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Data-driven stock valuation

Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. (9539) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. stock SAR 0.49, price SAR 2.43, that is 79.7% below the price, quality 27 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Energy SA · ISIN SA15IGO4L1H9

AF Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co.

9539 · SR
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 80% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter +33% vs. a year ago.
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +14.1 %/yr in SAR)
Moderate debt
Fair value 0.4930 SAR · Strongly overvalued
Quality 27/100
Loss-making · -3.4% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 15/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

12.00 SAR 2.31 SAR Fair Value 0.4930 SAR May 2022 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

53‑month range 2.31 SAR – 12.00 SAR · fair‑value band 0.1530 SAR – 1.04 SAR · the 2.43 SAR price screens above the 0.4930 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. produces and sells oils and lubricants in Saudi Arabia and internationally.

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It offers lubricating oils for equipment and engines, hydraulic oils, automatic gear oils, greases, brake oils, and packaging, disinfectants, sterilizers, chemical solutions, battery acid, transmission oils, citric acids, asphalt sealants, cutting oils, medical detergents, as well as petrol and diesel engine oils.

The company also offers its products online. Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. was founded in 1997 and is based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Stock analysis

Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. (9539) currently trades at 2.43 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.4930 SAR, 80% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 0.4900 SAR per share, and 0 of the 5 models we run sit above the 2.43 SAR price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 0.2350 SAR, and 5 of the 5 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.1530 SAR (bear) to 1.04 SAR (bull), the price of 2.43 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. reported revenue of 136M SAR in FY2025 versus 98.7M SAR in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was −2.2M SAR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 59.6M SAR (≈ $15.9M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.39 · EPS (TTM) −0.2100 SAR · Net margin −3.4% · Return on equity −10.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin 4.8% · Revenue (TTM) 155M SAR.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 15 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −80%, 9539 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.1530 SAR Fair Value 0.4930 SAR Bull 1.04 SAR
Price 2.43 SAR · Downside -79.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV 0.0900 SAR 0.2900 SAR 0.4600 SAR 68
ROIC Compounder 0.0900 SAR 0.2900 SAR 0.4600 SAR 67
EV/EBITDA n/a 0.1900 SAR >0.7600 SAR 62
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV 0.0900 SAR 0.2900 SAR 0.4600 SAR 68
Multiples
EV/EBIT n/a n/a 0.1800 SAR 61
EV/EBITDA n/a 0.1900 SAR >0.7600 SAR 62
EV/Revenue n/a 0.2800 SAR 1.01 SAR 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.3200 SAR 0.4900 SAR 0.6100 SAR 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 0.0900 SAR 0.2900 SAR 0.4600 SAR 67

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 23
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 18
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 50
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 32
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 64
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 61
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 10
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 2
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.5% (2020) → 3.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

9539 screens overvalued: fair value 80% below the price. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 115 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −79.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −3.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 4.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 33.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.00× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.19× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.39× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 48
HEALTH (low debt)50 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 65

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Indian Oil Corporation IOC ₹146.25 ₹245.43 +68% vs 9539
Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL ₹319.90 ₹434.58 +36% vs 9539
SK Innovation Co 096770 109,400 KRW 134,361 KRW +23% vs 9539
Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE ₹1,320 ₹865.31 −34% vs 9539
HF Sinclair Corporation DINO $97.18 $52.92 −46% vs 9539
Neste Oyj NESTE €27.45 €11.70 −57% vs 9539
Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 88.40 TWD 35.53 TWD −60% vs 9539
Valero Energy Corporation VLO $346.45 $131.30 −62% vs 9539
Phillips 66 PSX $245.72 $86.38 −65% vs 9539
Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC $372.74 $113.66 −70% vs 9539

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Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9539

Frequently asked questions

Is Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. (9539) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.4930 SAR versus a price of 2.43 SAR, about 80% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9539?
Our model-based fair value for Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. is 0.4930 SAR (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.43 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9539?
Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. (9539)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.4930 SAR (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.1530 SAR, optimistic scenario 1.04 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.4930 SAR, about 80% lower versus a price of 2.43 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.1530 SAR, optimistic scenario 1.04 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. (9539)?
Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 155M SAR (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. (9539)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. it is 0.4930 SAR per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 2.43 SAR. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, 9539 trades above its calculated fair value: price 2.43 SAR, fair value 0.4930 SAR, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9539?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.43 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.4930 SAR). For Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. the two are 1.94 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. worth?
The market values Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. at about 59.6M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 2.43 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.4930 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9539?
Our models span a range for Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co.: cautious scenario 0.1530 SAR, base 0.4930 SAR, optimistic 1.04 SAR per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 2.43 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. (9539)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −10.1%, debt of 1.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9539 from its 52-week high?
Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. trades at 2.43 SAR, about 60% below its 52-week high of 6.00 SAR and 5% above the low of 2.31 SAR (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.4930 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co.?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Reliance Industries Limited, Valero Energy Corporation, Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 2.43 SAR, calculated fair value 0.4930 SAR (−80%), Quality Score 27/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9539 calculated?
We run Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. through 6 models from 4 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 0.4930 SAR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. (9539)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was 2.43 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 0.4930 SAR, about 80% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.04 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (0.1530 SAR to 1.04 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co.

How large is the market capitalisation of Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. (9539)?
The market capitalisation of Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. is 59.6M SAR (≈ $15.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. (9539)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. is 0.39 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. (9539)?
Earnings per share at Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. are −0.2100 SAR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. (9539)?
The net margin of Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. is −3.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. (9539)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. is −10.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. (9539)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. is 7.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. (9539)?
The operating margin of Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. (9539)?
Revenue at Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. is growing +33.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. (9539)?
Earnings per share at Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. are growing −60.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. (9539) generate?
The free cash flow of Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. is −16.6M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. (9539) carry?
The net debt of Aqaseem Factory for Chemicals and Plastics Co. is 54.3M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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