Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Barito Pacific Tbk stock IDR 663, price IDR 850, that is 22.0% below the price, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 12 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 600.00 IDR – 4,280 IDR · fair‑value band 499.54 IDR – 1,018 IDR · the 850.00 IDR price screens above the 662.65 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
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PT Barito Pacific Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the petrochemical production business. It operates through Petrochemical and Refinery, Building and Hotel Management, Energy and Resources, Property, and Others segments.
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The company produces a palette of olefins, polyolefins, styrene monomer, and butadiene, including by-products. It also operates geothermal energy resources and wind power plant projects.
In addition, the company engages in the development and construction of industrial and commercial properties; marine transportation; logistics; and glue production for particleboards. Further, it provides management consultation services.
The company was formerly known as PT Barito Pacific Timber Tbk and changed its name to PT Barito Pacific Tbk in August 2007. PT Barito Pacific Tbk was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT) currently trades at 850.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 662.65 IDR, 22% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 1,375 IDR per share, and 5 of the 12 models we run sit above the 850.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 99.95 IDR, and 7 of the 12 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 499.54 IDR (bear) to 1,018 IDR (bull), the price of 850.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Barito Pacific Tbk reported revenue of $7.6B in FY2025 versus $3.2B in FY2021, a compound +24.7%/yr. Reported net income was $490M in FY2025, compounding +13.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 79.7T IDR (≈ $4.4B) Mid · P/E ratio 32.2 · P/S ratio 2.06 · EPS (TTM) 26.43 IDR · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin 6.4% · Return on equity 6.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 29 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 78% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −22%, BRPT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear499.54 IDRFair Value 662.65 IDRBull1,018 IDR
Price 850.00 IDR · Downside -22.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (22.66 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+14.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.28.3% vs 10.7%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → −3%
2025 sits 1,418% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
AI conclusion: Petrochemical volume growth lifts revenue yet thin margins, negative free cash flow and limited moat point to structural weakness in a commoditized sector.
Main risk: Regulatory fines on affiliated trading entities risk compliance costs, lost synergies and tighter financing access that would hit group margins and cash flow.
Barito Pacific posted a 76 percent rise in first-half revenue driven by petrochemical volumes, yet EBITDA dropped 45 percent and net profit fell 70 percent. The stock's steep recent slide came after Indonesia's regulator imposed record fines on trading violations at affiliated companies controlled by the same group. Our models see it as overvalued. Does the new buyback program reflect faith in the underlying operations or simply counter the spillover from those external sanctions?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 337 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−22.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.4% · Above median
Return on assets9.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)4.2% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)28.8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity3.03× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
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Is Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 662.65 IDR versus a price of 850.00 IDR, about 22% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BRPT?
Our model-based fair value for Barito Pacific Tbk is 662.65 IDR (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 850.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of BRPT?
Barito Pacific Tbk has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 662.65 IDR (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario 499.54 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,018 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Barito Pacific Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 662.65 IDR, about 22% lower versus a price of 850.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 499.54 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,018 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
Barito Pacific Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $10.8B (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does Barito Pacific Tbk pay a dividend?
Barito Pacific Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of 1.11% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
Barito Pacific Tbk has a dividend yield of 1.1%.
What is the intrinsic value of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Barito Pacific Tbk it is 662.65 IDR per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of 850.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Barito Pacific Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, BRPT trades above its calculated fair value: price 850.00 IDR, fair value 662.65 IDR, a gap of about −22% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BRPT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (850.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (662.65 IDR). For Barito Pacific Tbk the two are 187.35 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Barito Pacific Tbk worth?
The market values Barito Pacific Tbk at about 79.7T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is 850.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 662.65 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BRPT?
Our models span a range for Barito Pacific Tbk: cautious scenario 499.54 IDR, base 662.65 IDR, optimistic 1,018 IDR per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price 850.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BRPT?
Barito Pacific Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.2 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 662.65 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.0, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 25.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Barito Pacific Tbk (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 6.4%, debt of 3.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BRPT from its 52-week high?
Barito Pacific Tbk trades at 850.00 IDR, about 78% below its 52-week high of 3,780 IDR and at the low of 850.00 IDR (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 662.65 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Barito Pacific Tbk?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Dow Inc, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Barito Pacific Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price 850.00 IDR, calculated fair value 662.65 IDR (−22%), Quality Score 42/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BRPT calculated?
We run Barito Pacific Tbk through 12 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 662.65 IDR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Barito Pacific Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 850.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 662.65 IDR, about 22% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Barito Pacific Tbk right now?
Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (499.54 IDR to 1,018 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Barito Pacific Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
The market capitalisation of Barito Pacific Tbk is 79.7T IDR (≈ $4.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Barito Pacific Tbk is 2.06 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
Earnings per share at Barito Pacific Tbk are 26.43 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 32.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
The dividend yield of Barito Pacific Tbk is 1.1% (payout 35.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
The net margin of Barito Pacific Tbk is 6.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Barito Pacific Tbk is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Barito Pacific Tbk is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
The operating margin of Barito Pacific Tbk is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
Revenue at Barito Pacific Tbk is growing +28.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +37.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
Earnings per share at Barito Pacific Tbk are growing −10.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT) generate?
The free cash flow of Barito Pacific Tbk is −$604M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT) carry?
The net debt of Barito Pacific Tbk is $5.1B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 3, 2026