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Data-driven stock valuation

SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai (300561) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai stock ¥8.72, price ¥15.12, that is 42.3% below the price, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Technology CN · ISIN CNE100002DH0

SS SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai

300561 · SHE
Solid, but very expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 42% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 50/100
0.2% dividend yield · Token dividend
Revenue last quarter 23% below a year ago.
Fair value ¥8.72 · Strongly overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −11.3 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -22.6% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 10/100
Thin data
Estimate
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥64.51 ¥6.90 Fair Value ¥8.72 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.90 – ¥64.51 · fair‑value band ¥6.54 – ¥10.90 · the ¥15.12 price screens above the ¥8.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

SGSG Science&Technology Co., Ltd. Zhuhai engages in software development and system integration information technology in Mainland China.

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The company primarily offers professional services for bank business operations and outlet constructions, as well as solutions for cash notes, precious metals, and seal management needs.

It also develops bank self-service device cash replenishment and distribution management systems, bank physical/electronic seal management systems, intelligent bank outlet solutions, bank cash flow physical internal control systems, bank treasury management solutions, and other products, as well as supplies internal control risk management solutions to customers.

In addition, the company offers banking self-service equipment bill allocation management solutions; banking stamp management solutions; banking material circulation management solutions; baking vault management solutions; and intelligent bank outlets solutions.

Its products are primarily used in commercial and foreign banks, as well as rural credit cooperatives. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in Zhuhai, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai (300561) currently trades at ¥15.12, while our estimate is ¥8.72, 42% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: ¥6.54 (bear) to ¥10.90 (bull), the price of ¥15.12 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai reported revenue of 112M CNY in FY2025 versus 167M CNY in FY2021, a compound −9.5%/yr. Reported net income was −15.3M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 5.0B CNY (≈ $744M) Small · P/S ratio 44.6 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1000 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin −13.6% · Return on equity −5.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin −17.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −42%, 300561 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear ¥6.54 Fair Value ¥8.72 Bull ¥10.90
Price ¥15.12 · Downside -42.3%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 7
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 2
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 79
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 97
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 47
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 23
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 30
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+24.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.1% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.3% (2020) → −7.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

300561 screens overvalued: fair value 42% below the price. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 410 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −42.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −22.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −17.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −22.9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 8.51× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 47.21× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 60
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)4 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $533.16 $599.70 +12% vs 300561
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $123.57 $130.72 +6% vs 300561
Oracle Corporation ORCL $117.98 $111.97 −5% vs 300561
Block, Inc XYZ $85.58 $76.43 −11% vs 300561
NetApp, Inc NTAP $175.99 $156.80 −11% vs 300561
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $459.95 $288.23 −37% vs 300561
Zscaler, Inc ZS $194.92 $101.45 −48% vs 300561
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR $168.82 $42.20 −75% vs 300561
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $225.76 $37.97 −83% vs 300561
Palo Alto Networks, Inc PANW $326.36 $39.54 −88% vs 300561

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SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300561

Frequently asked questions

Is SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai (300561) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is ¥8.72 versus a price of ¥15.12, about 42% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300561?
Our estimate for SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai is ¥8.72 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥15.12.
What is the quality score of 300561?
SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai (300561)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of ¥8.72 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario ¥6.54, optimistic scenario ¥10.90. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at ¥8.72, about 42% lower versus a price of ¥15.12 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥6.54, optimistic scenario ¥10.90. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai (300561)?
SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 105M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
Does SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai pay a dividend?
SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai currently shows a dividend yield of 0.20% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 10, 2026).
How much is the dividend of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai (300561) and when is the ex-dividend date?
SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai pays a dividend of ¥0.03 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 18, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2017. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.2% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.2% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai (300561)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai it is ¥8.72 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of ¥15.12.
Is SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 300561 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥15.12, fair value ¥8.72, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300561?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥15.12); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥8.72). For SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai the two are ¥6.40 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai worth?
The market values SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai at about 5.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is ¥15.12; our models calculate a fair value of ¥8.72 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300561?
Our models span a range for SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai: cautious scenario ¥6.54, base ¥8.72, optimistic ¥10.90 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price ¥15.12). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai (300561)?
Balance-sheet figures for SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −5.0%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300561 from its 52-week high?
SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai trades at ¥15.12, about 39% below its 52-week high of ¥24.69 and 37% above the low of ¥11.03 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥8.72 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price ¥15.12, calculated fair value ¥8.72 (−42%), Quality Score 50/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai (300561)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was ¥15.12. Our estimate is ¥8.72, about 42% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥10.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai

How large is the market capitalisation of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai (300561)?
The market capitalisation of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai is 5.0B CNY (≈ $744M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai (300561)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai is 44.6 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai (300561)?
Earnings per share at SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai are ¥−0.1000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai (300561)?
The dividend yield of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai (300561)?
The net margin of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai is −13.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai (300561)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai is −5.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai (300561)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai is −0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai (300561)?
The operating margin of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai is −17.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai (300561)?
Revenue at SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai is growing −22.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai (300561)?
Earnings per share at SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai are growing −35.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai (300561) generate?
The free cash flow of SGSG Science&technology Co Ltd Zhuhai is −8.2M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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