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Delta Lithium Ltd (DLI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Delta Lithium Ltd stock A$0.11, price A$0.15, that is 27.7% below the price, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000276495

DL Delta Lithium Ltd logo Thin data Nov 9, 2026

Delta Lithium Ltd

DLI · AU
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 28% below what the stock costs today.

Highly profitable · 70.6% net margin (TTM)
Costs just 7.5 times its yearly profit.
Quality 48/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +124.4 %/yr in AUD)
Mixed vs. peers (5/9)
Moderate moat 50/100 · thin data
Fair value A$0.1085 · Overvalued
Negative free cash flow
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.9354 A$0.1413 Fair Value A$0.1085 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.1413 – A$0.9354 · fair‑value band A$0.0840 – A$0.1365 · the A$0.1500 price screens above the A$0.1085 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.

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Company profile

Delta Lithium Limited explores for and develops lithium properties in Western Australia. It holds interest in the Yinnetharra Lithium Project covering an area of more than 3,100 square kilometres, located in the Gascoyne Lithium Province of Western Australia.

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The company was formerly known as Red Dirt Metals Limited and changed its name to Delta Lithium Limited in April 2023. Delta Lithium Limited was incorporated in 2003 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Delta Lithium Ltd (DLI) currently trades at A$0.1500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1085, 28% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$0.7900 per share, and 8 of the 9 models we run sit above the A$0.1500 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0700, and 1 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: A$0.0840 (bear) to A$0.1365 (bull), the price of A$0.1500 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Delta Lithium Ltd reported revenue of A$1.4M in FY2025 versus A$7.4K in FY2021, a compound +272.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$13.2M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$108M (≈ $74.2M) Micro · P/E ratio 7.5 · P/S ratio 5.78 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0200 · Net margin 70.6% · Return on equity 5.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin 19,044%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −28%, DLI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0840 Fair Value A$0.1085 Bull A$0.1365
Price A$0.1500 · Downside -27.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0200 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings A$0.3000 A$0.5400 A$0.9900 68
Residual Income A$0.2400 A$0.2400 A$0.2500 68
Growth-Adj P/E A$0.5500 A$0.7900 A$1.02 65
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings A$0.3000 A$0.5400 A$0.9900 68
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.1200 A$0.8700 A$1.22 61
Lynch FV A$0.4500 A$0.6400 A$0.8300 59
PEG = 1.0 A$0.4500 A$0.6400 A$0.8300 55
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$0.2300 A$0.3100 A$0.3900 63
P/B Multiple A$0.2000 A$0.2700 A$0.3400 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0500 A$0.0700 A$0.0900 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.2400 A$0.2400 A$0.2500 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$0.5500 A$0.7900 A$1.02 65

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 35
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 92
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 70
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 19
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 9
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 38
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 49/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+189.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+124.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+57.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−6,315.7% (2020) → −487.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

DLI screens overvalued: fair value 28% below the price. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 205 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Above median
Fair Value upside −27.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 5.5% · Below median
Return on assets 5.5% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 70.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 11.5% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 7.5× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.45× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 5.78× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)58 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)22 · sector 44
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $191.57 $220.07 +15% vs DLI
Newmont Corporation NEM $120.91 $133.00 +10% vs DLI
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $92.99 $88.58 −5% vs DLI
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $265.81 $248.53 −7% vs DLI
Shandong Gold Mining Co 600547 ¥26.20 ¥23.61 −10% vs DLI
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $254.95 $212.28 −17% vs DLI
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $22.24 $18.00 −19% vs DLI
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$25.85 A$16.87 −35% vs DLI
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $136.31 $87.64 −36% vs DLI
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥28.28 ¥15.62 −45% vs DLI

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Delta Lithium Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Delta Lithium Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DLI

Frequently asked questions

Is Delta Lithium Ltd (DLI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1085 versus a price of A$0.1500, about 28% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DLI?
Our model-based fair value for Delta Lithium Ltd is A$0.1085 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1500.
What is the quality score of DLI?
Delta Lithium Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Delta Lithium Ltd (DLI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.1085 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0840, optimistic scenario A$0.1365. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Delta Lithium Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.1085, about 28% lower versus a price of A$0.1500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0840, optimistic scenario A$0.1365. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Delta Lithium Ltd (DLI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Delta Lithium Ltd it is A$0.1085 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of A$0.1500. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Delta Lithium Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, DLI trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.1500, fair value A$0.1085, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DLI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.1085). For Delta Lithium Ltd the two are A$0.0415 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Delta Lithium Ltd worth?
The market values Delta Lithium Ltd at about A$108M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1500; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.1085 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DLI?
Our models span a range for Delta Lithium Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0840, base A$0.1085, optimistic A$0.1365 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price A$0.1500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DLI?
Delta Lithium Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.5 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.1085 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 5.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Delta Lithium Ltd (DLI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Delta Lithium Ltd (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 5.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DLI from its 52-week high?
Delta Lithium Ltd trades at A$0.1500, about 54% below its 52-week high of A$0.3250 and 3% above the low of A$0.1450 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.1085 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Delta Lithium Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Delta Lithium Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price A$0.1500, calculated fair value A$0.1085 (−28%), Quality Score 48/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DLI calculated?
We run Delta Lithium Ltd through 9 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.1085 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Delta Lithium Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Delta Lithium Ltd (DLI)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.1500. Our model-based fair value is A$0.1085, about 28% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Delta Lithium Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.1365). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (48/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Delta Lithium Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Delta Lithium Ltd (DLI)?
The market capitalisation of Delta Lithium Ltd is A$108M (≈ $74.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Delta Lithium Ltd (DLI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Delta Lithium Ltd is 5.78 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Delta Lithium Ltd (DLI)?
Earnings per share at Delta Lithium Ltd are A$0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Delta Lithium Ltd (DLI)?
The net margin of Delta Lithium Ltd is 70.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Delta Lithium Ltd (DLI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Delta Lithium Ltd is 5.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Delta Lithium Ltd (DLI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Delta Lithium Ltd is −4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Delta Lithium Ltd (DLI)?
The operating margin of Delta Lithium Ltd is 19,044% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Delta Lithium Ltd (DLI)?
Revenue at Delta Lithium Ltd is growing +11.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +189%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Delta Lithium Ltd (DLI) generate?
The free cash flow of Delta Lithium Ltd is −A$1.7M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Delta Lithium Ltd (DLI) hold?
Delta Lithium Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$49.2M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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