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Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc stock $7.08, price $3.15, upside +124.8%, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical US

CV Commercial Vehicle Group Inc logo Some data Nov 9, 2026

Commercial Vehicle Group Inc

CVGI · US
Meets all rules: undervalued, quality rule, uptrend

The stock costs 56% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $7.08 · Strongly undervalued
Generates free cash flow
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 69% above the price ($5.33).
Quality 46/100
Moderate debt
Some data
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −2.0 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -3.4% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 9/100 · thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$11.43 $0.8333 Fair Value $7.08 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.8333 – $11.43 · fair‑value band $5.33 – $9.32 · the $3.15 price screens below the $7.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.

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Company profile

Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides systems, assemblies, and components to the vehicle market and electric vehicle markets in North America, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific.

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The company operates in three segments: Global Seating, Global Electrical Systems, and Trim Systems and Components.

The Global Seating segment designs, manufactures, and sells vehicle seats for the vehicle markets, including heavy duty (HD)trucks, medium duty (MD) trucks, last mile delivery trucks and vans, and construction and agriculture equipment; seats and components; and office seats.

The Global Electrical Systems segment designs, manufactures, and sells cable and harness assemblies for high and low voltage applications, control boxes, dashboard assemblies, and design and engineering applications; and markets products for the construction, agricultural, industrial, automotive, truck, mining, rail, marine, power generation, and military/defense industries.

The Trim Systems and Components segment designs, manufactures, and sells plastic components primarily for commercial vehicle market, MD/HD truck market and power sports, specialty vehicle applications, and diversified markets; vehicle accessories including wipers, mirrors, and sensors; thermoformed products, injection molded products, and reaction injection molded products; assemble components and fabric products; and molded products, instrument panels, cab interiors, and accessories.

The company sells its products under the AdvancTEK, Moto Mirror, Sprague Devices, CVG, KAB Seating, National Seating, Bostrom Seating, Stratos, and RoadWatch brand names. Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in New Albany, Ohio.

Stock analysis

Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI) currently trades at $3.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.08, implying the stock looks roughly 56% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $7.72 per share, and 8 of the 10 models we run sit above the $3.15 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $4.96, and 2 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $5.33 (bear) to $9.32 (bull), the price of $3.15 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Commercial Vehicle Group Inc reported revenue of $649M in FY2025 versus $972M in FY2021, a compound −9.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$22.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $129M Micro · P/S ratio 0.19 · EPS (TTM) $−0.6200 · Net margin −3.4% · Return on equity −15.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 1.2% · Revenue (TTM) $674M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 135% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 125%, CVGI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $5.33 Fair Value $7.08 Bull $9.32
Price $3.15 · Upside +124.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF $5.58 $7.08 $9.67 81
Growth DCF $5.71 $7.12 $9.36 80
5Y EBITDA Exit $3.37 $4.60 $6.29 76
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $5.58 $7.08 $9.67 81
5Y Revenue Exit $5.43 $8.10 $12.09 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $3.37 $4.60 $6.29 76
10Y Revenue Exit $5.33 $7.24 $9.32 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $4.45 $5.42 $6.39 70
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $0.6400 $1.77 $2.89 62
EV/Revenue $4.87 $8.14 $11.40 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0800 $0.1200 $0.1500 55
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $5.71 $7.12 $9.36 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.43 $8.31 $11.99 72

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 26
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 46
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 46
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 94
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 17
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 48
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 70
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 62
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

Plus 8 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.4% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.2% (2020) → −0.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−7.5%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −9.6% a year for the price and +3.9% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+12.9%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+5.5%
Projected 2028 (sales)+5.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.2%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 655 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside +124.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −3.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 1.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 13.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.78× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.97× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.19× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 3.8× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 10.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.26× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)68 · sector 34
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)61 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 39

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Magna International Inc MGA $61.86 $98.98 +60% vs CVGI
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 349,000 KRW 534,994 KRW +53% vs CVGI
Genuine Parts Company GPC $122.80 $115.96 −6% vs CVGI
Knorr-Bremse AG KBX €94.45 €72.88 −23% vs CVGI
AutoZone, Inc AZO $3,216 $2,468 −23% vs CVGI
Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥55.92 ¥40.74 −27% vs CVGI
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥44.71 ¥32.24 −28% vs CVGI
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹158.55 ₹96.06 −39% vs CVGI
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY $89.89 $48.66 −46% vs CVGI
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹50,700 ₹25,168 −50% vs CVGI

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Commercial Vehicle Group Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Commercial Vehicle Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CVGI

Frequently asked questions

Is Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.08 versus a price of $3.15, about +125% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CVGI?
Our model-based fair value for Commercial Vehicle Group Inc is $7.08 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.15.
What is the quality score of CVGI?
Commercial Vehicle Group Inc has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $7.08 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.33, optimistic scenario $9.32. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Commercial Vehicle Group Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $7.08, about +125% upside versus a price of $3.15 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $5.33, optimistic scenario $9.32. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI)?
Commercial Vehicle Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $674M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What growth is priced into Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Commercial Vehicle Group Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -7.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.0 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CVGI use?
Our models discount Commercial Vehicle Group Inc at 13.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.35, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Commercial Vehicle Group Inc that is -7.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (13.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Commercial Vehicle Group Inc grew -2.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -7.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (-7.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 31.04 %: that much free cash flow Commercial Vehicle Group Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Commercial Vehicle Group Inc it is $7.08 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of $3.15. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Commercial Vehicle Group Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, CVGI trades below its calculated fair value: price $3.15, fair value $7.08, a gap of about +125% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CVGI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($7.08). For Commercial Vehicle Group Inc the two are $3.93 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Commercial Vehicle Group Inc worth?
The market values Commercial Vehicle Group Inc at about $129M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is $3.15; our models calculate a fair value of $7.08 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CVGI?
Our models span a range for Commercial Vehicle Group Inc: cautious scenario $5.33, base $7.08, optimistic $9.32 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price $3.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of CVGI?
The PEG ratio of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc is 1.26 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 9, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −15.1%, debt of 0.78 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CVGI from its 52-week high?
Commercial Vehicle Group Inc trades at $3.15, about 46% below its 52-week high of $5.78 and 135% above the low of $1.34 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $7.08 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Commercial Vehicle Group Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Commercial Vehicle Group Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price $3.15, calculated fair value $7.08 (+125%), Quality Score 46/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CVGI calculated?
We run Commercial Vehicle Group Inc through 10 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $7.08 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Commercial Vehicle Group Inc currently trades 56% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $3.15. Our model-based fair value is $7.08, about +125% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Commercial Vehicle Group Inc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (46/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($5.33). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.

Key figures of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI)?
The market capitalisation of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc is $129M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc is 0.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI)?
Earnings per share at Commercial Vehicle Group Inc are $−0.6200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI)?
The net margin of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc is −3.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc is −15.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc is 4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI)?
The operating margin of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI)?
Revenue at Commercial Vehicle Group Inc is growing +13.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI)?
Earnings per share at Commercial Vehicle Group Inc are growing +28.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI) carry?
The net debt of Commercial Vehicle Group Inc is $111M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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