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Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp stock $3.99, price $5.52, that is 27.7% below the price, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

14 models, one by oneBear $3.17 to bull $4.99 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 43/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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Utilities US · Home Canada · ISIN CA0158571053

Some data Nov 8, 2026

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp

AQN · US

Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 28% below what the stock costs today.

Positive coverage

Profit last quarter +56% vs. a year ago.

Quality 43/100

Thin margins · 6.5% net margin (TTM)

Moderate debt

Mixed vs. peers (6/13)

Moderate moat 47/100 · thin data

Some data

Fair value $3.99 · Overvalued (−27.7%)

Weak Growth (revenue 3y −4.2 %/yr in USD)

Negative free cash flow

4.7% dividend yield · Pays more than it earns

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.87 – $12.18 · fair‑value band $3.17 – $4.99 · the $5.52 price screens above the $3.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. operates in the power and utility industries. It owns and operates a portfolio of regulated electric, water distribution and wastewater collection, and natural gas utility systems and transmission operations.

Show moreShow less

As of December 31, 2025, it operated a portfolio of regulated utility systems in the United States, Canada, Bermuda, and Chile, serving approximately 1,272,000 customer connections.

Its regulated electrical distribution utility systems and related transmission and generation assets are located in the states of Arkansas, California, Kansas, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, and Oklahoma, as well as in Bermuda with approximately 311,000 electric customer connections.

Its regulated water distribution and wastewater utility systems are located in the states of Arizona, Arkansas, California, Illinois, Missouri, New York, and Texas, as well as in Chile with approximately 583,000 customer connections.

It's regulated natural gas distribution utility systems are located in the states of Georgia, Illinois, Iowa, Massachusetts, Missouri, New Hampshire, and New York; and in the Canadian province of New Brunswick with approximately 378,000 natural gas customer connections.

It also owns and operates generating assets with a gross capacity of approximately 2.0 gigawatt (GW) and has investments in generating assets with approximately 0.3 GW of net generation capacity.

It generates and sells hydroelectric energy in Canada, and capacity and renewable attributes are produced by its portfolio of 14 hydroelectric power generation facilities located in the provinces of Alberta, Ontario, New Brunswick, and Quebec.

As of December 31, 2025, it had a combined gross generating capacity of approximately 112 megawatts (MW) and a combined net generating capacity of approximately 105 MW. The company was formerly known as Traduction Militech Translation Inc. in October 2009.

The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Oakville, Canada.

Stock analysis

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN) currently trades at $5.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.99, 28% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $4.43 per share, and 2 of the 13 models we run sit above the $5.52 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.82, and 11 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $3.17 (bear) to $4.99 (bull), the price of $5.52 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp reported revenue of $2.4B in FY2025 versus $2.3B in FY2021, a compound +1.7%/yr. Reported net income was $181M in FY2025, compounding −9.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $4.3B Mid · P/E ratio 24.0 · P/S ratio 2.29 · EPS (TTM) $0.2300 · Dividend yield 4.7% · Net margin 6.5% · Return on equity 2.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −28%, AQN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $3.17 Fair Value $3.99 Bull $4.99

Price $5.52 · Downside -27.7%

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Best data coverage

Residual Income $4.44 $4.43 $4.57 76

Gordon GGM $1.74 $3.45 $5.19 67

DDM Multi-Stage $1.74 $2.99 $3.64 67

All 14 models by family

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd $1.60 $8.11 $11.20 64

Lynch FV $2.20 $3.15 $4.09 61

PEG = 1.0 $2.20 $3.15 $4.09 57

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM $1.74 $3.45 $5.19 67

DDM Multi-Stage $1.74 $2.99 $3.64 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple $3.17 $4.23 $5.28 63

P/S Multiple $2.99 $3.99 $4.99 57

P/B Multiple $5.69 $7.59 $9.48 55

EV/EBIT n/a $1.25 $3.07 60

EV/EBITDA $0.4400 $2.60 $4.76 59

EV/Revenue n/a n/a $1.31 49

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $2.11 $2.82 $4.22 53

Economic Profit

Residual Income $4.44 $4.43 $4.57 76

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E $3.09 $4.41 $5.73 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 23

How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital

Quality Growth 49

Are margins and returns getting better?

Cashflow 46

Do the profits arrive as real cash?

Financial strength 17

Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble

Investment 67

Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?

Low Volatility 71

How calm the share price moves, does not count

Price momentum 35

Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count

Near the 52-week high 35

Distance to the 52-week high, does not count

New shares 62

Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 37/100

Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Revenue growth 1 year

+4.9%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−4.2%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+7.7%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.6% a year

Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+43.7%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.

−3.9%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−8.6%

Dividend (yield on the price)4.7%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−26.1% vs −3.4%, slowing

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 22%

Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

AQN screens overvalued: fair value 28% below the price. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive

Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. Completes Sale of Ownership Stake in Chilean Utility Yahoo Finance · Oct 30, 2026
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. Announces Date for Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Conference Call Yahoo Finance · Oct 30, 2026
Is Algonquin’s (AQN) Strategic Pivot Built for Long-Term Value? Yahoo Finance · Sep 28, 2026
Algonquin (AQN) is Selling its Chilean Water Stake for $126.5M. Will Simplification Improve Returns? Yahoo Finance · Sep 4, 2026

Note from the team Oct 11, 2026

AI conclusion: The utility shows limited moat signals overall, with its main strength in the shift to regulated North American assets offset by high leverage and negative free cash flow.

Main risk: The biggest risk is execution challenges in the transition to a focused regulated model, which would hit earnings and cash flows amid uneven rate outcomes.

Algonquin is exiting non-core holdings like its Chilean water utility stake to simplify operations and redirect capital into regulated North American assets while planning a US redomicile. Recent quarters show revenue growth but also earnings pressure from charges and uneven rate outcomes. Will this focused regulated model deliver steadier cash flows or leave the business exposed to execution risks in the transition?

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Diversified · 49 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures

A mixed picture versus its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 43 · Below median

Fair Value upside −27.7% · Above median

Profitability

Return on equity (12 months) 2.2% · Bottom 25%

Return on assets 1.8% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (12 months) 9.2% · Above median

Operating margin (12 months) 25.6% · Top 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 10.3% · Above median

Dividend yield (12 months) 4.7% · Above median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 1.33× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 24.0× · Pricier than median

P/B 0.92× · Cheapest 25%

P/S (12 months) 2.29× · Pricier than median

EV/EBITDA 15.1× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0

FUTURE (revenue growth)52 · sector 43

PAST (return on equity)9 · sector 35

HEALTH (low debt)33 · sector 48

DIVIDEND (yield)94 · sector 82

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value	Compare
Engie SA ENGI	€24.20	€20.64	−15%	vs AQN
RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and RWE	€57.64	€43.47	−25%	vs AQN
Enel SpA ENEL	€9.69	€5.94	−39%	vs AQN
Sempra SRE	$78.17	$43.34	−45%	vs AQN
EDP, S.A EDP	€5.00	€2.67	−47%	vs AQN
E.ON SE EOAN	€19.09	€8.96	−53%	vs AQN
Iberdrola, S.A IBE	€22.65	€10.28	−55%	vs AQN
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIP	$39.45	$17.67	−55%	vs AQN
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK	€66.80	€21.11	−68%	vs AQN
ACWA Power Company 2082	153.80 SAR	27.47 SAR	−82%	vs AQN

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Frequently asked questions

Is Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.99 versus a price of $5.52, about 28% lower (overvalued).

What is the fair value of AQN?

Our model-based fair value for Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp is $3.99 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.52.

What is the quality score of AQN?

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.99 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.17, optimistic scenario $4.99. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $3.99, about 28% lower versus a price of $5.52 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $3.17, optimistic scenario $4.99. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN)?

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.6B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).

Does Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp pay a dividend?

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp currently shows a dividend yield of 4.71% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).

How much is the dividend of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN) and when is the ex-dividend date?

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp pays a dividend of $0.26 per share a year, a dividend yield of 4.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 29, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2009. The payout ratio is 113% of earnings. Our assessment: Pays more than it earns. The company pays out more in dividends than it earns, and free cash flow clearly does not cover the dividend either. It may need to be cut unless profits recover.

What is the intrinsic value of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp it is $3.99 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $5.52. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).

Is Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Nov 8, 2026, AQN trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.52, fair value $3.99, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of AQN?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.52); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.99). For Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp the two are $1.53 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp worth?

The market values Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp at about $4.3B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $5.52; our models calculate a fair value of $3.99 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AQN?

Our models span a range for Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp: cautious scenario $3.17, base $3.99, optimistic $4.99 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $5.52). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of AQN?

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.0 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $3.99 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 9 of the years ex one-offs: 31.7. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 2.3, EV/EBITDA 15.1.

How solid is the balance sheet of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN)?

Balance-sheet figures for Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 2.2%, debt of 1.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is AQN from its 52-week high?

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp trades at $5.52, about 18% below its 52-week high of $6.74 and 12% above the low of $4.94 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.99 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp?

From the same area (Utilities) we also value Iberdrola, S.A, Enel SpA, Engie SA, E.ON SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $5.52, calculated fair value $3.99 (−28%), Quality Score 43/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of AQN calculated?

We run Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp through 14 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $3.99 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN)?

The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $5.52. Our model-based fair value is $3.99, about 28% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.99). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Where does the earnings growth of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN) come from?

Earnings per share at Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp grew −8.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.5 %, EBIT margin +1.4 %, tax rate +1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −11.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN)?

The market capitalisation of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp is $4.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp is 2.29 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN)?

Earnings per share at Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp are $0.2300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN)?

The dividend yield of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp is 4.7% (payout 113%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN)?

The net margin of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp is 6.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp is 2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN)?

The operating margin of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp is 25.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN)?

Revenue at Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp is growing +10.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN)?

Earnings per share at Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp are growing +55.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN) generate?

The free cash flow of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp is −$181M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN) carry?

The net debt of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp is $6.5B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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