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Ameresco Inc (AMRC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ameresco Inc stock $14.86, price $21.61, that is 31.2% below the price, quality 29 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 12 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials US

AI Ameresco Inc logo Some data Nov 8, 2026

Ameresco Inc

AMRC · US
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 31% below what the stock costs today.

Positive coverage
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +13.4 %/yr in USD)
Thin margins · 1.4% net margin (TTM)
Insiders bought $1.9M (6M) · sold $876,272
Some data
Fair value $14.86 · Overvalued (−31.2%)
Quality 29/100
High debt
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 28/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$97.50 $8.66 Fair Value $14.86 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.66 – $97.50 · fair‑value band $12.10 – $19.31 · the $21.61 price screens above the $14.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Ameresco, Inc. engages in the provision of energy solutions in the United States, Canada, and Europe. The company operates through North America Regions, U.S. Federal, Renewable Fuels, Europe, and All Other segments.

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It offers energy efficiency, infrastructure upgrades, energy security and resilience, asset sustainability, and renewable energy solutions for businesses and organizations.

The company also designs, develops, engineers, and installs projects that reduce the energy, as well as operations and maintenance (O&M) costs of its customers' facilities; and projects primarily include various measures customized for the facility and designed to enhance the efficiency of building systems, such as heating, ventilation, cooling, and lighting systems.

In addition, it offers renewable energy solutions and services, such as the development and construction of small-scale plants that the company owns or develops for customers that produce electricity, gas, heat, or cooling from renewable sources of energy and O&M services; and sells electricity, processed renewable gas fuel, and heat or cooling produced from renewable sources of energy.

Further, the company provides photovoltaic (PV) solar energy products and systems, as well as provides consulting, and enterprise energy management services.

It serves the federal, state and local governments, utilities, data centers, educational and healthcare institutions, housing authorities, and commercial and industrial customers. Ameresco, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Framingham, Massachusetts.

Stock analysis

Ameresco Inc (AMRC) currently trades at $21.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.86, 31% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $16.73 per share, and 2 of the 11 models we run sit above the $21.61 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $8.95, and 9 of the 11 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $12.10 (bear) to $19.31 (bull), the price of $21.61 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Ameresco Inc reported revenue of $1.9B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was $44.3M in FY2025, compounding −11.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $1.2B Small · P/E ratio 35.2 · P/S ratio 0.48 · EPS (TTM) $0.5200 · Net margin 1.4% · Return on equity 4.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 8.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −31%, AMRC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $12.10 Fair Value $14.86 Bull $19.31
Price $21.61 · Downside -31.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4445 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income $12.10 $12.19 $12.97 69
Growth-Adj P/E $10.40 $14.86 $19.31 66
Graham-Dodd $5.59 $24.34 $33.29 61
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.59 $24.34 $33.29 61
Lynch FV $6.26 $8.95 $11.63 58
PEG = 1.0 $6.26 $8.95 $11.63 55
Multiples
P/E Multiple $12.96 $17.27 $21.59 61
P/S Multiple $10.49 $13.98 $17.48 55
P/B Multiple $27.25 $36.34 $45.42 53
EV/EBIT n/a $4.52 $12.45 58
EV/EBITDA $5.75 $16.73 $27.71 60
EV/Revenue n/a n/a $4.33 48
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.32 $12.49 $18.64 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income $12.10 $12.19 $12.97 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $10.40 $14.86 $19.31 66

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 21
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 1
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 11
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 27
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 12
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 9
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 75
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 4 officers or directors bought shares worth $1.9M, most recently on Aug 28, 2026. Over the same period, 5 people sold shares worth $876,272. Buying cluster

  • SaleLouis P MaltezosCo-President2× since Mar 12, 2026: 898 shares, avg. $23.43$21,041Sep 15, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleMark ChiplockEVP, CFO & CAO2× since Mar 12, 2026: 749 shares, avg. $23.50$17,601Sep 15, 202610b5-1 plan
  • BuyGeorge P SakellarisChief Executive Officer, Director, 10% owner4× since Aug 7, 2026: 25,000 shares, avg. $23.00$574,887Aug 28, 2026
  • BuyJoseph W. SuttonDirector9,700 shares at $20.87$202,439Aug 24, 2026
  • BuyJennifer L MillerDirector2,000 shares at $20.96$41,920Aug 24, 2026
  • BuyBrian C CoxDirector2× since Aug 10, 2026: 44,325 shares, avg. $24.71$1.1MAug 21, 2026
  • SaleFrancis Wisneski V JrDirector2× since May 19, 2026: 15,000 shares, avg. $32.23$483,500May 29, 2026
  • SaleJennifer L MillerDirector10,000 shares at $32.27$322,715May 18, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleNickolas StavropoulosDirector4× since Jan 28, 2026: 18,000 shares, avg. $34.13$614,367May 15, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleDavid J CorrsinEVP and General Counsel, Director2× since Mar 10, 2026: 69 shares, avg. $26.06$1,798Mar 12, 202610b5-1 plan

Plus 15 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.8% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−0.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: −5.5% / 14.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 7%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

AMRC screens overvalued: fair value 31% below the price. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (96 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 791 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −31.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 4.3% · Below median
Return on assets 1.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 1.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 8.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 9.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.62× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 35.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.08× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.74× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 14.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.03× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)46 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)17 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)19 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 43

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vinci SA DG €111.60 €186.68 +67% vs AMRC
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,018 $1,119 +10% vs AMRC
EMCOR Group EME $608.45 $524.14 −14% vs AMRC
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €87.00 €62.21 −28% vs AMRC
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 273,500 KRW 159,702 KRW −42% vs AMRC
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,118 ₹2,302 −44% vs AMRC
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €365.60 €203.86 −44% vs AMRC
APi Group APG $40.87 $19.20 −53% vs AMRC
Ferrovial N.V FER $58.71 $23.06 −61% vs AMRC
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $540.90 $162.41 −70% vs AMRC

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Ameresco Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ameresco Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AMRC

Frequently asked questions

Is Ameresco Inc (AMRC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.86 versus a price of $21.61, about 31% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AMRC?
Our model-based fair value for Ameresco Inc is $14.86 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $21.61.
What is the quality score of AMRC?
Ameresco Inc has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ameresco Inc (AMRC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $14.86 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $12.10, optimistic scenario $19.31. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ameresco Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $14.86, about 31% lower versus a price of $21.61 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $12.10, optimistic scenario $19.31. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ameresco Inc (AMRC)?
Ameresco Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.0B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ameresco Inc (AMRC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ameresco Inc it is $14.86 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $21.61. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Ameresco Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, AMRC trades above its calculated fair value: price $21.61, fair value $14.86, a gap of about −31% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AMRC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($21.61); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($14.86). For Ameresco Inc the two are $6.75 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ameresco Inc worth?
The market values Ameresco Inc at about $1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $21.61; our models calculate a fair value of $14.86 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AMRC?
Our models span a range for Ameresco Inc: cautious scenario $12.10, base $14.86, optimistic $19.31 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $21.61). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AMRC?
Ameresco Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 35.2 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $14.86 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 18.3 (reported for FY2025: 26.0). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 8 of the years ex one-offs: 29.2. Other multiples: PEG 1.0, P/B 1.1, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 14.3.
What is the PEG ratio of AMRC?
The PEG ratio of Ameresco Inc is 1.03 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ameresco Inc (AMRC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ameresco Inc (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 4.3%, debt of 1.62 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AMRC from its 52-week high?
Ameresco Inc trades at $21.61, about 41% below its 52-week high of $36.60 and 18% above the low of $18.32 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $14.86 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ameresco Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Larsen & Toubro Limited, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ameresco Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $21.61, calculated fair value $14.86 (−31%), Quality Score 29/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AMRC calculated?
We run Ameresco Inc through 12 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $14.86 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Ameresco Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ameresco Inc (AMRC)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $21.61. Our model-based fair value is $14.86, about 31% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ameresco Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($19.31). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Key figures of Ameresco Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Ameresco Inc (AMRC)?
The market capitalisation of Ameresco Inc is $1.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ameresco Inc (AMRC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ameresco Inc is 0.48 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ameresco Inc (AMRC)?
Earnings per share at Ameresco Inc are $0.5200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 35.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ameresco Inc (AMRC)?
The net margin of Ameresco Inc is 1.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ameresco Inc (AMRC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ameresco Inc is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ameresco Inc (AMRC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ameresco Inc is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ameresco Inc (AMRC)?
The operating margin of Ameresco Inc is 8.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ameresco Inc (AMRC)?
Revenue at Ameresco Inc is growing +9.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ameresco Inc (AMRC)?
Earnings per share at Ameresco Inc are growing −25.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ameresco Inc (AMRC) generate?
The free cash flow of Ameresco Inc is −$436M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ameresco Inc (AMRC) carry?
The net debt of Ameresco Inc is $1.9B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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