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Alchemy Resources Ltd (ALY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Alchemy Resources Ltd stock A$0.01, price A$0.01, that is 2.4% below the price, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU000000ALY0

AR Alchemy Resources Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Alchemy Resources Ltd

ALY · AU
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Low debt
Ranks above peers (5/8)
Revenue last quarter +26% vs. a year ago.
Fair value A$0.0068 · Fairly valued
Quality 49/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +85.4 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate⚠ Thinly traded
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.0490 A$0.0050 Fair Value A$0.0068 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0050 – A$0.0490 · fair‑value band A$0.0068 – A$0.0069 · the A$0.0070 price screens above the A$0.0068 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Alchemy Resources Limited engages in the discovery, exploration, and development of mineral properties in Australia. The company explores for gold, nickel, cobalt, copper, silver, lead, lithium, iron ore, and alumina, as well as base metals deposits.

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Alchemy Resources Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is based in West Leederville, Australia.

Stock analysis

Alchemy Resources Ltd (ALY) currently trades at A$0.0070, while our estimate is A$0.0068, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 2.5%).

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.0068 (bear) to A$0.0069 (bull), the price of A$0.0070 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Alchemy Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$107K in FY2025 versus A$21.9K in FY2021, a compound +48.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.8M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$8.3M (≈ $5.7M) Micro · P/S ratio 72.3 · Return on equity −37.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin −540% · Revenue (TTM) A$115K · Revenue growth (YoY) +25.5% · Free cash flow −A$489K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −2%, ALY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.0068 Fair Value A$0.0068 Bull A$0.0069
Price A$0.0070 · Downside -2.4%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 25
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 83
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 30
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 17
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 66
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+85.4%
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−22,923.5% (2020) → −450.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Alchemy Resources Ltd with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 286 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/7 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Above median
Fair Value upside −2.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −43.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 25.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.99× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 72.32× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)30 · sector 5
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 80
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 24

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $190.46 $220.88 +16% vs ALY
Newmont Corporation NEM $119.96 $137.68 +15% vs ALY
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $274.57 $259.27 −6% vs ALY
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $93.85 $88.58 −6% vs ALY
Shandong Gold Mining Co 600547 ¥27.00 ¥23.61 −13% vs ALY
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $21.53 $18.00 −16% vs ALY
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $255.79 $212.28 −17% vs ALY
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $136.62 $87.64 −36% vs ALY
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$26.73 A$16.87 −37% vs ALY
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥28.18 ¥15.62 −45% vs ALY

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Alchemy Resources Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alchemy Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALY

Frequently asked questions

Is Alchemy Resources Ltd (ALY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.0068 versus a price of A$0.0070, about 2% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ALY?
Our estimate for Alchemy Resources Ltd is A$0.0068 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0070.
What is the quality score of ALY?
Alchemy Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alchemy Resources Ltd (ALY)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.0068 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.0068, optimistic scenario A$0.0069. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Alchemy Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.0068, about 2% lower versus a price of A$0.0070 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.0068, optimistic scenario A$0.0069. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alchemy Resources Ltd (ALY)?
Alchemy Resources Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$115K (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Alchemy Resources Ltd (ALY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alchemy Resources Ltd it is A$0.0068 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.0070.
Is Alchemy Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, ALY trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0070, fair value A$0.0068, a gap of about −2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0070); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0068). For Alchemy Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0002 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alchemy Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Alchemy Resources Ltd at about A$8.3M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0070; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0068 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALY?
Our models span a range for Alchemy Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0068, base A$0.0068, optimistic A$0.0069 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.0070). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alchemy Resources Ltd (ALY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alchemy Resources Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −37.6%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALY from its 52-week high?
Alchemy Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0070, about 46% below its 52-week high of A$0.0130 and 17% above the low of A$0.0060 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0068 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alchemy Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alchemy Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.0070, calculated fair value A$0.0068 (−2%), Quality Score 49/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Alchemy Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alchemy Resources Ltd (ALY)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was A$0.0070. Our estimate is A$0.0068, about 2% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alchemy Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0068 to A$0.0069), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Alchemy Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Alchemy Resources Ltd (ALY)?
The market capitalisation of Alchemy Resources Ltd is A$8.3M (≈ $5.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alchemy Resources Ltd (ALY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alchemy Resources Ltd is 72.3 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the return on equity of Alchemy Resources Ltd (ALY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alchemy Resources Ltd is −37.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alchemy Resources Ltd (ALY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alchemy Resources Ltd is −5.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alchemy Resources Ltd (ALY)?
The operating margin of Alchemy Resources Ltd is −540% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alchemy Resources Ltd (ALY)?
Revenue at Alchemy Resources Ltd is growing +25.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +85.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Alchemy Resources Ltd (ALY) generate?
The free cash flow of Alchemy Resources Ltd is −A$489K (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Alchemy Resources Ltd (ALY) hold?
Alchemy Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$790K net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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