Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Canada Packers Inc. stock C$23.43, price C$14.12, upside +65.9%, quality 64 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 23 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
13‑month range C$13.23 – C$20.46 · fair‑value band C$16.19 – C$30.02 · the C$14.12 price screens below the C$23.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Canada Packers Inc. engages in the production of raised without antibiotic (RWA) pork. The company's integrated operations cover hog production, processing, and value-added innovation.
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It delivers a mix of products to various customers in North America; and internationally through representative offices in Mexico, China, South Korea, Japan, and the Philippines. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Mississauga, Canada.
Stock analysis
Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR) currently trades at C$14.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$23.43, implying the stock looks roughly 40% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of C$67.86 per share, and 21 of the 23 models we run sit above the C$14.12 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$4.08, and 2 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: C$16.19 (bear) to C$30.02 (bull), the price of C$14.12 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Canada Packers Inc. reported revenue of C$1.8B in FY2025 versus C$1.6B in FY2022, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was C$106M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap C$420M (≈ $298M) Micro · P/E ratio 39.2 · P/S ratio 0.25 · EPS (TTM) C$0.3600 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 0.6% · Return on equity 2.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.6% (4-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 66%, CPKR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearC$16.19Fair Value C$23.43BullC$30.02
Price C$14.12 · Upside +65.9%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$0.1115 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCFC$45.61C$62.76C$82.5878
Growth DCFC$46.25C$61.71C$78.8177
Owner EarningsC$28.04C$39.91C$53.6374
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCFC$45.61C$62.76C$82.5878
Owner EarningsC$28.04C$39.91C$53.6374
5Y Revenue ExitC$39.03C$60.34C$86.1469
5Y EBITDA ExitC$46.81C$74.17C$104.3772
5Y P/E ExitC$41.16C$64.13C$86.7368
10Y Revenue ExitC$40.49C$58.18C$79.3364
10Y EBITDA ExitC$45.67C$66.16C$90.6666
10Y P/E ExitC$42.65C$60.36C$79.6962
Earnings-Based
Graham-DoddC$24.29C$57.13C$73.5463
PEG = 1.0C$9.83C$14.04C$18.2555
EPVC$16.51C$19.87C$22.6074
Multiples
P/E MultipleC$56.25C$75.00C$93.7663
P/S MultipleC$45.54C$60.72C$75.9058
P/B MultipleC$25.10C$33.46C$41.8355
EV/EBITC$53.26C$75.84C$98.4165
EV/EBITDAC$53.64C$76.34C$99.0467
EV/RevenueC$33.87C$54.59C$75.3053
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)C$3.04C$4.08C$6.0854
Growth DCF
Growth DCFC$46.25C$61.71C$78.8177
Rev-Margin DCFC$39.03C$61.34C$85.5169
Economic Profit
Residual IncomeC$15.58C$18.93C$28.1167
ROIC CompounderC$17.16C$21.68C$26.1669
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/EC$42.59C$60.84C$79.0965
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.66/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.3% (2022) → 8.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−17.2%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
0.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −18.9% a year for the price and −2.1% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 291 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+65.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)2.3% · Below median
Return on assets11.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)0.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)−7.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−12.7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.46× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Canada Packers Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CPKR
Frequently asked questions
Is Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$23.43 versus a price of C$14.12, about +66% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CPKR?
Our model-based fair value for Canada Packers Inc. is C$23.43 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$14.12.
What is the quality score of CPKR?
Canada Packers Inc. has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$23.43 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$16.19, optimistic scenario C$30.02. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Canada Packers Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$23.43, about +66% upside versus a price of C$14.12 (undervalued). Cautious scenario C$16.19, optimistic scenario C$30.02. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR)?
Canada Packers Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$1.7B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Canada Packers Inc. pay a dividend?
Canada Packers Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of 1.63% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Canada Packers Inc. pays a dividend of C$0.23 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.6%. The next ex-dividend date is Dec 10, 2026. The payout ratio is 63.9% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 30.51 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Canada Packers Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by -17.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +3.9 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CPKR use?
Our models discount Canada Packers Inc. at 12.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Canada Packers Inc. that is -17.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Canada Packers Inc. grew +3.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -17.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Canada Packers Inc. (-17.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 49.70 %: that much free cash flow Canada Packers Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Canada Packers Inc. it is C$23.43 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of C$14.12. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Canada Packers Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, CPKR trades below its calculated fair value: price C$14.12, fair value C$23.43, a gap of about +66% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CPKR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$14.12); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$23.43). For Canada Packers Inc. the two are C$9.31 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Canada Packers Inc. worth?
The market values Canada Packers Inc. at about C$420M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is C$14.12; our models calculate a fair value of C$23.43 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CPKR?
Our models span a range for Canada Packers Inc.: cautious scenario C$16.19, base C$23.43, optimistic C$30.02 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price C$14.12). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CPKR?
Canada Packers Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 39.2 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$23.43 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 9.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Canada Packers Inc. (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 2.3%, debt of 1.46 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CPKR from its 52-week high?
Canada Packers Inc. trades at C$14.12, about 31% below its 52-week high of C$20.46 and 6% above the low of C$13.30 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$23.43 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Canada Packers Inc.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Muyuan Foods Group, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Tyson Foods, Inc, Bunge Global SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Canada Packers Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price C$14.12, calculated fair value C$23.43 (+66%), Quality Score 64/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CPKR calculated?
We run Canada Packers Inc. through 23 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of C$23.43 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Canada Packers Inc. currently trades 40% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was C$14.12. Our model-based fair value is C$23.43, about +66% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Canada Packers Inc. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$16.19). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (C$16.19 to C$30.02) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Canada Packers Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR)?
The market capitalisation of Canada Packers Inc. is C$420M (≈ $298M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Canada Packers Inc. is 0.25 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR)?
Earnings per share at Canada Packers Inc. are C$0.3600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 39.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR)?
The dividend yield of Canada Packers Inc. is 1.6% (payout 63.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR)?
The net margin of Canada Packers Inc. is 0.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Canada Packers Inc. is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Canada Packers Inc. is 6.6% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR)?
The operating margin of Canada Packers Inc. is −7.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR)?
Revenue at Canada Packers Inc. is growing −12.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR)?
Earnings per share at Canada Packers Inc. are growing +27.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Canada Packers Inc. (CPKR) carry?
The net debt of Canada Packers Inc. is C$430M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 6, 2026