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Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd stock ¥11.49, price ¥12.54, that is 8.4% below the price, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Real Estate CN · ISIN CNE100002BF8

SH Seazen Holdings Co Ltd logo Broad data Nov 3, 2026

Seazen Holdings Co Ltd

601155 · SHG
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Generates free cash flow
Broad data
Fair value ¥11.49 · Fairly valued (−8.4%)
Quality 49/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +0.7 %/yr in CNY)
Thin margins · 1.3% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt
Revenue last quarter 17% below a year ago.
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 28/100 · thin data
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥46.44 ¥8.05 Fair Value ¥11.49 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.05 – ¥46.44 · fair‑value band ¥6.02 – ¥18.48 · the ¥12.54 price screens above the ¥11.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Seazen Holdings Co., Ltd engages in the real estate business in China. The company is involved in the operation and management of commercial complexes; development and sales of real estate; and hotel and eldercare businesses. It also provides agency construction services.

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The company was formerly known as Future Land Holdings Co., Ltd. Seazen Holdings Co., Ltd was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China. Seazen Holdings Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Fuyu Development Group Limited.

Stock analysis

Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155) currently trades at ¥12.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.49, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.1%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥18.03 per share, and 6 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥12.54 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ¥6.15, and 10 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ¥6.02 (bear) to ¥18.48 (bull), the price of ¥12.54 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.

Seazen Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of 53.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 168B CNY in FY2021, a compound −25.1%/yr. Reported net income was 680M CNY in FY2025, compounding −51.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 28.4B CNY (≈ $4.3B) Mid · P/E ratio 46.4 · P/S ratio 0.79 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2700 · Dividend yield 11.3% · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity 0.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.6% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 33% fair-value upside, at −8%, 601155 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥6.02 Fair Value ¥11.49 Bull ¥18.48
Price ¥12.54 · Downside -8.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2308 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF n/a ¥2.74 ¥6.65 76
Residual Income ¥15.19 ¥16.06 ¥17.38 76
Growth DCF n/a ¥2.56 ¥5.92 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF n/a ¥2.74 ¥6.65 76
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.54 ¥9.66 ¥18.48 66
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.90 ¥15.65 ¥26.59 71
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.7200 ¥6.31 ¥13.28 59
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.95 ¥9.90 ¥18.53 63
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥7.40 ¥11.49 ¥15.40 68
DDM Multi-Stage ¥7.40 ¥10.26 ¥12.88 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple ¥3.84 ¥5.13 ¥6.41 57
P/B Multiple ¥40.37 ¥53.83 ¥67.28 55
EV/EBIT ¥11.30 ¥21.13 ¥30.95 62
EV/EBITDA ¥6.02 ¥14.08 ¥22.14 62
EV/Revenue n/a ¥5.05 ¥12.02 49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥13.46 ¥18.03 ¥26.91 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF n/a ¥2.56 ¥5.92 74
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.54 ¥9.74 ¥17.47 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥15.19 ¥16.06 ¥17.38 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 14
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 55
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 29
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 81
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 30
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 34
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 23
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 100
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−26.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−38.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)11.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−32.5% vs −0.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2011 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 3%
2025 sits 181% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+33.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−20.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +31.1% a year for the price and −22.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−28.9%
Forecast 2027 (sales)−23.4%
Projected 2028 (sales)−20.2%
Projected 2029 (sales)−17.0%
Projected 2030 (sales)−13.9%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 489 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Above median
Fair Value upside −8.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 0.5% · Below median
Return on assets 0.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 1.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 17.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −16.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 11.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.62× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 46.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.46× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.79× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 33.1× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 12.5× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)22 · sector 67
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)2 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)69 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 61

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Seazen Holdings Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Seazen Holdings Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601155

Frequently asked questions

Is Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.49 versus a price of ¥12.54, about 8% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 601155?
Our model-based fair value for Seazen Holdings Co Ltd is ¥11.49 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥12.54.
What is the quality score of 601155?
Seazen Holdings Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥11.49 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥6.02, optimistic scenario ¥18.48. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Seazen Holdings Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥11.49, about 8% lower versus a price of ¥12.54 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥6.02, optimistic scenario ¥18.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155)?
Seazen Holdings Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 48.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does Seazen Holdings Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Seazen Holdings Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 11.31% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155)?
Seazen Holdings Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 11.3%.
What growth is priced into Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Seazen Holdings Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +33.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -18.3 % per year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 601155 use?
Our models discount Seazen Holdings Co Ltd at 11.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.49, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Seazen Holdings Co Ltd that is +33.3 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Seazen Holdings Co Ltd grew -18.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +33.3 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (+33.3 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.07 %: that much free cash flow Seazen Holdings Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Seazen Holdings Co Ltd it is ¥11.49 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of ¥12.54. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Seazen Holdings Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, 601155 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥12.54, fair value ¥11.49, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 601155?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥12.54); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥11.49). For Seazen Holdings Co Ltd the two are ¥1.05 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Seazen Holdings Co Ltd worth?
The market values Seazen Holdings Co Ltd at about 28.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is ¥12.54; our models calculate a fair value of ¥11.49 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 601155?
Our models span a range for Seazen Holdings Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥6.02, base ¥11.49, optimistic ¥18.48 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price ¥12.54). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 601155?
Seazen Holdings Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 46.4 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥11.49 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 12.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155)?
Balance-sheet figures for Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 0.5%, debt of 0.62 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 601155 from its 52-week high?
Seazen Holdings Co Ltd trades at ¥12.54, about 31% below its 52-week high of ¥18.08 and 24% above the low of ¥10.14 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥11.49 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Seazen Holdings Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Seazen Holdings Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price ¥12.54, calculated fair value ¥11.49 (−8%), Quality Score 49/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 601155 calculated?
We run Seazen Holdings Co Ltd through 16 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥11.49 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Seazen Holdings Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥12.54. Our model-based fair value is ¥11.49, about 8% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Seazen Holdings Co Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (¥6.02 to ¥18.48). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155)?
The market capitalisation of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd is 28.4B CNY (≈ $4.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd is 0.79 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155)?
Earnings per share at Seazen Holdings Co Ltd are ¥0.2700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 46.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155)?
The dividend yield of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd is 11.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155)?
The net margin of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd is 1.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd is 0.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd is 1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155)?
The operating margin of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd is 17.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155)?
Revenue at Seazen Holdings Co Ltd is growing −16.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155)?
Earnings per share at Seazen Holdings Co Ltd are growing −13.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Seazen Holdings Co Ltd (601155) carry?
The net debt of Seazen Holdings Co Ltd is 55.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 47.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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