AutoZone Inc (AZO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of AutoZone Inc stock $2,468, price $3,309, that is 25.4% below the price, quality 62 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 21 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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AutoZone Inc
AZO · USOur calculation puts a fair price 25% below what the stock costs today.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1,521 – $4,355 · fair‑value band $1,546 – $3,807 · the $3,309 price screens above the $2,468 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Company profile
AutoZone, Inc. operates as a retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories in the United States, Mexico, and Brazil.
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The company offers a product line for cars, sport utility vehicles, vans, and light duty trucks, including new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories, and non-automotive products.
It also provides A/C compressors, batteries and accessories, bearings, belts and hoses, calipers, chassis, clutches, CV axles, engines, fuel pumps, fuses, ignition and lighting products, mufflers, radiators, starters and alternators, thermostats, and water pumps, as well as tire repairs.
In addition, the company provides maintenance products, such as antifreeze and windshield washer fluids; brake drums, rotors, shoes, and pads; brake and power steering fluids, and oil and fuel additives; oil and transmission fluids; oil, cabin, air, fuel, and transmission filters; oxygen sensors; paints and accessories; refrigerants and accessories; shock absorbers and struts; spark plugs and wires; and windshield wipers.
Further, it offers air fresheners, cell phone accessories, drinks and snacks, floor mats and seat covers, interior and exterior accessories, mirrors, performance products, protectants and cleaners, sealants and adhesives, steering wheel covers, tools, vehicle entertainment systems, and wash and wax products, as well as towing services.
Additionally, the company provides a sales program that offers commercial credit and delivery of parts and other products; sells automotive diagnostic, repair, collision, and shop management information software under the ALLDATA brand through alldata.com; Duralast branded products through duralastparts.com; and automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories, and non-automotive products through autozone.com.
AutoZone, Inc. was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.
Stock analysis
AutoZone Inc (AZO) currently trades at $3,309, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2,468, 25% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $3,127 per share, and 3 of the 21 models we run sit above the $3,309 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1,114, and 18 of the 21 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $1,546 (bear) to $3,807 (bull), the price of $3,309 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
AutoZone Inc reported revenue of $20.3B in FY2026 versus $16.3B in FY2022, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was $2.6B in FY2026, compounding +1.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $55.8B Large · P/E ratio 21.7 · P/S ratio 2.74 · EPS (TTM) $152.55 · Net margin 12.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 20.2% · Operating margin 20.0% · Revenue (TTM) $20.3B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 72 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −25%, AZO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 21 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $492,855, on May 29, 2026. Over the same period, one person sold shares worth $4.5M.
- SaleDennis W. LeRicheSr. Vice President1,455 shares at $3,100$4.5MAug 7, 2026
- BuyBrian HannaschDirector2× since Dec 18, 2025: 312 shares, avg. $3,178$991,639May 29, 2026
- SaleEarl G Graves JrDirector2× since Jan 2, 2026: 300 shares, avg. $3,326$997,686Apr 10, 2026
- SaleRichard Craig SmithSr. Vice President2× since Jan 16, 2026: 9,100 shares, avg. $3,630$33.0MJan 23, 2026
- SaleGeorge R Mrkonic JrDirector97 shares at $3,342$323,538Jan 2, 2026
- BuyMichael A GeorgeDirector145 shares at $3,398$492,729Dec 22, 2025
- BuyJamere JacksonCFO55 shares at $3,414$187,743Dec 10, 2025
Plus 4 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 5, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
AZO screens overvalued: fair value 25% below the price. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →
Recent news
- AutoZone (AZO) Increases Despite Market Slip: Here's What You Need to Know
- AutoZone (AZO) Q4 Earnings Expose Cost Creep And Debt Strain
Compare AutoZone Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 656 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Debt-to-equity by industry
- Price/FCF by industry
- Piotroski F-Score screener with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magna International Inc MGA | $62.81 | $105.01 | +67% | vs AZO |
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 364,000 KRW | 534,994 KRW | +47% | vs AZO |
| Genuine Parts Company GPC | $124.44 | $115.96 | −7% | vs AZO |
| Knorr-Bremse AG KBX | €95.80 | €72.88 | −24% | vs AZO |
| Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 | ¥55.82 | ¥40.74 | −27% | vs AZO |
| Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 | ¥45.79 | ¥32.24 | −30% | vs AZO |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹168.00 | ₹96.06 | −43% | vs AZO |
| O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY | $91.49 | $48.66 | −47% | vs AZO |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹52,475 | ₹24,899 | −53% | vs AZO |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,335 | ₹431.18 | −68% | vs AZO |
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Key figures of AutoZone Inc
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