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Greenvale Energy Ltd (GRV) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Greenvale Energy Ltd stock A$0.02, price A$0.02, that is 6.7% below the price, quality 31 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Energy AU · ISIN AU000000GRV0

GE Greenvale Energy Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Greenvale Energy Ltd

GRV · AU
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Low debt
Fair value A$0.0187 · Fairly valued
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +99.2 %/yr in AUD)
Mixed vs. peers (3/7)
Revenue last quarter 77% below a year ago.
Quality 31/100
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 14/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.4750 A$0.0200 Fair Value A$0.0187 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0200 – A$0.4750 · fair‑value band A$0.0180 – A$0.0193 · the A$0.0200 price screens above the A$0.0187 fair value. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Greenvale Energy Ltd, an exploration company, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia. It explores for uranium, torbanite, and geothermal assets.

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The company holds interests in the early-stage uranium exploration projects, including the Douglas River Project, Henbury Project, and Elkedra Project in the Northern Territory.

It also has interests in the Oasis advanced-exploration project in Queensland, as well as the Alpha Torbanite and Geothermal projects in Queensland. The company was incorporated in 1969 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.

Stock analysis

Greenvale Energy Ltd (GRV) currently trades at A$0.0200, while our estimate is A$0.0187, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.2%).

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.0180 (bear) to A$0.0193 (bull), the price of A$0.0200 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Greenvale Energy Ltd reported revenue of A$450K in FY2025 versus A$104K in FY2021, a compound +44.3%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.5M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$13.9M (≈ $9.5M) Micro · Return on equity −14.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −22.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin −1,090% · Revenue growth (YoY) −77.1% · Free cash flow −A$947K · Net cash A$807K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 14 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at −7%, GRV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.0180 Fair Value A$0.0187 Bull A$0.0193
Price A$0.0200 · Downside -6.7%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 3
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 77
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 22
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 8
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 35/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+99.2%
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,236,565,000.0% (2020) → −299.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Greenvale Energy Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 286 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/6 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Below median
Fair Value upside −6.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −13.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −77.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.09× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.35× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)25 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 97
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 72

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $178.08 $242.64 +36% vs GRV
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$22.76 HK$26.80 +18% vs GRV
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $48.24 $53.41 +11% vs GRV
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $151.51 $166.94 +10% vs GRV
EQT Corporation EQT $52.00 $54.90 +6% vs GRV
Woodside Energy Group WDS $21.07 $19.39 −8% vs GRV
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $43.41 $39.64 −9% vs GRV
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $135.59 $92.89 −31% vs GRV
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $56.90 $33.18 −42% vs GRV
Aker BP ASA AKRBP kr 314.60 kr 127.39 −60% vs GRV

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Greenvale Energy Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Greenvale Energy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GRV

Frequently asked questions

Is Greenvale Energy Ltd (GRV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.0187 versus a price of A$0.0200, about 7% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GRV?
Our estimate for Greenvale Energy Ltd is A$0.0187 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0200.
What is the quality score of GRV?
Greenvale Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Greenvale Energy Ltd (GRV)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.0187 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.0180, optimistic scenario A$0.0193. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Greenvale Energy Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.0187, about 7% lower versus a price of A$0.0200 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.0180, optimistic scenario A$0.0193. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Greenvale Energy Ltd (GRV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Greenvale Energy Ltd it is A$0.0187 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.0200.
Is Greenvale Energy Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, GRV trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0200, fair value A$0.0187, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GRV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0200); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0187). For Greenvale Energy Ltd the two are A$0.0013 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Greenvale Energy Ltd worth?
The market values Greenvale Energy Ltd at about A$13.9M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0200; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0187 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GRV?
Our models span a range for Greenvale Energy Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0180, base A$0.0187, optimistic A$0.0193 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.0200). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Greenvale Energy Ltd (GRV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Greenvale Energy Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −14.7%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GRV from its 52-week high?
Greenvale Energy Ltd trades at A$0.0200, about 59% below its 52-week high of A$0.0490 and at the low of A$0.0200 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0187 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Greenvale Energy Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Greenvale Energy Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.0200, calculated fair value A$0.0187 (−7%), Quality Score 31/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Greenvale Energy Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Greenvale Energy Ltd (GRV)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was A$0.0200. Our estimate is A$0.0187, about 7% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Greenvale Energy Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0193). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0180 to A$0.0193), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Greenvale Energy Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Greenvale Energy Ltd (GRV)?
The market capitalisation of Greenvale Energy Ltd is A$13.9M (≈ $9.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Greenvale Energy Ltd (GRV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Greenvale Energy Ltd is −14.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Greenvale Energy Ltd (GRV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Greenvale Energy Ltd is −22.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Greenvale Energy Ltd (GRV)?
The operating margin of Greenvale Energy Ltd is −1,090% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Greenvale Energy Ltd (GRV)?
Revenue at Greenvale Energy Ltd is growing −77.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +99.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Greenvale Energy Ltd (GRV) generate?
The free cash flow of Greenvale Energy Ltd is −A$947K (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Greenvale Energy Ltd (GRV) hold?
Greenvale Energy Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$807K net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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