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Shantou Wanshun New Material Group (300057) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 9.3B CNY

SW Shantou Wanshun New Material Group 300057 · SHE
Price¥6.50
Fair Value¥1.29
Upside-80.2%
Quality35/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -2.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.11% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 19/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥0.6700 – ¥1.90 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥15.14 to ¥1.29 (−91.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −7.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 80% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (¥0.6700 to ¥1.90). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥14.04 ¥3.65 Fair Value ¥1.29 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.65 – ¥14.04 · fair‑value band ¥0.6700 – ¥1.90 · the ¥6.50 price screens above the ¥1.29 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Shantou Wanshun New Material Group (300057) currently trades at ¥6.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.29, implying the stock looks roughly 80.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shantou Wanshun New Material Group generated revenue of 6.0B CNY at a net margin of -2.6%. Revenue grew 16.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.0%. Net debt stands at 1.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.6700 (bear case) to ¥1.90 (bull case); at ¥6.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -80%, 300057 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder ¥1.73 ¥1.74 ¥1.74 72
Gordon GGM ¥0.8100 ¥1.61 ¥2.44 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.8100 ¥1.39 ¥1.70 61
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥1.73 ¥1.74 ¥1.74 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.8100 ¥1.61 ¥2.44 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.8100 ¥1.39 ¥1.70 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥1.78 ¥1.80 ¥1.83 53
EV/EBITDA ¥3.54 ¥4.15 ¥4.77 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.77 ¥1.80 ¥1.83 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.52 ¥3.38 ¥5.05 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥1.73 ¥1.74 ¥1.74 72

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥3.38) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.39). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.2%
Net margin -2.6%
Return on equity -3.0%
Free cash flow −313M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 3.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.1800
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -77.7%
Net debt 1.2B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 39
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 47
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shantou Wanshun New Material Group Co., Ltd. engages in the paper packaging material, aluminum processing, and functional film businesses in China.

Full company description

Shantou Wanshun New Material Group Co., Ltd. engages in the paper packaging material, aluminum processing, and functional film businesses in China. The company products include transfer and composite papers used in cigarette labels, wine labels, daily chemicals, gifts, and other packaging fields; aluminum foil, aluminum strip, and carbon-coated foil are used in the fields of electronic components, such as batteries, capacitors, and printed circuit boards; packaging fields, including food, beverages, cigarettes, and medicine; daily use fields; and conductive films used in touch screen, dimming film/glass, and other fields. It also provides energy-saving membranes used in energy-saving fields comprising buildings and car films; high barrier films used in photovoltaic packaging, food and drug packaging, electronic device packaging, display packaging, and other fields; car coat films used in automobiles to protect the car paint; energy-saving films that are mainly used in energy-saving fields, such as construction and automotive glass; and nano glare films. Shantou Wanshun New Material Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Shantou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shantou Wanshun New Material Group reported revenue of ¥5.8B in FY2025 versus ¥5.4B in FY2021, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥184M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 11/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.8B CNY
Latest YoY
−11.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.5%
Revenue +1.6%/yr
FY21 ¥5.4B
FY22 ¥5.8B
FY23 ¥5.4B
FY24 ¥6.6B
FY25 ¥5.8B
Net income
FY21 −¥43.9M
FY22 ¥205M
FY23 −¥49.9M
FY24 −¥192M
FY25 −¥184M

300057 screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shantou Wanshun New Material Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300057

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 273 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 16% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.23× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 10
FUTURE 81 · sector 1
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 98 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 2 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

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PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shantou Wanshun New Material Group (300057) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.29 versus a price of ¥6.50, about −80% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300057?
Our model-based fair value for Shantou Wanshun New Material Group is ¥1.29 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥6.50.
What is the quality score of 300057?
Shantou Wanshun New Material Group has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shantou Wanshun New Material Group (300057)?
Shantou Wanshun New Material Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300057?
The net profit margin of Shantou Wanshun New Material Group is about -2.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shantou Wanshun New Material Group pay a dividend?
Shantou Wanshun New Material Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.11% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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