Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $164M

Below-average quality, screening 17% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The model range is unusually wide ($1.54 to $6.92). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
• Our model range runs from $1.54 (bear) to $6.92 (bull), base $4.24. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 48/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.8333 – $13.35 · fair‑value band $1.54 – $6.92 · the $3.63 price screens below the $4.24 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI) currently trades at $3.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.24, implying the stock looks roughly 16.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Commercial Vehicle Group generated revenue of $651M at a net margin of -2.7%. Revenue grew 1.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.3%. Net debt stands at $111M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.54 (bear case) to $6.92 (bull case); at $3.63, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 190% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 17%, CVGI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($7.10) versus Asset-Based ($2.63). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides systems, assemblies, and components to the vehicle market and electric vehicle markets in North America, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates in three segments: Global Seating, Global Electrical Systems, and Trim Systems and Components.

Full company description

Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides systems, assemblies, and components to the vehicle market and electric vehicle markets in North America, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates in three segments: Global Seating, Global Electrical Systems, and Trim Systems and Components. The Global Seating segment designs, manufactures, and sells vehicle seats for the vehicle markets, including heavy duty (HD)trucks, medium duty (MD) trucks, last mile delivery trucks and vans, and construction and agriculture equipment; seats and components; and office seats. The Global Electrical Systems segment designs, manufactures, and sells cable and harness assemblies for high and low voltage applications, control boxes, dashboard assemblies, and design and engineering applications; and markets products for the construction, agricultural, industrial, automotive, truck, mining, rail, marine, power generation, and military/defense industries. The Trim Systems and Components segment designs, manufactures, and sells plastic components primarily for commercial vehicle market, MD/HD truck market and power sports, specialty vehicle applications, and diversified markets; vehicle accessories including wipers, mirrors, and sensors; thermoformed products, injection molded products, and reaction injection molded products; assemble components and fabric products; and molded products, instrument panels, cab interiors, and accessories. The company sells its products under the AdvancTEK, Moto Mirror, Sprague Devices, CVG, KAB Seating, National Seating, Bostrom Seating, Stratos, and RoadWatch brand names. Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in New Albany, Ohio.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Commercial Vehicle Group reported revenue of $649M in FY2025 versus $972M in FY2021, a compound −9.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$22.8M in FY2025.

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Peer Group

Auto Parts · 641 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.