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Data-driven stock valuation

Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. stock ¥4.30, price ¥8.68, that is 50.5% below the price, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials CN · ISIN CNE100004KC2

GG Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd.

300968 · SHE
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 50% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter +20% vs. a year ago.
Quality 48/100
Fair value ¥4.30 · Strongly overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.5 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -6.5% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 18/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥25.00 ¥6.48 Fair Value ¥4.30 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.48 – ¥25.00 · fair‑value band ¥3.78 – ¥4.32 · the ¥8.68 price screens above the ¥4.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Guangdong Green Precision Components Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, design, production, and sale of precision structural components and molds for intelligent terminals.

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It offers die-casting insert injection molding middle frames, metal middle frames, plastic battery covers with integrated LAP antenna, internal LDS antenna brackets and buttons, etc.; antenna, electromagnetic shielding, acoustic cavity, heat dissipation, waterproof, and dustproof; a front shell, a rear shell, a window, and a wrist strap; and smart watches comprising metal middle frame, plastic middle frame, and wrist strap, as well as plastic molding, IMD, ICM, secondary injection molding, soft rubber compound molding, cold and hot, and stack molding and continuous stamping.

The company provides precision structural components for smartphones, smart homes, wearable devices, tablet computers, e-books, speakers, cameras, and other intelligent terminals. It also offers GCPC masks.

Guangdong Green Precision Components Co., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is based in Huizhou, China.

Stock analysis

Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968) currently trades at ¥8.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.30, 50% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥2.71 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥8.68 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.90, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥3.78 (bear) to ¥4.32 (bull), the price of ¥8.68 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 1.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was −20.3M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 3.6B CNY (≈ $538M) Small · P/S ratio 2.49 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.2300 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin −6.5% · Return on equity −5.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin −14.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 18 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −50%, 300968 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥3.78 Fair Value ¥4.30 Bull ¥4.32
Price ¥8.68 · Downside -50.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV ¥1.89 ¥1.90 ¥1.90 70
ROIC Compounder ¥1.89 ¥1.90 ¥1.90 70
EV/EBITDA ¥4.26 ¥4.99 ¥5.72 64
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥1.89 ¥1.90 ¥1.90 70
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥2.13 ¥2.15 ¥2.16 63
EV/EBITDA ¥4.26 ¥4.99 ¥5.72 64
EV/Revenue ¥2.11 ¥2.13 ¥2.14 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.79 ¥2.71 ¥3.39 52
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥1.89 ¥1.90 ¥1.90 70

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 18
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 8
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 86
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 87
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 61
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 13
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 3
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 75
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.8% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.1% (2020) → 0.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

300968 screens overvalued: fair value 50% below the price. Compare with ATI Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 260 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −50.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −0.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −6.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −14.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 19.8% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.6% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.96× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 2.41× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)99 · sector 68
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)11 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUP CO.,LTD researches, 601399 ¥3.08 ¥1.42 −54% vs 300968
ATI Inc ATI $175.79 $46.69 −73% vs 300968
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹1,740 ₹390.35 −78% vs 300968
JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 ¥24.10 ¥5.06 −79% vs 300968

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Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300968

Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.30 versus a price of ¥8.68, about 50% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300968?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. is ¥4.30 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥8.68.
What is the quality score of 300968?
Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.30 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.78, optimistic scenario ¥4.32. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.30, about 50% lower versus a price of ¥8.68 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.78, optimistic scenario ¥4.32. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968)?
Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of 0.56% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968)?
Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. has a dividend yield of 0.6%.
What is the intrinsic value of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. it is ¥4.30 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of ¥8.68. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 300968 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥8.68, fair value ¥4.30, a gap of about −50% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300968?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥8.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.30). For Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. the two are ¥4.38 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. at about 3.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is ¥8.68; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.30 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300968?
Our models span a range for Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥3.78, base ¥4.30, optimistic ¥4.32 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price ¥8.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −5.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300968 from its 52-week high?
Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. trades at ¥8.68, about 46% below its 52-week high of ¥16.12 and 5% above the low of ¥8.28 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.30 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ATI Inc, Carpenter Technology Corporation, Mueller Industries, Inc, Bharat Forge Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price ¥8.68, calculated fair value ¥4.30 (−50%), Quality Score 48/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300968 calculated?
We run Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. through 6 models from 4 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥4.30 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥8.68. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.30, about 50% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (48/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. The models converge in a tight band (¥3.78 to ¥4.32), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Where does the earnings growth of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968) come from?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. grew −7.4 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −2.0 %, EBIT margin −5.7 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd.

How large is the market capitalisation of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968)?
The market capitalisation of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. is 3.6B CNY (≈ $538M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. is 2.49 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. are ¥−0.2300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968)?
The dividend yield of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. is 0.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968)?
The net margin of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. is −6.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. is −5.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968)?
The operating margin of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. is −14.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968)?
Revenue at Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. is growing +19.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. are growing +16.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968) generate?
The free cash flow of Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. is −79.4M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. (300968) hold?
Guangdong Green Precision Components Co. Ltd. holds more cash than debt, 857M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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