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Data-driven stock valuation

Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT (HADE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT stock IDR 10, price IDR 17, that is 40.1% below the price, quality 41 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical ID · ISIN ID1000107006

HE Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT

HADE · JK
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 40% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 41/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +2.6 %/yr in IDR)
Profit last quarter 72% below a year ago.
Fair value 10.18 IDR · Strongly overvalued
Loss-making · -7.2% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 12/100 · thin data
Thin data
Estimate
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

50.00 IDR 2.00 IDR Fair Value 10.18 IDR Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2.00 IDR – 50.00 IDR · fair‑value band 7.64 IDR – 12.73 IDR · the 17.00 IDR price screens above the 10.18 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk, through its subsidiaries, operates LPG fuel filling and transport stations. It engages in power generation; industrial services; and trade services.

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PT Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk was formerly known as PT HD Capital Tbk and changed its name to PT Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk in March 2018. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is based in Semarang, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT (HADE) currently trades at 17.00 IDR, while our estimate is 10.18 IDR, 40% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: 7.64 IDR (bear) to 12.73 IDR (bull), the price of 17.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT reported revenue of 4.2B IDR in FY2025 versus 3.8B IDR in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was −2.9B IDR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 36.0B IDR (≈ $2.0M) Micro · P/S ratio 9.14 · EPS (TTM) −0.0690 IDR · Net margin −68.1% · Return on equity −4.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin −4.9% · Revenue (TTM) 4.4B IDR.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −40%, HADE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear 7.64 IDR Fair Value 10.18 IDR Bull 12.73 IDR
Price 17.00 IDR · Downside -40.1%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 7
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 45
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 41
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 4
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 95
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 17/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −12.9% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−62.4% (2020) → −13.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

HADE screens overvalued: fair value 40% below the price. Compare with Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Retail · 213 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −40.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −28.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −7.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −4.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 6.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.11× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/B 7.96× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 8.18× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 42
FUTURE (revenue growth)33 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $150.00 $201.62 +34% vs HADE
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD C$81.87 C$105.93 +29% vs HADE
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $664.41 $650.56 −2% vs HADE
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $37.50 $36.33 −3% vs HADE
Best Buy Co BBY $104.10 $94.70 −9% vs HADE
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥53.21 ¥48.19 −9% vs HADE
Five Below, Inc FIVE $253.51 $184.99 −27% vs HADE
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $261.55 $164.11 −37% vs HADE
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $698.48 $405.93 −42% vs HADE
GameStop Corp GME $25.43 $11.87 −53% vs HADE

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Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HADE

Frequently asked questions

Is Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT (HADE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is 10.18 IDR versus a price of 17.00 IDR, about 40% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HADE?
Our estimate for Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT is 10.18 IDR (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 17.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of HADE?
Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT (HADE)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of 10.18 IDR (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario 7.64 IDR, optimistic scenario 12.73 IDR. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at 10.18 IDR, about 40% lower versus a price of 17.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 7.64 IDR, optimistic scenario 12.73 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT (HADE)?
Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.4B IDR (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT (HADE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT it is 10.18 IDR per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of 17.00 IDR.
Is Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, HADE trades above its calculated fair value: price 17.00 IDR, fair value 10.18 IDR, a gap of about −40% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HADE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (17.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (10.18 IDR). For Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT the two are 6.82 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT worth?
The market values Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT at about 36.0B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is 17.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 10.18 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HADE?
Our models span a range for Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT: cautious scenario 7.64 IDR, base 10.18 IDR, optimistic 12.73 IDR per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price 17.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT (HADE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −4.6%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HADE from its 52-week high?
Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT trades at 17.00 IDR, about 65% below its 52-week high of 48.00 IDR and 21% above the low of 14.00 IDR (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 10.18 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc, Williams-Sonoma, Inc, Ulta Beauty, Inc, Casey's General Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price 17.00 IDR, calculated fair value 10.18 IDR (−40%), Quality Score 41/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT (HADE)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was 17.00 IDR. Our estimate is 10.18 IDR, about 40% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (12.73 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT

How large is the market capitalisation of Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT (HADE)?
The market capitalisation of Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT is 36.0B IDR (≈ $2.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT (HADE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT is 9.14 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT (HADE)?
Earnings per share at Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT are −0.0690 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT (HADE)?
The net margin of Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT is −68.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT (HADE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT is −4.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT (HADE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT is −3.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT (HADE)?
The operating margin of Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT is −4.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT (HADE)?
Revenue at Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT is growing +6.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT (HADE)?
Earnings per share at Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT are growing −72.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT (HADE) generate?
The free cash flow of Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT is −278M IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT (HADE) hold?
Himalaya Energi Perkasa Tbk PT holds more cash than debt, 645M IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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