Canada Packers Inc (CPKR) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CA · Market cap C$573M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from C$65.07 to C$34.01 (−47.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −11.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 99% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$23.46). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (C$23.46 to C$46.67) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (10 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
10‑month range C$13.42 – C$20.75 · fair‑value band C$23.46 – C$46.67 · the C$17.12 price screens below the C$34.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Canada Packers Inc (CPKR) currently trades at C$17.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$34.01, implying the stock looks roughly 98.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Canada Packers Inc generated revenue of C$1.8B at a net margin of 6.4%. Revenue declined 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.4%. Net debt stands at C$430M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$23.46 (bear case) to C$46.67 (bull case); at C$17.12, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at 99%, CPKR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (C$64.43) versus Asset-Based (C$6.12). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Canada Packers Inc. engages in the production of raised without antibiotic (RWA) pork. The company's integrated operations cover hog production, processing, and value-added innovation.
Full company description
Canada Packers Inc. engages in the production of raised without antibiotic (RWA) pork. The company's integrated operations cover hog production, processing, and value-added innovation. It delivers a mix of products to various customers in North America; and internationally through representative offices in Mexico, China, South Korea, Japan, and the Philippines. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Mississauga, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Canada Packers Inc reported revenue of C$1.8B in FY2025 versus C$1.6B in FY2022, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was C$106M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Farm Products · 288 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.90 | ¥48.19 | +18% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥14.51 | ¥12.08 | -17% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 188.40 | kr 262.59 | +39% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,120 IDR | 7,076 IDR | +127% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 22.00 THB | 55.71 THB | +153% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,540 IDR | 3,105 IDR | +102% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,300 IDR | 7,463 IDR | +2% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,070 IDR | 7,231 IDR | +249% |
| Thaifoods Group TFGR | 10.60 THB | 23.53 THB | +122% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,845 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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