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China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China Nuclear Engineering Co stock ¥9.19, price ¥9.41, that is 2.3% below the price, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 17 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials CN · ISIN CNE100002896

CN China Nuclear Engineering Co logo Some data Nov 2, 2026

China Nuclear Engineering Co

601611 · SHG
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Fair value ¥9.19 · Fairly valued (−2.3%)
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +12.2 %/yr in CNY)
Thin margins · 1.2% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt
0.5% dividend yield · Token dividend
Some data
Revenue last quarter 12% below a year ago.
Quality 38/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/13)
Narrow moat 24/100 · thin data
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥19.94 ¥6.14 Fair Value ¥9.19 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.14 – ¥19.94 · fair‑value band ¥5.13 – ¥11.49 · the ¥9.41 price screens above the ¥9.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 2, 2026.

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Company profile

China Nuclear Engineering Corporation Limited engages in the nuclear power, industrial, and civil engineering businesses in China and internationally.

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It is involved in the construction of nuclear power plants, high temperature reactors, heavy water reactors, experimental fast reactors, advanced research reactors, etc.; system engineering construction projects in the fields of nuclear industry, aerospace, aviation, shipbuilding, etc.; and industrial and civil engineering construction services, which covers housing construction, municipal administration, highways, bridges, tunnels, environmental protection, urban rail, petrochemical, water conservancy and hydropower construction, etc.

The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China. China Nuclear Engineering Corporation Limited operates as a subsidiary of China National Nuclear Corporation.

Stock analysis

China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611) currently trades at ¥9.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.19, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 2.4%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥10.88 per share, and 5 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥9.41 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.24, and 12 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥5.13 (bear) to ¥11.49 (bull), the price of ¥9.41 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

China Nuclear Engineering Co reported revenue of 102B CNY in FY2025 versus 83.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3B CNY in FY2025, compounding −3.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 28.4B CNY (≈ $4.3B) Mid · P/E ratio 33.6 · P/S ratio 0.54 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2800 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 1.2% · Return on equity 4.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.7% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 24 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −2%, 601611 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥5.13 Fair Value ¥9.19 Bull ¥11.49
Price ¥9.41 · Downside -2.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1966 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ¥8.24 ¥8.27 ¥8.56 76
EPV ¥7.27 ¥9.03 ¥10.55 73
Owner Earnings ¥5.13 ¥10.88 ¥20.15 71
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥5.13 ¥10.88 ¥20.15 71
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.98 ¥11.62 ¥15.77 64
Lynch FV ¥2.86 ¥4.08 ¥5.31 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.86 ¥4.08 ¥5.31 57
EPV ¥7.27 ¥9.03 ¥10.55 73
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥5.26 ¥10.76 ¥16.77 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥5.26 ¥9.16 ¥11.32 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥6.89 ¥9.19 ¥11.49 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.58 ¥7.44 ¥9.30 57
P/B Multiple ¥6.26 ¥8.34 ¥10.43 55
EV/EBIT ¥8.65 ¥14.06 ¥19.47 63
EV/EBITDA ¥13.00 ¥19.86 ¥26.72 66
EV/Revenue ¥4.00 ¥8.97 ¥13.93 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.9300 ¥1.24 ¥1.85 53
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.24 ¥8.27 ¥8.56 76
ROIC Compounder ¥7.27 ¥9.03 ¥10.55 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥5.11 ¥7.30 ¥9.49 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 20
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 6
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 12
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 73
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 58
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 13
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 5
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 100
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 54/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.2%
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+1.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.0.8% vs 2.9%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 7%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 791 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −2.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 4.6% · Below median
Return on assets 1.0% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 2.1% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 3.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −12.4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.07× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 33.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.85× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.54× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 10.1× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)30 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)18 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)46 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)11 · sector 43

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vinci SA DG €111.60 €186.68 +67% vs 601611
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,018 $1,119 +10% vs 601611
EMCOR Group EME $608.45 $524.14 −14% vs 601611
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €87.00 €62.21 −28% vs 601611
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 273,500 KRW 159,702 KRW −42% vs 601611
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,118 ₹2,302 −44% vs 601611
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €365.60 €203.86 −44% vs 601611
APi Group APG $40.87 $19.20 −53% vs 601611
Ferrovial N.V FER $58.71 $23.06 −61% vs 601611
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $540.90 $162.41 −70% vs 601611

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China Nuclear Engineering Co: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Nuclear Engineering Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601611

Frequently asked questions

Is China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥9.19 versus a price of ¥9.41, about 2% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 601611?
Our model-based fair value for China Nuclear Engineering Co is ¥9.19 (as of Nov 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥9.41.
What is the quality score of 601611?
China Nuclear Engineering Co has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥9.19 (as of Nov 2, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.13, optimistic scenario ¥11.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Nuclear Engineering Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥9.19, about 2% lower versus a price of ¥9.41 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥5.13, optimistic scenario ¥11.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611)?
China Nuclear Engineering Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 92.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 2, 2026).
Does China Nuclear Engineering Co pay a dividend?
China Nuclear Engineering Co currently shows a dividend yield of 0.53% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 2, 2026).
How much is the dividend of China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611) and when is the ex-dividend date?
China Nuclear Engineering Co pays a dividend of ¥0.05 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.5%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 2, 2026. The payout ratio is 17.9% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.5% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.5% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Nuclear Engineering Co it is ¥9.19 per share (as of Nov 2, 2026), against a price of ¥9.41. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is China Nuclear Engineering Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 2, 2026, 601611 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥9.41, fair value ¥9.19, a gap of about −2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 601611?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥9.41); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥9.19). For China Nuclear Engineering Co the two are ¥0.2200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Nuclear Engineering Co worth?
The market values China Nuclear Engineering Co at about 28.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 2, 2026). Per share that is ¥9.41; our models calculate a fair value of ¥9.19 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 601611?
Our models span a range for China Nuclear Engineering Co: cautious scenario ¥5.13, base ¥9.19, optimistic ¥11.49 per share (as of Nov 2, 2026, price ¥9.41). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 601611?
China Nuclear Engineering Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.6 (as of Nov 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥9.19 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 18.7. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 10.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Nuclear Engineering Co (as of Nov 2, 2026): return on equity 4.6%, debt of 1.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 601611 from its 52-week high?
China Nuclear Engineering Co trades at ¥9.41, about 53% below its 52-week high of ¥19.94 and 4% above the low of ¥9.07 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥9.19 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Nuclear Engineering Co?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Larsen & Toubro Limited, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Nuclear Engineering Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 2, 2026: price ¥9.41, calculated fair value ¥9.19 (−2%), Quality Score 38/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 601611 calculated?
We run China Nuclear Engineering Co through 17 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥9.19 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. China Nuclear Engineering Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥9.41. Our model-based fair value is ¥9.19, about 2% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Nuclear Engineering Co right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (¥5.13 to ¥11.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611) come from?
Earnings per share at China Nuclear Engineering Co grew +6.2 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.1 %, EBIT margin +2.6 %, tax rate +2.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of China Nuclear Engineering Co

How large is the market capitalisation of China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611)?
The market capitalisation of China Nuclear Engineering Co is 28.4B CNY (≈ $4.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Nuclear Engineering Co is 0.54 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611)?
Earnings per share at China Nuclear Engineering Co are ¥0.2800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611)?
The dividend yield of China Nuclear Engineering Co is 0.5% (payout 17.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611)?
The net margin of China Nuclear Engineering Co is 1.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Nuclear Engineering Co is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Nuclear Engineering Co is 1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611)?
The operating margin of China Nuclear Engineering Co is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611)?
Revenue at China Nuclear Engineering Co is growing −12.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611)?
Earnings per share at China Nuclear Engineering Co are growing −37.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611) generate?
The free cash flow of China Nuclear Engineering Co is −1.8B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Nuclear Engineering Co (601611) carry?
The net debt of China Nuclear Engineering Co is 40.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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