Tonkens Agrar AG (GTK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Tonkens Agrar AG stock €11.29, price €6.90, upside +63.6%, quality 26 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €4.88 – €8.15 · fair‑value band €5.84 – €16.74 · the €6.90 price screens below the €11.29 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
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Tonkens Agrar AG operates as an agricultural company in Germany. The company engages in arable farming; dairy production and storage; and processing and marketing of agricultural products, such as crops, grains, rapeseed, potatoes, corn, and onions.
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The company is also involved in the renewable energy business, such as photovoltaic systems and biogas plants operations. The company offers its products to food wholesalers, greengrocers, restaurants, and the food industry. The company was founded in 1991 and is based in Sülzetal, Germany.
Tonkens Agrar AG operates as a subsidiary of Tonkens Holding GmbH.
Stock analysis
Tonkens Agrar AG (GTK) currently trades at €6.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €11.29, implying the stock looks roughly 39% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: €5.84 (bear) to €16.74 (bull), the price of €6.90 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Tonkens Agrar AG reported revenue of €18.5M in FY2025 versus €14.1M in FY2021, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was −€620K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €11.6M Micro · P/S ratio 0.74 · EPS (TTM) €−1.27 · Net margin −12.6% · Return on equity −16.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −7.3% · Revenue (TTM) €16.9M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 64%, GTK screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€5.84Fair Value €11.29Bull€16.74
Price €6.90 · Upside +63.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.11/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.0% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.1% (2020) → 0.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 291 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+63.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−12.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−7.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−15.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.45× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tonkens Agrar AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GTK.XETRA
Frequently asked questions
Is Tonkens Agrar AG (GTK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €11.29 versus a price of €6.90, about +64% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GTK?
Our model-based fair value for Tonkens Agrar AG is €11.29 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €6.90.
What is the quality score of GTK?
Tonkens Agrar AG has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tonkens Agrar AG (GTK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €11.29 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario €5.84, optimistic scenario €16.74. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tonkens Agrar AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €11.29, about +64% upside versus a price of €6.90 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €5.84, optimistic scenario €16.74. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tonkens Agrar AG (GTK)?
Tonkens Agrar AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €16.9M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tonkens Agrar AG (GTK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tonkens Agrar AG it is €11.29 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of €6.90. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Tonkens Agrar AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, GTK trades below its calculated fair value: price €6.90, fair value €11.29, a gap of about +64% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GTK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€6.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€11.29). For Tonkens Agrar AG the two are €4.39 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tonkens Agrar AG worth?
The market values Tonkens Agrar AG at about €11.6M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is €6.90; our models calculate a fair value of €11.29 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GTK?
Our models span a range for Tonkens Agrar AG: cautious scenario €5.84, base €11.29, optimistic €16.74 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price €6.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tonkens Agrar AG (GTK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tonkens Agrar AG (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −16.6%, debt of 1.45 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GTK from its 52-week high?
Tonkens Agrar AG trades at €6.90, about 13% below its 52-week high of €7.95 and 20% above the low of €5.75 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €11.29 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tonkens Agrar AG?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Muyuan Foods Group, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Tyson Foods, Inc, Bunge Global SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tonkens Agrar AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price €6.90, calculated fair value €11.29 (+64%), Quality Score 26/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GTK calculated?
We run Tonkens Agrar AG through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €11.29 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Tonkens Agrar AG currently trades 39% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tonkens Agrar AG (GTK)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €6.90. Our model-based fair value is €11.29, about +64% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tonkens Agrar AG right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (26/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide (€5.84 to €16.74). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Tonkens Agrar AG
How large is the market capitalisation of Tonkens Agrar AG (GTK)?
The market capitalisation of Tonkens Agrar AG is €11.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tonkens Agrar AG (GTK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tonkens Agrar AG is 0.74 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tonkens Agrar AG (GTK)?
Earnings per share at Tonkens Agrar AG are €−1.27. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Tonkens Agrar AG (GTK)?
The net margin of Tonkens Agrar AG is −12.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tonkens Agrar AG (GTK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tonkens Agrar AG is −16.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tonkens Agrar AG (GTK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tonkens Agrar AG is 4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tonkens Agrar AG (GTK)?
The operating margin of Tonkens Agrar AG is −7.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tonkens Agrar AG (GTK)?
Revenue at Tonkens Agrar AG is growing −15.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tonkens Agrar AG (GTK)?
Earnings per share at Tonkens Agrar AG are growing −74.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tonkens Agrar AG (GTK) generate?
The free cash flow of Tonkens Agrar AG is −€1.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Tonkens Agrar AG (GTK) carry?
The net debt of Tonkens Agrar AG is €17.4M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 9, 2026