Bunge Global SA (BG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Bunge Global SA stock $56.81, price $98.54, that is 42.3% below the price, quality 25 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Bunge Global SA
BG · USOur calculation puts a fair price 42% below what the stock costs today.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $64.37 – $130.59 · fair‑value band $43.73 – $62.62 · the $98.54 price screens above the $56.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Company profile
Bunge Global SA operates as an agribusiness and food company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Soybean Processing and Refining, Softseed Processing and Refining, Other Oilseeds Processing and Refining, and Grain Merchandising and Milling.
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The Soybean Processing and Refining segment is involved in the purchase, storage, transportation, processing, distribution, refining, marketing, and sale of soybeans and soybean related products, as well as biodiesel and fertilizer production and distribution for the food, animal feed and biofuel industries.
The Softseed Processing and Refining segment is involved in the purchase, storage, transportation, processing, distribution, refining, marketing, and sale of softseeds and softseed related products, as well as biodiesel production and distribution.
The Other Oilseeds Processing and Refining Segment is involved in products of a specialty nature, including the purchase, storage, transportation, processing, distribution, refining, marketing, and sale of these related products.
The Grain Merchandising and Milling segment is involved in the purchase, storage, transportation, distribution, and marketing of commodities primarily consisting of corn, wheat, barley, cotton, pulses, and sugar; milling of wheat and sugar; and related services including ocean freight and financial services.
Bunge Global SA was founded in 1818 and is headquartered in Chesterfield, Missouri.
Stock analysis
Bunge Global SA (BG) currently trades at $98.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $56.81, 42% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $73.49 per share, and 1 of the 14 models we run sit above the $98.54 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $7.29, and 13 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $43.73 (bear) to $62.62 (bull), the price of $98.54 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Bunge Global SA reported revenue of $70.3B in FY2025 versus $59.2B in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was $819M in FY2025, compounding −20.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $19.3B Large · P/E ratio 16.9 · P/S ratio 0.21 · EPS (TTM) $5.82 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 1.2% · Return on equity 6.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at −42%, BG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 15 models by family
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $689,050, on Aug 4, 2026.
- BuyChristopher MahoneyDirector6,500 shares at $106.01$689,050Aug 4, 2026
- SaleJulio GarrosChief Operating Officer2,831 shares at $119.00$336,889Feb 11, 2026
- SaleChristos DimopoulosExecutive VP, Global Markets25,300 shares at $94.37$2.4MNov 21, 2025
Plus 58 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 5, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
BG screens overvalued: fair value 42% below the price. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →
Recent news
- How Investors Are Reacting To Bunge Global Stock Earnings Beat
- BG Q3 Earnings Beat on Strong Soybean and Softseed Results
- Compared to Estimates, Bunge Global (BG) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
- Bunge Global’s (NYSE:BG) Q3 2026 sales top estimates
Compare Bunge Global SA with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 286 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Staples sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- P/S ratio by industry
- EBIT margin by industry
- Piotroski F-Score screener with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 20.40 THB | 40.78 THB | +100% | vs BG |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 219.40 | kr 273.60 | +25% | vs BG |
| Tyson Foods, Inc TSN | $60.11 | $73.24 | +22% | vs BG |
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥43.75 | ¥53.02 | +21% | vs BG |
| United Plantations Berhad 2089 | 30.10 MYR | 32.14 MYR | +7% | vs BG |
| L.D.C. S.A LOUP | €109.40 | €108.06 | −1% | vs BG |
| Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM | $70.47 | $60.78 | −14% | vs BG |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥16.69 | ¥12.08 | −28% | vs BG |
| Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 | ¥139.01 | ¥88.62 | −36% | vs BG |
| SalMar ASA SALM | kr 582.50 | kr 260.08 | −55% | vs BG |
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Key figures of Bunge Global SA
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