Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd stock ¥3.83, price ¥10.13, that is 62.2% below the price, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.15 – ¥15.58 · fair‑value band ¥3.27 – ¥4.39 · the ¥10.13 price screens above the ¥3.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co., Ltd engages in the production and sale of thermoplastic pipe fittings in China.
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The company offers polyvinyl chloride (PVC), polyethylene (PE), random copolymer polypropylene (PPR) pipes and fittings, including water supply and drainage pipes and fittings for buildings, municipal water supply and drainage pipes and fittings, plastic pipes and fittings for underground communications, sheathed pipes for high-voltage power cables and many other series.
Its products are used in industrial and civil buildings, municipal engineering, water environment management, rural drinking water safety, rainwater and sewage separation, high-efficiency agriculture, smart grid construction and other fields.
The company was formerly known as Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Industry Ltd. and changed its name to Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co., Ltd in 2013. Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co., Ltd was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Foshan, China.
Stock analysis
Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599) currently trades at ¥10.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.83, 62% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: ¥3.27 (bear) to ¥4.39 (bull), the price of ¥10.13 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 910M CNY in FY2025 versus 2.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound −21.2%/yr. Reported net income was −80.8M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.6B CNY (≈ $543M) Small · P/S ratio 4.56 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1700 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin −6.9% · Return on equity −3.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin −12.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 13 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −62%, 300599 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥3.27Fair Value ¥3.83Bull¥4.39
Price ¥10.13 · Downside -62.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.4% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.6% (2020) → −4.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 255 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside−62.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−3.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−6.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−12.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−26.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.89× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)4.31× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 24
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)20· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300599
Frequently asked questions
Is Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.83 versus a price of ¥10.13, about 62% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300599?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd is ¥3.83 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥10.13.
What is the quality score of 300599?
Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.83 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.27, optimistic scenario ¥4.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.83, about 62% lower versus a price of ¥10.13 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.27, optimistic scenario ¥4.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?
Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 842M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.99% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.1 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.0%. The last ex-dividend date was May 27, 2026. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 1.0% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 1.0% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd it is ¥3.83 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of ¥10.13. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 300599 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥10.13, fair value ¥3.83, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300599?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥10.13); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.83). For Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd the two are ¥6.30 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd at about 3.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is ¥10.13; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.83 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300599?
Our models span a range for Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥3.27, base ¥3.83, optimistic ¥4.39 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price ¥10.13). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −3.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300599 from its 52-week high?
Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd trades at ¥10.13, about 35% below its 52-week high of ¥15.58 and 45% above the low of ¥7.00 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.83 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Johnson Controls International plc, Trane Technologies plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price ¥10.13, calculated fair value ¥3.83 (−62%), Quality Score 50/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300599 calculated?
We run Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥3.83 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥10.13. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.83, about 62% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?
The market capitalisation of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd is 3.6B CNY (≈ $543M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd is 4.56 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd are ¥−0.1700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?
The dividend yield of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd is 1.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?
The net margin of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd is −6.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd is −3.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?
The operating margin of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd is −12.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?
Revenue at Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd is growing −26.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −19.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd are growing +76.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599) generate?
The free cash flow of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd is −61.7M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599) hold?
Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 571M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Nov 7, 2026