Archi Indonesia Tbk PT (ARCI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT stock IDR 1,230, price IDR 960, upside +28.1%, quality 57 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 222.82 IDR – 1,995 IDR · fair‑value band 865.62 IDR – 1,537 IDR · the 960.00 IDR price screens below the 1,230 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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PT Archi Indonesia Tbk, through its subsidiaries, engages in gold and silver mining business in Indonesia. The company operates Toka Tindung Gold Mine with the concession area of approximately 40 thousand hectares located in North Sulawesi.
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It also holds contracts of work for mining concession areas with a total concession area of 39,817 hectares located in North Sulawesi Province. In addition, the company provides mining contractor services; gold minted bar products; and management consulting services.
The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Archi Indonesia Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Rajawali Corporation.
Stock analysis
Archi Indonesia Tbk PT (ARCI) currently trades at 960.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,230 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 22% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 1,269 IDR per share, and 5 of the 16 models we run sit above the 960.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 173.56 IDR, and 11 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 865.62 IDR (bear) to 1,537 IDR (bull), the price of 960.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Archi Indonesia Tbk PT reported revenue of $490M in FY2025 versus $346M in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was $101M in FY2025, compounding +7.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 24.2T IDR (≈ $1.3B) Small · P/E ratio 9.7 · P/S ratio 1.99 · EPS (TTM) 99.19 IDR · Net margin 20.5% · Return on equity 41.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin 47.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 75 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 28%, ARCI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear865.62 IDRFair Value 1,230 IDRBull1,537 IDR
Price 960.00 IDR · Upside +28.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (85.06 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+70.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.7% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−28.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−28.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.1.6% vs 3.4%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.55% → 40%
2025 sits 590% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 24.3%/yr over ~11Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 206 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside+28.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)41.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets9.8% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)23.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)47.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)82.4% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.19× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Archi Indonesia Tbk PT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARCI
Frequently asked questions
Is Archi Indonesia Tbk PT (ARCI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,230 IDR versus a price of 960.00 IDR, about +28% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ARCI?
Our model-based fair value for Archi Indonesia Tbk PT is 1,230 IDR (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 960.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of ARCI?
Archi Indonesia Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Archi Indonesia Tbk PT (ARCI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,230 IDR (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 865.62 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,537 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Archi Indonesia Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,230 IDR, about +28% upside versus a price of 960.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 865.62 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,537 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT (ARCI)?
Archi Indonesia Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $626M (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT (ARCI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Archi Indonesia Tbk PT it is 1,230 IDR per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 960.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Archi Indonesia Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, ARCI trades below its calculated fair value: price 960.00 IDR, fair value 1,230 IDR, a gap of about +28% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARCI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (960.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,230 IDR). For Archi Indonesia Tbk PT the two are 269.56 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Archi Indonesia Tbk PT worth?
The market values Archi Indonesia Tbk PT at about 24.2T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 960.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 1,230 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARCI?
Our models span a range for Archi Indonesia Tbk PT: cautious scenario 865.62 IDR, base 1,230 IDR, optimistic 1,537 IDR per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 960.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ARCI?
Archi Indonesia Tbk PT trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.7 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,230 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.7, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 5.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT (ARCI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Archi Indonesia Tbk PT (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 41.3%, debt of 1.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARCI from its 52-week high?
Archi Indonesia Tbk PT trades at 960.00 IDR, about 52% below its 52-week high of 1,995 IDR and 18% above the low of 815.00 IDR (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,230 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Archi Indonesia Tbk PT?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Archi Indonesia Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 960.00 IDR, calculated fair value 1,230 IDR (+28%), Quality Score 57/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARCI calculated?
We run Archi Indonesia Tbk PT through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 1,230 IDR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Archi Indonesia Tbk PT currently trades 22% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT (ARCI)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 960.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 1,230 IDR, about +28% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Archi Indonesia Tbk PT right now?
Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT (ARCI) come from?
Earnings per share at Archi Indonesia Tbk PT grew −7.2 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.5 %, EBIT margin −5.5 %, tax rate −1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT
How large is the market capitalisation of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT (ARCI)?
The market capitalisation of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT is 24.2T IDR (≈ $1.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT (ARCI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT is 1.99 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT (ARCI)?
Earnings per share at Archi Indonesia Tbk PT are 99.19 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT (ARCI)?
The net margin of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT is 20.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT (ARCI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT is 41.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT (ARCI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT is 11.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT (ARCI)?
The operating margin of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT is 47.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Archi Indonesia Tbk PT (ARCI)?
Revenue at Archi Indonesia Tbk PT is growing +82.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +31.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Archi Indonesia Tbk PT (ARCI)?
Earnings per share at Archi Indonesia Tbk PT are growing +105% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Archi Indonesia Tbk PT (ARCI) generate?
The free cash flow of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT is −$13.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Archi Indonesia Tbk PT (ARCI) carry?
The net debt of Archi Indonesia Tbk PT is $470M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 4, 2026