Masterwork Machinery (300195) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Masterwork Machinery stock ¥2.24, price ¥4.86, that is 53.9% below the price, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.68 – ¥9.60 · fair‑value band ¥1.07 – ¥3.61 · the ¥4.86 price screens above the ¥2.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.
Follow Masterwork Machinery in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Masterwork Machinery is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Masterwork Group Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of printing equipment in China and internationally. The company's products include gravure printing, foil stamping, die cutting, folder gluer, inspection, laser cutting, flat bed and rotary machines.
Show moreShow less
It is also involved in provision of financial leasing services; manufacturing of medical equipment; and consultations of smart plant, as well as intellectualization and digitalization business.
Masterwork Group Co.,Ltd. was formerly known as Masterwork Machinery Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Masterwork Group Co.,Ltd. in July 2017. Masterwork Group Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Tianjin, China.
Stock analysis
Masterwork Machinery (300195) currently trades at ¥4.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.24, 54% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥3.88 per share, and 2 of the 25 models we run sit above the ¥4.86 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.6200, and 23 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.07 (bear) to ¥3.61 (bull), the price of ¥4.86 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Masterwork Machinery reported revenue of 1.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was 24.1M CNY in FY2025, compounding −8.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.1B CNY (≈ $308M) Small · P/E ratio 243.0 · P/S ratio 1.24 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0200 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 0.4% · Return on equity 0.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.5% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 24 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −54%, 300195 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥1.07Fair Value ¥2.24Bull¥3.61
Price ¥4.86 · Downside -53.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.60/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.9% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.0%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−6.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6.6% vs −20.3%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−7% → 7%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+35.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +33.7% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 813 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−53.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets0.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)7.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)24.8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.36× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)243.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.76× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)1.24× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)39.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA14.4× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 30
PAST (return on equity)1· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)82· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)8· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Masterwork Machinery Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300195
Frequently asked questions
Is Masterwork Machinery (300195) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.24 versus a price of ¥4.86, about 54% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300195?
Our model-based fair value for Masterwork Machinery is ¥2.24 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.86.
What is the quality score of 300195?
Masterwork Machinery has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Masterwork Machinery (300195)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.24 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.07, optimistic scenario ¥3.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Masterwork Machinery stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.24, about 54% lower versus a price of ¥4.86 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.07, optimistic scenario ¥3.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Masterwork Machinery (300195)?
Masterwork Machinery reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Masterwork Machinery pay a dividend?
Masterwork Machinery currently shows a dividend yield of 0.41% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Masterwork Machinery (300195) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Masterwork Machinery pays a dividend of ¥0.02 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.4%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 10, 2026. The payout ratio is 100% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 6.12 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Masterwork Machinery (300195)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Masterwork Machinery would have to grow free cash flow by +35.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.8 % per year. Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300195 use?
Our models discount Masterwork Machinery at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.62, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Masterwork Machinery that is +35.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Masterwork Machinery (300195) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Masterwork Machinery grew +5.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +35.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Masterwork Machinery (300195) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Masterwork Machinery (+35.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Masterwork Machinery (300195)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.52 % in the last fiscal year (free cash flow was negative over the last twelve months): that much free cash flow Masterwork Machinery produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Masterwork Machinery (300195)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Masterwork Machinery it is ¥2.24 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of ¥4.86. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Masterwork Machinery stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 300195 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥4.86, fair value ¥2.24, a gap of about −54% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300195?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.86); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.24). For Masterwork Machinery the two are ¥2.62 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Masterwork Machinery worth?
The market values Masterwork Machinery at about 2.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.86; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.24 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300195?
Our models span a range for Masterwork Machinery: cautious scenario ¥1.07, base ¥2.24, optimistic ¥3.61 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price ¥4.86). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300195?
Masterwork Machinery trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 243.0 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥2.24 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 62.3. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 14.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Masterwork Machinery (300195)?
Balance-sheet figures for Masterwork Machinery (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 0.2%, debt of 0.36 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300195 from its 52-week high?
Masterwork Machinery trades at ¥4.86, about 49% below its 52-week high of ¥9.60 and 6% above the low of ¥4.59 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.24 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Masterwork Machinery?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Masterwork Machinery stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price ¥4.86, calculated fair value ¥2.24 (−54%), Quality Score 44/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300195 calculated?
We run Masterwork Machinery through 25 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥2.24 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Masterwork Machinery itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Masterwork Machinery (300195)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥4.86. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.24, about 54% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Masterwork Machinery right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (¥1.07 to ¥3.61). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Masterwork Machinery (300195) come from?
Earnings per share at Masterwork Machinery grew −19.3 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.9 %, EBIT margin −24.0 %, tax rate −1.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Masterwork Machinery
How large is the market capitalisation of Masterwork Machinery (300195)?
The market capitalisation of Masterwork Machinery is 2.1B CNY (≈ $308M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Masterwork Machinery (300195)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Masterwork Machinery is 1.24 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Masterwork Machinery (300195)?
Earnings per share at Masterwork Machinery are ¥0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 243.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Masterwork Machinery (300195)?
The dividend yield of Masterwork Machinery is 0.4% (payout 100%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Masterwork Machinery (300195)?
The net margin of Masterwork Machinery is 0.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Masterwork Machinery (300195)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Masterwork Machinery is 0.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Masterwork Machinery (300195)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Masterwork Machinery is 0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Masterwork Machinery (300195)?
The operating margin of Masterwork Machinery is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Masterwork Machinery (300195)?
Revenue at Masterwork Machinery is growing +24.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Masterwork Machinery (300195)?
Earnings per share at Masterwork Machinery are growing +47.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Masterwork Machinery (300195) carry?
The net debt of Masterwork Machinery is 1.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 25.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Masterwork Machinery in the live analysis
One click puts Masterwork Machinery on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Nov 8, 2026