Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd stock A$6.29, price A$6.26, upside +0.5%, quality 52 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$2.83 – A$8.93 · fair‑value band A$5.60 – A$8.05 · the A$6.26 price screens below the A$6.29 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
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Cedar Woods Properties Limited develops and invests in properties in Australia. It engages in the acquisition, development, marketing, and sale of housing lots, apartments, townhouses, and commercial properties in Western Australia, South Australia, Victoria, and Queensland.
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The company was incorporated in 1987 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP) currently trades at A$6.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$6.29, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.5%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of A$13.94 per share, and 6 of the 9 models we run sit above the A$6.26 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at A$3.68, and 3 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: A$5.60 (bear) to A$8.05 (bull), the price of A$6.26 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Cedar Woods Properties Ltd reported revenue of A$503M in FY2026 versus A$335M in FY2022, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was A$65.6M in FY2026, compounding +15.1%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap A$550M (≈ $380M) Small · P/E ratio 8.4 · P/S ratio 1.10 · EPS (TTM) A$0.7461 · Dividend yield 6.2% · Net margin 13.1% · Return on equity 12.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 57 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 33% fair-value upside, at 0%, CWP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$5.60Fair Value A$6.29BullA$8.05
Price A$6.26 · Upside +0.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.1374 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.60/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.2% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+19.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.13.1% vs 3.1%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 21%
2026 sits 54% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Compare Cedar Woods Properties Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 489 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Above median
Fair Value upside+0.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)12.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets7.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)13.1% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)16.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−15.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)6.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.30× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
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Is Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$6.29 versus a price of A$6.26, about +0% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CWP?
Our model-based fair value for Cedar Woods Properties Ltd is A$6.29 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$6.26.
What is the quality score of CWP?
Cedar Woods Properties Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$6.29 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$5.60, optimistic scenario A$8.05. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cedar Woods Properties Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$6.29, about +0% upside versus a price of A$6.26 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$5.60, optimistic scenario A$8.05. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP)?
Cedar Woods Properties Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$502M (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does Cedar Woods Properties Ltd pay a dividend?
Cedar Woods Properties Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 6.23% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Cedar Woods Properties Ltd pays a dividend of A$0.39 per share a year, a dividend yield of 6.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 30, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1995. The payout ratio is 50.6% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cedar Woods Properties Ltd it is A$6.29 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of A$6.26. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Cedar Woods Properties Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, CWP trades below its calculated fair value: price A$6.26, fair value A$6.29, a gap of about +0% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CWP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$6.26); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$6.29). For Cedar Woods Properties Ltd the two are A$0.0300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cedar Woods Properties Ltd worth?
The market values Cedar Woods Properties Ltd at about A$550M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is A$6.26; our models calculate a fair value of A$6.29 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CWP?
Our models span a range for Cedar Woods Properties Ltd: cautious scenario A$5.60, base A$6.29, optimistic A$8.05 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price A$6.26). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CWP?
Cedar Woods Properties Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.4 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$6.29 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings, FY2026 ex one-offs: 10.2. Other multiples: PEG 1.1, P/B 1.0, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 6.9.
What is the PEG ratio of CWP?
The PEG ratio of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd is 1.07 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 12.7%, debt of 0.30 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CWP from its 52-week high?
Cedar Woods Properties Ltd trades at A$6.26, about 30% below its 52-week high of A$8.93 and 7% above the low of A$5.85 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$6.29 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cedar Woods Properties Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cedar Woods Properties Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price A$6.26, calculated fair value A$6.29 (+0%), Quality Score 52/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CWP calculated?
We run Cedar Woods Properties Ltd through 9 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$6.29 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Cedar Woods Properties Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$6.26. Our model-based fair value is A$6.29, about +0% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cedar Woods Properties Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP) come from?
Earnings per share at Cedar Woods Properties Ltd grew +0.9 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.1 %, EBIT margin −6.4 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP)?
The market capitalisation of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd is A$550M (≈ $380M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd is 1.10 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP)?
Earnings per share at Cedar Woods Properties Ltd are A$0.7461 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP)?
The dividend yield of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd is 6.2% (payout 52.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP)?
The net margin of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd is 13.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd is 12.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd is 7.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP)?
The operating margin of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd is 16.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP)?
Revenue at Cedar Woods Properties Ltd is growing −15.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP)?
Earnings per share at Cedar Woods Properties Ltd are growing −24.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP) generate?
The free cash flow of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd is −A$3.1M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Cedar Woods Properties Ltd (CWP) carry?
The net debt of Cedar Woods Properties Ltd is A$161M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 3, 2026