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Data-driven stock valuation

TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. stock ¥7.27, price ¥13.70, that is 47.0% below the price, quality 37 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials CN · ISIN CNE100004KZ3

TJ TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. logo Some data Nov 6, 2026

TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc.

300988 · SHE
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 47% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Revenue last quarter +23% vs. a year ago.
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +14.4 %/yr in CNY)
Thin margins · 4.6% net margin (TTM)
1.0% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Some data
Fair value ¥7.27 · Strongly overvalued (−47.0%)
Quality 37/100
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 36/100
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
Watch TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥21.89 ¥7.63 Fair Value ¥7.27 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.63 – ¥21.89 · fair‑value band ¥5.08 – ¥9.44 · the ¥13.70 price screens above the ¥7.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of precision metal molds and related parts in China and internationally.

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The company provides electrical products, such as low-voltage power distribution, industrial automation, medium-voltage power distribution, and energy equipment precision parts; automotive products, including shock absorption parts, safety parts, air conditioning and seat parts, lightweight parts, etc.; and home, industrial, and commercial energy storage products.

It serves electrical, automotive, and energy storage sectors. TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. was founded in 2004 and is based in Tianjin, China.

Stock analysis

TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988) currently trades at ¥13.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.27, 47% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥13.64 per share, and 4 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥13.70 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.12, and 12 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥5.08 (bear) to ¥9.44 (bull), the price of ¥13.70 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. reported revenue of 1.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +9.6%/yr. Reported net income was 91.3M CNY in FY2025, compounding +5.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 2.7B CNY (≈ $404M) Small · P/E ratio 27.4 · P/S ratio 1.25 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.5000 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 4.6% · Return on equity 7.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.8% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 36 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −47%, 300988 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥5.08 Fair Value ¥7.27 Bull ¥9.44
Price ¥13.70 · Downside -47.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.3077 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ¥5.04 ¥5.22 ¥5.68 76
EPV ¥7.60 ¥8.62 ¥9.47 74
ROIC Compounder ¥8.01 ¥10.13 ¥12.87 72
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.15 ¥14.10 ¥19.32 64
Lynch FV ¥3.67 ¥5.24 ¥6.81 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.67 ¥5.24 ¥6.81 57
EPV ¥7.60 ¥8.62 ¥9.47 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.52 ¥2.80 ¥3.93 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.52 ¥2.53 ¥2.99 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.30 ¥9.74 ¥12.17 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.91 ¥7.88 ¥9.85 58
P/B Multiple ¥20.26 ¥27.02 ¥33.77 55
EV/EBIT ¥11.37 ¥15.65 ¥19.94 66
EV/EBITDA ¥11.99 ¥16.48 ¥20.97 67
EV/Revenue ¥7.69 ¥11.62 ¥15.55 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.7400 ¥1.12 ¥1.41 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.04 ¥5.22 ¥5.68 76
ROIC Compounder ¥8.01 ¥10.13 ¥12.87 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥5.98 ¥8.55 ¥11.11 67

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 38
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 23
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 75
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 40
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 65
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 28
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 11
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.1% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−4.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5.3% vs 0.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 10%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

300988 screens overvalued: fair value 47% below the price. Compare with ATI Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 259 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −47.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 7.6% · Above median
Return on assets 3.9% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 4.6% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 7.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 22.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.11× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 27.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.10× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 1.25× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 11.2× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 69
PAST (return on equity)30 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)20 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300988

Frequently asked questions

Is TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.27 versus a price of ¥13.70, about 47% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300988?
Our model-based fair value for TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. is ¥7.27 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.70.
What is the quality score of 300988?
TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥7.27 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.08, optimistic scenario ¥9.44. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥7.27, about 47% lower versus a price of ¥13.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥5.08, optimistic scenario ¥9.44. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988)?
TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. pay a dividend?
TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of 1.02% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988) and when is the ex-dividend date?
TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. pays a dividend of ¥0.14 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.0%. The last ex-dividend date was May 29, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2021. The payout ratio is 28.0% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. it is ¥7.27 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of ¥13.70. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, 300988 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥13.70, fair value ¥7.27, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300988?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥7.27). For TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. the two are ¥6.43 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. worth?
The market values TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. at about 2.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.70; our models calculate a fair value of ¥7.27 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300988?
Our models span a range for TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc.: cautious scenario ¥5.08, base ¥7.27, optimistic ¥9.44 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price ¥13.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300988?
TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.4 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥7.27 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 11.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988)?
Balance-sheet figures for TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 7.6%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300988 from its 52-week high?
TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. trades at ¥13.70, about 37% below its 52-week high of ¥21.60 and 4% above the low of ¥13.22 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥7.27 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ATI Inc, Carpenter Technology Corporation, Mueller Industries, Inc, Bharat Forge Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price ¥13.70, calculated fair value ¥7.27 (−47%), Quality Score 37/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300988 calculated?
We run TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥7.27 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥13.70. Our model-based fair value is ¥7.27, about 47% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (¥5.08 to ¥9.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988) come from?
Earnings per share at TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. grew +3.3 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.3 %, EBIT margin +0.8 %, tax rate +0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988)?
The market capitalisation of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. is 2.7B CNY (≈ $404M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. is 1.25 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988)?
Earnings per share at TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. are ¥0.5000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988)?
The dividend yield of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. is 1.0% (payout 28.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988)?
The net margin of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. is 4.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. is 7.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. is 5.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988)?
The operating margin of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. is 7.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988)?
Revenue at TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. is growing +22.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988)?
Earnings per share at TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. are growing +8.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988) generate?
The free cash flow of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. is −40.5M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988) carry?
The net debt of TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. is 293M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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