette labels, wine labels, daily chemicals, gifts, and other packaging fields; aluminum foil, aluminum strip, and carbon-coated foil are used in the fields of electronic components, such as batteries, capacitors, and printed circuit boards; packaging fields, including food, beverages, cigarettes, and medicine; daily use fields; and conductive films used in touch screen, dimming film/glass, and other fields. It also provides energy-saving membranes used in energy-saving fields comprising buildings and car films; high barrier films used in photovoltaic packaging, food and drug packaging, electronic device packaging, display packaging, and other fields; car coat films used in automobiles to protect the car paint; energy-saving films that are mainly used in energy-saving fields, such as construction and automotive glass; and nano glare films. Shantou Wanshun New Material Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Shantou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shantou Wanshun New Material Group reported revenue of ¥5.8B in FY2025 versus ¥5.4B in FY2021, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥184M in FY2025.
300057 screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →
Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 273 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 101.90 | kr 126.39 | +24% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥29.10 | ¥20.88 | -28% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 29.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -44% |
| AblePrint Technology Co 7734 | 2,850 TWD | 661.69 TWD | -77% |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW | 5,312 IDR | 1,194 IDR | -78% |
| Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 | 132.50 TWD | 127.06 TWD | -4% |
| Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO | ₹206.82 | ₹161.42 | -22% |
| EPL Limited 500135 | ₹222.25 | ₹111.65 | -50% |
| Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 | 15.15 TWD | 23.17 TWD | +53% |
| Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 | 19,330 KRW | 31,473 KRW | +63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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