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Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd ¥3.83, price ¥12.69, upside -69.8%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? No
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Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE100002MM1

GX Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd

300599 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥3.83 · Strongly overvalued (−70%)

!Quality 48/100

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −15.2 %/yr)

!Loss-making · -5.3% net margin (TTM)

!Low debt · negative free cash flow

·0.79% dividend yield

!Trails peers (4/12)

!Narrow moat 15/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on dividend: 16 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear ¥3.27 to bull ¥4.39 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 48/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.15 – ¥13.73 · fair‑value band ¥3.27 – ¥4.39 · the ¥12.69 price screens above the ¥3.83 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co., Ltd engages in the production and sale of thermoplastic pipe fittings in China.

Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co., Ltd engages in the production and sale of thermoplastic pipe fittings in China. The company offers polyvinyl chloride (PVC), polyethylene (PE), random copolymer polypropylene (PPR) pipes and fittings, including water supply and drainage pipes and fittings for buildings, municipal water supply and drainage pipes and fittings, plastic pipes and fittings for underground communications, sheathed pipes for high-voltage power cables and many other series. Its products are used in industrial and civil buildings, municipal engineering, water environment management, rural drinking water safety, rainwater and sewage separation, high-efficiency agriculture, smart grid construction and other fields. The company was formerly known as Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Industry Ltd. and changed its name to Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co., Ltd in 2013. Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co., Ltd was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Foshan, China.

Stock analysis

Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599) currently trades at ¥12.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.83, implying the stock looks roughly 231.3% overvalued today.

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: ¥3.27 (bear) to ¥4.39 (bull), the price of ¥12.69 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 910M CNY in FY2025 versus 2.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound −21.2%/yr. Reported net income was −80.8M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 4.5B CNY (≈ $679M) · P/S ratio 4.96 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1400 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin −8.9% · Return on equity −2.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0% · Operating margin −3.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −70%, 300599 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥3.27 Fair Value ¥3.83 Bull ¥4.39

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

EV/EBITDA ¥3.27 ¥3.82 ¥4.38 67

NCAV (Graham) ¥2.68 ¥3.60 ¥5.37 54

All 2 models by family

Multiples

EV/EBITDA ¥3.27 ¥3.82 ¥4.38 67

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) ¥2.68 ¥3.60 ¥5.37 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 8

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 35

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 10

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 96

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 81

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 41

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 64

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 86

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 80

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100

Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Revenue growth 1 year

−11.8%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−19.9%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−15.2%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.4% a year

Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−1.7%

’14

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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

12.6% (2020) → −4.1% (2025)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

300599 screens 231% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 253 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 48 · Below median

Fair Value upside −70% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (TTM) −5% · Bottom 25%

Operating margin (TTM) −3% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −1% · Below median

Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.35× · Cheapest 25%

P/S (TTM) 0.75× · Cheaper than median

EV/EBITDA 3.8× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 14

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 11

PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23

HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95

DIVIDEND (yield)16 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Kingspan Group KRX	€99.40	€68.89	−31%
Masco Corporation MAS	$69.96	$55.79	−20%
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Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥3.83 −231%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300599" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">¥3.83</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−231%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300599

Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.83 versus a price of ¥12.69, about −70% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 300599?

Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd is ¥3.83 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥12.69.

What is the quality score of 300599?

Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.83 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.27, optimistic scenario ¥4.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ¥3.83, about −70% upside versus a price of ¥12.69 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.27, optimistic scenario ¥4.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?

Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 908M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).

Does Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?

Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.79% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd it is ¥3.83 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥12.69. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, 300599 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥12.69, fair value ¥3.83, a gap of about −70% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 300599?

No. The price is what the market pays today (¥12.69); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.83). For Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd the two are ¥8.86 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd worth?

The market values Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd at about 4.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥12.69; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.83 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300599?

Our models span a range for Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥3.27, base ¥3.83, optimistic ¥4.39 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥12.69). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How solid is the balance sheet of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?

Balance-sheet figures for Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −2.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 300599 from its 52-week high?

Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd trades at ¥12.69, about 8% below its 52-week high of ¥13.73 and 81% above the low of ¥7.00 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.83 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd?

From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥12.69, calculated fair value ¥3.83 (−70%), Quality Score 48/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 300599 calculated?

We run Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.83, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?

The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥12.69. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.83, about −70% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?

The market capitalisation of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd is 4.5B CNY (≈ $679M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd is 4.96 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?

Earnings per share at Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd are ¥−0.1400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?

The dividend yield of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd is 0.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?

The net margin of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd is −8.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd is −2.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?

The operating margin of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd is −3.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?

Revenue at Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd is growing −0.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −19.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599)?

Earnings per share at Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd are growing +76.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599) generate?

The free cash flow of Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd is −61.7M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net cash does Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd (300599) hold?

Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 571M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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